Permianville Royalty Trust quarterly report, Q3 FY2014

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Enduro Royalty Trust (Note: Input metadata referenced "Permianville," but the filing text identifies the registrant as Enduro Royalty Trust).

Reporting Period: Quarterly report (Form 10-Q) for the period ended September 30, 2014.

Business Overview: The Trust is a Delaware statutory trust holding a net profits interest representing the right to receive 80% of the net profits from the sale of oil and natural gas production from underlying properties in Texas, Louisiana, and New Mexico. The Trust is passive; Enduro Resource Partners LLC manages the operations. As of November 4, 2014, 33,000,000 units were outstanding.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Three Months Ended Sep 30, 2014 Nine Months Ended Sep 30, 2014
Income from Net Profits Interest $7,415,563 $25,627,287
Distributable Income $7,175,553 $24,937,275
Distributable Income Per Unit $0.217441 $0.755675
General and Administrative Expenses $(137,011) $(547,201)
Cash and Cash Equivalents (Sep 30, 2014) $228,163
Total Assets (Sep 30, 2014) $538,525,078
Net Profits Interest Asset (Sep 30, 2014) $538,296,915

Liquidity and Debt: The Trust holds no debt. It maintains a $1.0 million letter of credit provided by Enduro to cover administrative expenses if cash on hand is insufficient. No amounts have been drawn on this letter of credit since formation.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Income Decline: Distributable income for the three months ended September 30, 2014, decreased 49% to $7.2 million from $14.0 million in the same period in 2013. For the nine-month period, income decreased 27% to $24.9 million from $34.3 million.
  • Development Expenses: A primary driver of the income decline was a significant increase in development expenses. For the quarter, development expenses rose 567% to $7.3 million (from $1.1 million) due to participation in the Permian Basin Wolfcamp drilling program. For the nine months, these expenses increased 55% to $18.5 million.
  • Hedge Contract Expiration: All hedge contracts related to 2013 production matured by December 31, 2013. Consequently, the Trust received no hedge settlements in 2014, resulting in a loss of income compared to the prior year when hedge settlements contributed to net profits.
  • Production Volumes: Natural gas production volumes decreased 39% in the quarter and 38% in the nine-month period compared to the prior year, attributed to natural decline and timing of cash receipts. Oil volumes remained relatively flat in the quarter but declined 4% for the nine-month period.
  • Commodity Prices: Realized oil prices increased 5% in the quarter and 12% for the nine months. Realized natural gas prices increased 39% in the quarter and 28% for the nine months, partially offsetting volume declines.

Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

  • Unhedged Exposure: All production attributable to the Trust in 2014 and thereafter is unhedged. The Trust is fully exposed to fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices.
  • Subsequent Event: On October 21, 2014, the Trust declared a distribution of $0.064625 per unit, payable November 17, 2014.
  • Accounting Adjustment: Enduro identified an error in prior capital expenditure accruals, resulting in an additional $0.9 million in capital expenditures net to the Trust. This amount will be deducted from the December 2014 distribution. There is no impact on the third-quarter financial statements due to the modified cash basis of accounting.
  • Dissolution Triggers: The Trust will dissolve if annual cash proceeds fall below $2 million for two consecutive years, if 75% of unitholders vote for dissolution, or if the Net Profits Interest is sold.
  • Risk Factors: Key risks include commodity price volatility, uncertainty of reserve estimates, production declines, and the passive nature of the Trust which relies entirely on Enduro's operational decisions.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the impact of the $0.9 million capital expenditure adjustment on the upcoming December 2014 distribution.
  • Monitor the Wolfcamp drilling program's ability to offset natural production declines in future quarters.
  • Assess the sensitivity of future distributions to current unhedged oil and natural gas price levels.
  • Review the Trust's cash reserves and the status of the $1.0 million letter of credit to ensure administrative expenses remain covered.
  • Confirm the timing of cash receipts from operators, as the modified cash basis of accounting means distributions depend on when Enduro is paid, not just when production occurs.