NRG ENERGY, INC. annual report, FY2010

NRG Energy, Inc. — 2010 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2010; the filing also reports fourth-quarter results. Unless otherwise stated, financial amounts are in U.S. dollars and millions.

Business context

NRG is a competitive power generator and energy retailer, operating generation assets across U.S. markets and select international markets. At year-end it reported approximately 24,570 MW of operating generation capacity, 470 MW of renewable interests, and about 1.9 million retail customer locations through Reliant Energy and Green Mountain Energy. Its strategy combines operating and hedging its generation and retail businesses with investment in lower-carbon energy.

Financial performance and position

Metric20102009
Operating revenue$8,849$8,952
Operating income$1,308$2,159
Net income attributable to NRG$477$942
Diluted earnings per share$1.84$3.44
Cash provided by operating activities$1,623$2,106
Capital expenditures$706$734
Cash and cash equivalents at year-end$2,951$2,304
Long-term debt, including current maturities, capital leases and funded letter of credit$10,511$8,418
Total stockholders’ equity$8,072$7,697

Operating margin was approximately 14.8% in 2010 versus 24.1% in 2009, calculated as operating income divided by revenue. Operating cash flow fell about 23%. Year-end liquidity was $4,660, including $408 of collateral received; excluding that collateral, liquidity was $4,252, comprising cash and available credit facilities. The filing reports a 42.94% debt-to-total-capitalization ratio, down from 43.49%.

In the fourth quarter, revenue was $1,816, operating income $152, and NRG-attributable net loss $15, or a diluted loss of $0.07 per share. The comparable 2009 quarter reported revenue of $2,141, operating income of $314, and net income of $33.

Changes versus the prior year

  • Full-year revenue declined 1%, while operating income fell 39% and net income attributable to NRG declined 49%.
  • Management cited lower Reliant retail margins, fewer customers and price reductions, and weaker wholesale-generation results from lower hedge prices and higher fuel and transportation costs. Generation cost of sales rose 14%.
  • Retail revenue increased 19%, reflecting the expanded retail business, but comparable-period Reliant gross margin declined $86 for the eight months compared with 2009. NRG acquired Green Mountain Energy in November 2010.
  • Operating cash flow decreased by $483. Investing cash use increased, including $1,006 spent on acquisitions; financing activities provided $651, supported by debt issuance.
  • Debt increased following financing activity, including $1,100 of 8.25% notes due 2020 and a $1,300 funded letter-of-credit facility. NRG also amended and extended its senior credit facility.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • 2011 plans: NRG announced a $180 share-repurchase plan, expected maintenance and environmental spending of approximately $373, up to $50 of NINA equity contributions, and approximately $3.0 billion for solar and other development projects. Major project spending depends on financing, U.S. DOE loan guarantees and third-party investment. NRG expected to offer lenders $414 of 2010 excess cash flow, after a $200 prepayment in November 2010.
  • Development risk: The STP Units 3 and 4 nuclear project remained dependent on a federal loan guarantee and long-term power purchase agreements. NRG had contributed $319 to NINA by year-end and planned to reassess project viability in the third quarter of 2011; withdrawal or failure to progress could lead to impairment of capitalized costs.
  • Environmental obligations: Estimated environmental capital expenditures for 2011–2015 were $721. The estimate depends on regulations still being developed or revised; additional requirements could increase costs. A Clean Air Act case concerning Big Cajun II seeks operational restrictions, controls and penalties; the outcome and potential liability were not clear.
  • Other contingencies: A California power-contract proceeding could result in refunds, but NRG could not estimate any potential amount. A Texas excess-mitigation-credit dispute includes a claimed $385 amount, although the filing says the actual figure is unclear and no claim against NRG’s subsidiary had been filed.
  • Liquidity and market risks: Commodity-price movements, collateral calls, outages, fuel and transmission disruptions, weather, competition, and regulatory or environmental changes could affect cash flow and results. A $1/MMBtu change in gas prices was estimated to change margin collateral by about $99; the filing also identifies substantial counterparty and derivative valuation exposure.
  • Tax uncertainty: NRG reported $663 of tax-effected uncertain tax benefits and a $582 non-current tax liability; IRS review of 2004–2006 returns was ongoing. Management estimated up to $50 of 2011 income-tax payments.
  • Unusual accounting and transactions: 2010 included acquisitions, a $23 gain on the sale of Padoma, and derivative mark-to-market volatility. NRG reported no goodwill impairment, but noted that a sustained $1 decline in its long-term gas-price assumption could cause Texas goodwill impairment.

NRG reported effective disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting; KPMG gave unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal control.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether retail customer trends and margins stabilized after 2010 declines, and whether acquired Green Mountain Energy delivered expected results.
  • 2011 operating cash flow, collateral requirements, available liquidity excluding counterparty collateral, and compliance with debt covenants and required term-loan payments.
  • Actual funding, cost, schedule, and financing conditions for the solar pipeline and STP Units 3 and 4, including DOE guarantees, PPAs, and partner commitments.
  • Final environmental rules, compliance spending beyond the $721 estimate, and developments in the Big Cajun II, California contract, and Texas credit proceedings.
  • Resolution of tax examinations and uncertain tax positions, including the potential cash and earnings effects.