Business context and reporting period
Portland General Electric Company (PGE) is a vertically integrated electric utility serving Oregon. This unaudited Form 10-Q covers the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2022; comparisons are with the corresponding 2021 periods unless otherwise noted. PGE served approximately 922,000 retail customers at quarter-end.
Financial performance and position
| Metric | Q2 2022 | Q2 2021 | Six months 2022 | Six months 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | $591 million | $537 million | $1,217 million | $1,146 million |
| Operating income | $112 million | $61 million | $218 million | $194 million |
| Net income | $64 million | $32 million | $124 million | $128 million |
| Diluted EPS | $0.72 | $0.36 | $1.39 | $1.43 |
- Revenue and earnings: Q2 revenue increased 10% and net income doubled. For the first half, revenue rose 6%, while net income declined 3%. Q2 results benefited from higher customer prices, increased wholesale revenue, and lower purchased power and fuel expense. First-half earnings were affected by higher operating costs and a $17 million pre-tax, non-cash charge related to regulatory earnings tests.
- Cash flow: First-half operating cash flow was $451 million, up from $276 million. Investing cash outflow was $334 million, including $345 million of capital expenditures. Financing cash outflow was $78 million. Cash and cash equivalents ended the period at $91 million, compared with $52 million at year-end 2021.
- Debt and liquidity: Long-term debt, net of unamortized expense and current portion, was $3.286 billion. PGE had $650 million available under its revolving credit facility, no commercial paper outstanding, and $91 million cash; reported total liquidity was $870 million. Its common equity ratio was 45.5%; its debt-to-total-capital ratio under the credit agreement was 55.6%, below the 65% covenant limit.
- Capital and dividends: 2022 capital expenditures are estimated at $755 million, excluding AFUDC. PGE expects to fund capital needs with operating cash flow, short- and long-term debt, and other financing. First-half dividends paid were $77 million.
Material changes versus the prior period
- Q2 wholesale revenue rose $24 million to $65 million, reflecting higher average sales prices and volumes. First-half wholesale revenue rose $47 million to $121 million.
- Q2 purchased power and fuel expense fell $17 million, as lower average variable power costs more than offset higher system load. First-half expense increased $16 million, as higher load offset lower average costs.
- First-half retail energy deliveries increased 2%, led by industrial demand; weather-adjusted retail deliveries increased 2.7%. Residential and commercial deliveries were affected by weather and usage patterns.
- Operating expenses increased 1% in Q2 and 5% for the first half. Higher labor, materials, storm response, vegetation management, and regulatory-test-related expenses contributed to the first-half increase.
- The OPUC approved PGE’s 2022 rate case, with new customer prices effective May 9. The order approved a 9.5% authorized return on equity and a 6.83% cost of capital; it also eliminated the decoupling mechanism, with prorated deferrals continuing through 2022 and ceasing in 2023.
Outlook, management commentary, and risks
- PGE estimates 2022 cash provided by operations of $600 million to $650 million and depreciation and amortization of $410 million to $430 million. It expects to issue up to $220 million of long-term debt in 2022. The filing cites a long-term average diluted-EPS growth objective of 4% to 6%; it does not provide a specific 2022 EPS forecast.
- PGE is pursuing Oregon’s clean-energy requirements: 80% greenhouse-gas emissions reduction by 2030, 90% by 2035, and 100% by 2040. It expects to file its first Clean Energy Plan in spring 2023 and is working toward exiting its 20% interest in Colstrip by the end of 2025. Final negotiations for shortlisted renewable and dispatchable capacity projects were expected before year-end 2022.
- Regulatory recovery is uncertain for wildfire mitigation costs ($20 million deferred at June 30), February 2021 ice-storm costs ($72 million), and other deferred balances. The OPUC’s prudence reviews and earnings tests could result in disallowances and additional charges. The company estimated a $17 million first-quarter charge from 2020 deferral earnings tests, including $15 million for wildfire costs and $2 million for COVID-related deferrals.
- Portland Harbor remediation liability is probable, but PGE cannot reasonably estimate its share; total site remediation costs are estimated by PGE at $1.9 billion to $3.5 billion. Its share could be material to financial position, though the company expects the OPUC-approved recovery mechanism to mitigate operating impacts.
- Federal CFTC, SEC, and FERC investigations into previously disclosed 2020 energy trading losses remain ongoing; management cannot predict their scope or outcome. Colstrip-related ownership litigation is stayed following the bankruptcy filing by Talen Energy Supply’s parent. PGE also faces coal-dust litigation, with trial scheduled for September 2023; losses cannot currently be estimated.
- Key risks include extreme weather and wildfire exposure, wholesale power and natural-gas price volatility, collateral demands, interest rates and inflation, project cost and supply-chain pressures, regulatory decisions, and operational or counterparty failures. PGE reported investment-grade ratings with stable outlooks and effective disclosure controls at June 30, 2022.
Investor facts to verify
- Whether earnings and cash flow remain on track given the first-half net income decline and the stated 2022 operating-cash-flow and capital-spending estimates.
- OPUC decisions on recovery of wildfire, ice-storm, COVID-19, and other regulatory deferrals, including application of earnings tests.
- Potential financial consequences of Portland Harbor remediation and the CFTC, SEC, and FERC investigations related to 2020 trading losses.
- Financing needs and collateral exposure under commodity-price or credit-rating stress, including the estimated additional collateral requirements following a downgrade.
- Progress, cost, and regulatory outcomes for clean-energy procurement and the planned Colstrip exit.