Trendline Rejection vs Breakout
Primary Bias: Bearish Rejection
- The confluence of the downtrend line and the 200 psychological level suggests sellers may defend this zone.
- If price fails to close above 200, expect a pullback toward the green support zone (~192–194).
Execution Plan:
- Entry: Short near 199.50–200.00 with bearish candlestick confirmation (shooting star, bearish engulfing).
- Stop‑loss: Above 202.50 (beyond the trendline and resistance zone).
- Targets:
- TP1: 194.00 (green zone).
- TP2: 190.00 (blue zone).
- Risk/Reward: Aim for at least 1:2.
Alternative Bias: Bullish Breakout
- A decisive close above 202 would invalidate the trendline resistance.
- Breakout traders could then target the purple zone (~206–208).
Execution Plan:
- Entry: Buy on breakout retest above 202.00.
- Stop‑loss: Below 198.50 (back inside the trendline).
- Targets:
- TP1: 206.00.
- TP2: 210.00+.

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