PRICE T ROWE GROUP INC quarterly report, Q2 FY2013

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. — 2013 Q2 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. The filing covers the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2013. T. Rowe Price earns most revenue from investment advisory services, with fees primarily tied to assets under management (AUM). Interim financial statements are unaudited; KPMG performed a review, not an audit.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ2 2013Q2 2012First half 2013First half 2012
Net revenue$854.3 million$736.8 million$1,670.0 million$1,465.5 million
Net operating income$398.8 million$328.0 million$771.4 million$644.2 million
Operating margin46.7%44.5%46.2%44.0%
Net income$247.8 million$206.8 million$489.7 million$404.3 million
Diluted EPS$0.92$0.79$1.83$1.54
Operating cash flowNot stated separately for the quarter$727.9 million$494.5 million
  • Q2 net revenue increased 15.9%, operating income 21.6%, net income 19.8%, and diluted EPS 16.5% year over year. First-half revenue rose 14.0%, net income 21.1%, and diluted EPS 18.8%.
  • Investment advisory revenue was $739.7 million in Q2, up 17.4%; average AUM was $625.1 billion, up $86.8 billion year over year. The annualized effective fee rate was 47.5 basis points.
  • AUM ended June at $614.0 billion, up $37.2 billion from year-end 2012, but down $3.4 billion from March 31. First-half net outflows were $4.7 billion overall: $7.4 billion inflows in U.S. sponsored mutual funds were more than offset by $12.1 billion outflows from other portfolios.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $1.456 billion at June 30, versus $879.1 million at December 31. Cash and sponsored investment holdings totaled nearly $2.7 billion. The company reported no debt.
  • First-half investing cash outflow was $57.2 million and financing cash outflow was $93.9 million. Dividends paid were $197.7 million. There were no cash-flow-statement repurchases in the first half; Q2 shares purchased were primarily employee option-exercise surrenders and tax withholding, not open-market program purchases.
  • Total assets were $4.799 billion and total liabilities $488.4 million at June 30. The balance sheet included $1.195 billion of investments in sponsored funds.

Material changes versus prior comparable periods

  • Higher average AUM, largely reflecting market appreciation, drove advisory revenue growth and stronger operating margins. The Q2 increase in average AUM also reflected growth in stock and blended-asset portfolios.
  • Q2 other-portfolio net outflows of $7.8 billion exceeded $1.9 billion of market appreciation and income; management said outflows were concentrated among a small number of institutional and intermediary clients. First-half other-portfolio outflows were $12.1 billion.
  • Operating expenses rose 11.4% in Q2 and 9.4% in the first half, below revenue growth. Compensation increased with variable-compensation accruals, salaries, and staffing; occupancy, technology, and other business-support costs also increased.
  • Non-operating investment income was $1.4 million in Q2, down $6.0 million year over year, mainly due to unrealized losses and the absence of prior-year realized gains. First-half non-operating investment income was $19.7 million and included $11.5 million of realized gains from portfolio rebalancing.

Outlook, commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • Management expects full-year 2013 capital expenditures of about $125 million, funded from cash, and estimates a full-year effective tax rate of 38.3%. It expects money-market advisory fee waivers to continue through the remainder of 2013; Q2 waivers were $11.9 million and first-half waivers $22.9 million.
  • Management plans to increase investment in investment talent, U.S. and international distribution, and technology capabilities. It cautions that results depend substantially on financial markets, AUM flows and mix, relative investment performance, fees, expenses, and regulation.
  • The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 65 basis points in Q2 to 2.5%; global bond markets declined, and emerging-market equities fell sharply. These market moves may affect AUM and fee revenue.
  • On May 23, 2013, the company agreed to sell its savings bank subsidiary for net book value at closing plus $500,000, subject to regulatory approval and customary conditions. Closing was expected in Q4 2013; the bank had $168.9 million in assets and $145.3 million in liabilities held for sale at June 30.
  • Q2 included $2.8 million of facility lease-termination costs; first-half lease-termination costs were $3.5 million. The company deconsolidated certain sponsored portfolios after losing control; it recorded no income-statement gain or loss, and described the balance-sheet impact as immaterial.
  • Management said pending ordinary-course claims were unlikely to have a material adverse effect. Identified regulatory risks include possible changes to retirement-plan rules and proposed money-market fund reforms, which could increase compliance costs or affect product demand. No material changes to previously reported market-risk disclosures were noted.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether AUM flows improve, particularly the continued outflows in other portfolios and the concentration of withdrawals among a small number of clients.
  • How market valuations and portfolio mix affect advisory fees, margins, and the sustainability of recent earnings growth.
  • The duration and financial impact of money-market fee waivers and the progress of the savings-bank sale, including required regulatory approvals.
  • Whether planned investment, compensation, and technology spending—or regulatory changes—raise expenses faster than revenue.
  • The exact effect of sponsored-fund investment gains and losses on non-operating income; these results can vary with markets and portfolio activity.