DOLLAR GENERAL CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2016

Dollar General Corporation — Form 10-Q Summary

Period: The filing covers the 13 weeks ended April 29, 2016, compared with the 13 weeks ended May 1, 2015. Although the request metadata says “2015 Q1,” the filing itself reports 2016 Q1. Dollar General operated 12,719 stores in 43 states at quarter-end. The interim financial statements were reviewed, not audited.

Financial performance

MetricQ1 2016Comparable periodChange
Net sales$5.265 billion$4.919 billion+7.0%
Same-store sales+2.2%—Traffic and average transaction amount increased
Gross profit$1.613 billion; 30.63% margin$1.499 billion; 30.47%Margin +16 basis points
SG&A$1.132 billion; 21.50% of sales$1.071 billion; 21.76%Expense rate improved 26 basis points
Operating profit$480.7 million; 9.13% margin$428.2 million; 8.71%+12.3%
Net income$295.1 million$253.2 million+16.5%
Diluted EPS$1.03$0.84+22.6%
Operating cash flow$404.0 million$370.2 million+$33.7 million

Consumables represented 76.7% of sales and grew 7.6%; seasonal, home products, and apparel sales grew 6.4%, 6.5%, and 1.5%, respectively. Gross-margin improvement reflected higher initial markups and lower transportation costs, partly offset by product mix, increased inventory shrink, and higher markdowns. SG&A leverage reflected lower utilities, administrative labor, incentive compensation, and other costs, partly offset by retail labor and occupancy costs growing faster than sales.

Cash, debt, and capital returns

  • Cash and cash equivalents were $187.7 million at April 29, 2016. Operating cash flow was $404.0 million; property and equipment purchases were $99.0 million.
  • Total debt was approximately $2.99 billion, including $271.0 million drawn on the revolving facility. Revolver availability was $696.2 million; the company reported compliance with its debt covenants.
  • Quarterly interest expense was $24.1 million, up $2.5 million, principally due to higher average debt and interest rates. The company had $2.3 billion aggregate principal amount of senior notes, with maturities from 2017 through 2025.
  • Share repurchases were $231.0 million for approximately 2.7 million shares, versus $534.7 million for 7.1 million shares a year earlier. Approximately $692.8 million remained authorized. Dividends paid were $71.3 million, or $0.25 per share, up from $0.22 per share.
  • Current assets were $3.477 billion and current liabilities were $2.012 billion. Management said cash, operating cash flow, facility availability, and debt-market access should fund obligations and planned spending for the next twelve months and several years, subject to risks.

Changes, outlook, and notable items

  • Diluted weighted-average shares declined by 15.1 million year over year, primarily from repurchases, contributing to EPS growth.
  • The effective tax rate fell to 35.4% from 37.7%. Early adoption of share-based payment guidance provided an approximately $9.0 million tax benefit, or $0.03 per diluted share, in the quarter; management said this benefit was not expected to recur to the same degree during the rest of 2016. Retroactively enacted federal jobs tax credits also lowered the rate.
  • Management expected 2016 sales growth to be driven primarily by consumables. It planned to open 900 stores and remodel or relocate 875 stores in fiscal 2016; plans for 2017 were about 1,000 openings and 900 remodels or relocations. The company opened 249 stores, remodeled or relocated 301, and closed 13 in the quarter.
  • Management cited zero-based budgeting and cost controls as priorities, alongside investments in in-stock availability, cooler expansions, store formats, distribution capacity, and employees. It anticipated capital spending for stores, distribution, technology, and ongoing needs, but did not provide a total forecast amount in the supplied text.
  • Management warned that changes to overtime-exemption rules expected in December 2016 could raise labor costs. Customer spending remained exposed to mixed economic factors, including rising rents and medical costs and lagging wage growth. Inventory shrink, execution, competition, supply-chain disruption, and seasonality were additional risks.
  • Material, unquantified legal matters included an EEOC suit concerning criminal background checks; California wage-and-hour and employment cases; and multiple private-label motor-oil labeling and marketing suits. The company said it could not estimate potential loss ranges and noted adverse outcomes could materially affect its financial statements.
  • The company anticipated a material balance-sheet impact from future lease-accounting guidance because it has many lease contracts. No material changes to the prior annual report’s market-risk disclosures or risk-factor disclosures were reported.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether same-store sales, traffic, and transaction growth continue, and whether the planned store expansion and remodeling deliver expected returns.
  • How much of earnings and EPS growth is sustained operational improvement versus the quarter’s tax benefits and reduced share count.
  • Whether gross-margin gains persist as inventory shrink, markdowns, product mix, labor, and occupancy costs evolve.
  • Debt levels, revolving-facility usage, liquidity, and the pace of repurchases and dividends relative to cash generation and capital spending.
  • Developments in the pending legal matters, potential overtime-rule costs, and the eventual financial impact of lease-accounting adoption.