CREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2022

Credit Acceptance Corporation — Q1 2022 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period

Unaudited results for the three months ended March 31, 2022, compared with Q1 2021; balance-sheet figures are compared with December 31, 2021. Credit Acceptance finances vehicle purchases through a nationwide dealer network, primarily for consumers with impaired or limited credit histories. Its first quarter is seasonally important, with peak loan assignments and collections.

Key financial and operating metrics

MetricQ1 2022Q1 2021 / prior date
Total revenue$455.7 million$451.0 million; up 1.0%
Finance charges$424.1 million$424.9 million; down 0.2%
Net income$214.3 million$202.1 million; up 6.0%
Diluted EPS$14.94$11.82; up 26.4%
Net income margin47.0%44.8%
Operating cash flow$376.1 million$325.2 million
Net loans receivable$6.327 billion$6.336 billion at Dec. 31, 2021
Total debt, carrying amount$4.739 billion$4.616 billion at Dec. 31, 2021
Cash and cash equivalents$17.6 million unrestricted; $481.1 million restricted$23.3 million unrestricted; $410.9 million restricted at Dec. 31, 2021

Operating cash flow was $376.1 million; investing activities used $18.5 million and financing activities used $293.1 million. Financing outflows included $423.0 million of share repurchases. The company reported $1.229 billion of unused and available lines of credit at quarter-end, subject to facility terms and collateral limitations. Funded debt to equity was 2.9 to 1. The effective tax rate increased to 24.7% from 23.5%.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Net income rose 6.0%, while diluted EPS rose 26.4%, helped by a 16.1% decrease in diluted weighted-average shares. The company repurchased 803,735 shares for $423.0 million, versus 393,408 shares for $135.2 million in Q1 2021.
  • Total costs and expenses fell 8.3% to $171.2 million. General and administrative expense declined $27.2 million, largely because Q1 2021 included a $27.2 million Massachusetts settlement. Salaries and wages increased $15.1 million, including higher stock-option compensation.
  • Interest expense decreased 16.7% to $36.5 million, reflecting a lower average cost of debt. Other income increased 52.1% to $17.8 million, mainly from ancillary-product profit sharing.
  • Consumer Loan assignments declined 22.1% by unit volume and 10.5% by dollar volume. Active dealers declined 9.4%, and average unit volume per active dealer declined 14.6%. Management cited low dealer inventories and elevated used-car prices, linked to automotive supply-chain disruptions, as principal factors.
  • The loan portfolio’s forecasted net cash flows increased $110.2 million during the quarter, reflecting improved collection forecasts. Forecasted collections for 2022 assignments were 0.3 percentage points below initial forecasts; many recent vintages remain relatively unseasoned.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management said April 2022 unit volume was 13.8% below April 2021, with the year-over-year decline improving significantly through the month. If recent trends continue, management expects the year-over-year comparison to improve for the remainder of 2022. This is conditional commentary, not formal earnings guidance.
  • In Q1 2022, the company removed its COVID forecast adjustment and enhanced its loan cash-flow forecasting methodology. The changes increased forecasted net cash flows by $95.7 million and reduced provision for credit losses by $70.6 million. The company also reported a $23.3 million total credit-loss provision for the quarter. Results depend materially on forecasts of collections from high-risk consumer loans.
  • Management believes operating cash flows and financing alternatives will be sufficient for debt maturities and operations, but warns that restricted access to financing could materially harm liquidity and operations. Scheduled principal maturities total $1.288 billion for the remainder of 2022 and $1.634 billion for 2023; certain maturities are estimated from forecast collections.
  • Material risks include inaccurate collection forecasts, weaker consumer or used-car markets, funding availability and cost, interest-rate changes, substantial debt, and regulatory or legal outcomes. The filing added risks related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, including possible effects on inflation, consumer confidence, credit availability, portfolio performance and capital access.
  • Contingencies include investigations or inquiries by the CFPB, New York, California, Maryland and other state authorities, and the U.S. Department of Justice, as well as a shareholder class action. The company could not estimate reasonably possible losses for these matters; an adverse outcome could materially affect financial position, liquidity or results.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether collection performance and credit-loss assumptions support the reported portfolio forecasts, particularly for 2020–2022 loan vintages and following the forecast-methodology changes.
  • Whether assignment volumes, active dealer counts and used-car inventory/pricing trends stabilize or continue to weaken.
  • How the company will fund near-term debt maturities and maintain access to borrowing facilities, including the effect of rising rates and collateral requirements.
  • Whether substantial repurchases remain compatible with liquidity, debt covenants and the company’s capital needs.
  • Developments and potential financial effects of the CFPB, state and DOJ matters and the shareholder lawsuit; the filing provides no clear loss estimate.