FIFTH THIRD BANCORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2015

Fifth Third Bancorp — Q3 2015 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2015; balance-sheet comparisons are generally with December 31, 2014. Amounts are in U.S. dollars; financial statement amounts are in millions unless otherwise noted.

Business context

Fifth Third is a diversified Midwestern and Southeastern U.S. bank with Commercial Banking, Branch Banking, Consumer Lending and Investment Advisors segments. At September 30, it reported $141.9 billion in assets, 1,295 full-service banking centers and an approximately 23% interest in Vantiv Holding, LLC.

Financial performance and condition

  • Q3 earnings and revenue: Total revenue was $1.619 billion, up 13% year over year. Net income attributable to the Bancorp was $381 million; net income available to common shareholders was $366 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, versus $328 million and $0.39 a year earlier.
  • Nine-month results: Revenue was $4.550 billion, essentially flat year over year. Net income attributable to the Bancorp was $1.056 billion and income available to common shareholders was $1.004 billion, or $1.22 per diluted share, compared with $1.096 billion and $1.052 billion, or $1.23 per diluted share, in 2014.
  • Interest income and margin: Q3 net interest income was $901 million under GAAP ($906 million FTE); nine-month GAAP net interest income was $2.636 billion ($2.650 billion FTE). FTE net interest margin fell to 2.89% in Q3 and 2.88% for nine months, from 3.10% and 3.16%, respectively. Lower asset yields, deposit-advance product changes and increased long-term debt costs weighed on results.
  • Other income and expenses: Noninterest income rose 37% in Q3 to $713 million and 4% for nine months to $1.900 billion. A Vantiv warrant valuation gain of $130 million in Q3 and $215 million for nine months was a major contributor. Noninterest expense rose 6% in Q3 to $943 million and 1% for nine months to $2.814 billion. The FTE efficiency ratio improved to 58.2% in Q3 from 62.1%; it was 61.8% for nine months versus 61.6%.
  • Credit: Provision for loan and lease losses was $156 million in Q3 and $305 million for nine months, versus $71 million and $216 million in 2014. Q3 net charge-offs were $188 million, or 0.80% of average portfolio loans, up from 0.50%; the nine-month rate improved to 0.53% from 0.57%. Management cited a $102 million charge-off on a restructured student-loan-backed commercial credit, global economic and capital-market stress, and weak commodity prices. Nonperforming assets were $608 million, down from $783 million at year-end; the ratio excluding nonaccrual loans held for sale was 0.65%, versus 0.82%.
  • Balance sheet and funding: Portfolio loans and leases were $93.6 billion, up 4% from year-end, led by commercial lending. Total deposits were $100.9 billion, down $819 million; core deposits were $98.0 billion, down 1%. Borrowings increased to $20.6 billion from $16.7 billion, including a $3.45 billion FHLB advance balance. Shareholders’ equity was $15.8 billion.
  • Liquidity and cash flow: Estimated Modified LCR was 107% against a requirement effective in 2016. The company reported $36.1 billion of secured borrowing capacity and $8.9 billion of debt or other securities available for issuance. For the nine months, operating cash flow was $1.517 billion, investing cash outflow $4.170 billion and financing cash inflow $2.017 billion; cash and due from banks fell by $636 million to $2.455 billion.
  • Capital and shareholder returns: Transitional CET1 was 9.40% (9.30% fully phased-in), Tier 1 risk-based capital 10.49%, total risk-based capital 13.68% and Tier 1 leverage 9.38%. The quarterly common dividend was $0.13 per share. The company repurchased shares through accelerated share repurchase transactions.

Material changes, outlook and management commentary

  • Management described the U.S. outlook as reasonably positive for economic and employment growth through the remainder of 2015, while warning that global weakness, commodity-price declines, capital-market stress and low interest rates could pressure growth and profitability.
  • Changes to the deposit-advance product were expected to reduce 2015 net interest income by approximately $95 million. Fifth Third stopped enrolling new customers in 2014 and continued serving existing customers under revised terms pending further regulatory guidance.
  • A plan to consolidate and/or sell 105 branches and sell 31 undeveloped parcels is expected to generate $65 million in annual expense savings when complete. Pittsburgh and St. Louis retail-business sales were expected to close in the first half of 2016, subject to regulatory approval.
  • In October 2015, Vantiv paid approximately $49 million to settle a portion of the tax receivable agreement; Fifth Third expects to record a roughly $49 million gain in Q4 2015 in exchange for selling estimated future cash flows totaling $140 million.
  • Following a Federal Reserve non-objection under 2015 CCAR, permitted capital actions for April 2015–June 2016 included a potential quarterly dividend increase to $0.14 in 2016 and up to $765 million of share repurchases, plus repurchases tied to after-tax gains from Vantiv share sales.
  • Legal and regulatory matters included an approximately $87 million HUD/DOJ settlement concerning FHA-insured mortgages, plus an agreement to indemnify HUD for potential losses on approximately 900 additional loans. The company also agreed to pay $18 million in an indirect-auto-lending settlement and at least $3.5 million in consumer redress and penalties related to a credit-card add-on product. These amounts were stated to be within existing accruals. Management estimated reasonably possible legal and regulatory losses of up to approximately $51 million above accruals, while noting outcomes could differ.
  • A proposed FDIC assessment surcharge was estimated to increase annual expense by approximately $25 million if adopted. Other risks highlighted include credit deterioration, energy-sector exposure, interest-rate sensitivity, mortgage servicing-right valuations, litigation and regulatory compliance, cyber threats, funding and liquidity, and the execution and approvals for branch transactions.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • How much Q3 earnings growth depended on the $130 million Vantiv warrant revaluation, and how that mark could vary with Vantiv’s share price and valuation assumptions.
  • Whether the elevated Q3 provision and charge-offs reflect isolated credit events or broader deterioration, particularly in commercial lending and commodity-sensitive exposures.
  • Whether net interest margin pressure and the expected $95 million deposit-advance impact are offset by loan growth, deposit costs and securities income.
  • Execution, timing, approvals and realized savings from the planned branch consolidations and Pittsburgh and St. Louis sales.
  • Final costs and remaining exposure from HUD, indirect-auto and credit-card add-on matters, as well as the separately disclosed possible legal losses above accruals.
  • Capital and liquidity resilience after repurchases, increased borrowings and implementation of the Modified LCR requirement.