Intrepid Potash, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2019

Intrepid Potash, Inc. — 2019 Q3 Form 10-Q Summary

Business context and reporting period

Unaudited quarterly filing for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019, filed November 5, 2019. Intrepid produces potash, Trio®, water, magnesium, sulfur, salt, brines and oilfield-related products from U.S. operations. Reportable segments are potash, Trio® and oilfield solutions.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricQ3 2019Q3 20189M 20199M 2018
Sales$51.2 million$41.4 million$171.2 million$153.9 million
Gross margin$6.9 million$9.0 million$33.3 million$23.4 million
Gross margin percentage13.6%21.6%19.4%15.2%
Operating income$0.6 million$4.2 million$13.5 million$6.6 million
Net income (loss)$(0.2) million$3.4 million$11.5 million$4.1 million
Operating cash flowNot separately providedNot separately provided$37.6 million$52.9 million
  • Q3 diluted earnings per share were approximately $0.00 versus $0.03 in the prior-year quarter. Nine-month diluted EPS was $0.09 versus $0.03.
  • Q3 sales increased 24%, but gross margin declined 22% because of higher costs, freight, lower evaporation and a $1.5 million Trio® inventory valuation charge. Nine-month gross margin increased 42%.
  • September 30 cash and cash equivalents were $13.0 million, compared with $33.2 million at December 31, 2018. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash totaled $13.7 million.
  • Nine-month investing cash use was $76.8 million, including the Intrepid South acquisition and other capital spending. Financing cash inflow was $19.1 million.
  • Total assets were $574.1 million and stockholders’ equity was $431.8 million at September 30, 2019.

Debt and liquidity

  • Senior notes totaled $50.0 million: $20.0 million due April 2020, $15.0 million due April 2023 and $15.0 million due April 2025.
  • Credit-facility borrowings were $19.8 million, with $1.0 million of letters of credit and $54.2 million of remaining availability. The facility was amended in August 2019, increasing committed availability to $75 million plus a $75 million accordion and extending maturity to August 2024.
  • Management stated that cash, operating cash flow and available revolver capacity were sufficient for the next twelve months, including the $20 million Series A note maturity.
  • Debt covenants were satisfied: fixed-charge coverage was 12.6x versus a 1.3x minimum, and leverage was 1.2x versus a 3.5x maximum.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Intrepid South was acquired in May 2019 for $53.0 million, with $3.2 million of acquisition fees and a potential additional $12.0 million payment. The acquisition added land, water rights and related assets in the northern Delaware Basin.
  • Water sales increased to $7.3 million in Q3 and $18.3 million for nine months, compared with $4.7 million and $14.8 million, respectively, primarily because of Intrepid South.
  • Oilfield solutions sales increased to $7.3 million in Q3 from $4.0 million and to $19.6 million for nine months from $12.9 million.
  • Potash sales volumes increased 5% in Q3, while the average net realized price increased to $266 per ton from $258. For nine months, potash volumes declined 3%, but price increased to $285 per ton from $251.
  • Trio® Q3 sales volumes increased 28%, but the segment recorded a $1.1 million gross deficit, including the $1.5 million inventory valuation charge. For nine months, the segment improved to a $1.1 million gross margin from a $4.5 million deficit.
  • Operating cash flow declined $15.3 million year over year, primarily because of lower contract-liability additions, higher receivables and lower cash received from refundable income taxes.
  • The company adopted the new lease standard on January 1, 2019, recognizing operating lease right-of-use assets and liabilities.

Guidance, outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected 2019 water sales of $25 million to $28 million and approximately $30 million of cash receipts related to water sales; 2020 water sales were projected at $32 million to $45 million.
  • Management expected 2019 capital expenditures excluding acquisitions of approximately $25 million to $30 million.
  • Potash prices were expected to remain at summer-fill levels through the end of 2019. Wet weather delayed agricultural demand and was expected to limit near-term pricing upside.
  • Management expected Q4 domestic Trio® pricing to remain approximately equal to Q3 pricing, with increased international sales potentially affecting the overall average price.
  • Key risks include potash and fertilizer pricing, agricultural and oilfield demand, weather and evaporation rates, production interruptions, freight and input costs, regulatory requirements, water-rights challenges, asset impairments, debt covenant compliance and the ability to integrate Intrepid South.
  • Mosaic litigation seeks $23 million to $28 million in compensatory damages and $28 million to $37 million in exemplary damages, plus other relief. Trial was scheduled for April-May 2020; no loss contingency was recorded.
  • Protestants challenged water rights representing approximately 20,000 acre-feet per year. The company was authorized to sell water associated with 5,700 acre-feet per year, subject to potential repayment if the rights are invalidated. A trial was scheduled for August 2020 if settlement was not reached.
  • The company had $24.5 million of recorded asset-retirement obligations and $19.1 million of reclamation security requirements, primarily supported by surety bonds.

Investor verification checklist

  • Verify the funding plan and refinancing or repayment of the $20 million Series A notes due April 2020.
  • Track revolver borrowings, remaining availability and compliance with debt covenants.
  • Assess whether potash and Trio® pricing remains at the disclosed summer-fill levels and how that affects margins.
  • Evaluate Intrepid South’s water-sales growth, infrastructure spending, potential $12 million acquisition payment and 10% royalty obligation.
  • Monitor the Pecos River water-rights adjudication and possible repayment, operational or regulatory consequences.
  • Follow the Mosaic litigation and the scheduled trial, noting that no loss contingency was recorded.
  • Reconcile future cash generation against planned capital spending, reclamation requirements and inventory levels.