Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. annual report, FY2016

Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. — 2016 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2016; filed March 15, 2017. Heritage is a property and casualty insurer focused on personal and commercial residential coverage, with operations concentrated in Florida and Hawaii. The company reports one business segment.

Financial performance and position

  • Premiums and revenue: Gross premiums written rose 7% to $626.7 million; gross premiums earned increased to $640.5 million, and net premiums earned rose 9% to $411.7 million. Total revenue was $439.0 million, up 11%.
  • Profitability: Net income fell to $33.9 million from $92.5 million; diluted EPS declined to $1.14 from $3.05. Pre-tax income was $56.4 million. The gross combined ratio increased to 95.4% from 74.9%; the net combined ratio was 92.8% versus 65.0%.
  • Losses and expenses: Loss and loss-adjustment expenses rose to $238.9 million from $141.2 million. The gross loss ratio increased to 37.3% from 26.9%. Ceded premiums increased to $228.8 million, and the ceded premium ratio rose to 35.7% from 28.3%.
  • Cash flow: Operating cash flow was $75.1 million, down from $153.1 million. Investing activities used $249.4 million, including the Zephyr acquisition; financing activities provided $43.8 million. Cash and cash equivalents were $105.8 million at year-end.
  • Balance sheet and liquidity: Total assets were $1.033 billion, including $603.0 million of investments and $20.9 million of restricted cash. Stockholders’ equity was $358.0 million. Total liabilities were $675.3 million; unpaid losses and LAE were $140.1 million, including $83.6 million of IBNR reserves.
  • Debt and capital: The company issued $79.5 million of seven-year senior secured notes in December; the balance-sheet carrying amount, net of issuance costs, was $72.9 million. Effective interest was approximately 9.7%. Insurance subsidiaries reported combined statutory surplus of $276 million and risk-based capital ratios above 300%.

Material changes and significant events

  • Net income declined 63% year over year amid higher reinsurance costs, weather losses, adverse prior-year reserve development, and increased claims costs in Florida.
  • Heritage acquired Zephyr, a Hawaii wind insurer, on March 21, 2016 for approximately $110.3 million net of cash acquired. Zephyr contributed $27.5 million in revenue and $8.9 million in net income after acquisition; the company expected a full year of Zephyr results in 2017.
  • Hurricanes Hermine and Matthew affected Florida in 2016. The filing estimates pre-tax losses of $3.0 million and $18.8 million, respectively, and says the hurricanes reduced 2016 net income by $13.4 million. The company reported no reinsurance recoveries for these storms because losses did not reach its Florida retention.
  • Prior-year reserves developed adversely by $18.8 million in 2016, versus $5.3 million of favorable development in 2015. Most adverse development related to 2015 personal-lines claims in South Florida, including litigation and Assignment of Benefits activity.
  • Heritage issued 1,759,330 shares’ worth of buybacks for $25.6 million during the year and paid or declared quarterly dividends of $0.05–$0.06 per share. A further $44.4 million remained available under the repurchase authorization at year-end.

Outlook, risks, and contingencies

  • Management did not provide quantified earnings or revenue guidance. It said it did not expect to assume Citizens policies in the foreseeable future, given the smaller Citizens policy base, and identified voluntary business, acquisitions, geographic expansion, and efficient claims management as growth priorities.
  • The 2016–2017 reinsurance program provided up to approximately $1.9 billion of first-event Florida coverage, $1.1 billion for Hawaii, and up to $3.1 billion of potential multiple-event coverage, including company retentions. Recoveries depend on event severity and frequency; losses above coverage remain the company’s responsibility.
  • Key risks include concentration in Florida and Hawaii, hurricane and other catastrophe exposure, reinsurance cost and collectability, uncertainty in loss reserves and catastrophe models, claims inflation and litigation/AOB trends, rate regulation, competition, and dependence on agents and service providers. The filing states that about 98% of premium in force related to Florida and Hawaii.
  • Loss reserves are estimates: the actuary’s stated reasonable range was $129.4 million–$145.9 million, compared with $140.1 million recorded. The company also cautioned that actual claims may differ materially from estimates.
  • The parent depends on subsidiaries for funds to service debt, and subsidiary distributions are subject to regulatory limits. The notes include restrictive covenants; the company reported compliance at year-end. Legal proceedings were described as routine, with no material adverse outcome expected by management.
  • Management reported effective disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting. The independent auditor gave an unqualified opinion on the financial statements but did not audit or opine on internal control effectiveness.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether subsequent claims development validates the $140.1 million loss reserve, especially the 2015 South Florida personal-lines estimates and IBNR.
  • Whether litigation and Assignment of Benefits trends, catastrophe experience, and reinsurance pricing materially alter loss ratios, retention costs, or available protection.
  • Whether voluntary-policy growth and expansion beyond Florida offset the expected end of Citizens depopulation opportunities; confirm the actual contribution and performance of Zephyr.
  • The precise senior-note interest-rate formula and its covenants: the filing’s descriptions of the LIBOR-linked coupon are not fully consistent.
  • Whether liquidity, statutory capital, dividends, and buybacks remain appropriate given catastrophe obligations, acquisition plans, and parent-level debt service.
  • Fourth-quarter results were materially weaker than earlier quarters: the company reported a $2.9 million net loss, compared with $20.2 million net income in fourth-quarter 2015.