CoreWeave’s Backlog Keeps Growing -- And So Does Its List of Believers

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CoreWeave’s Backlog Keeps Growing -- And So Does Its List of Believers

CoreWeave’s (CRWV) contracted revenue backlog has grown to a level that exceeds the annual revenue generated by most companies in the S&P 500 ($SPX). The backlog is being supported by a customer base that continues to grow in both size and quality. The latest customer is one of the world’s most technically demanding trading firms, which highlights the company’s ability to attract customers with complex and demanding computing requirements. 

On Aug. 20, the company signed a new multi-year agreement with Hudson River Trading, one of the most technically advanced quantitative trading firms. HRT will use CoreWeave’s AI cloud platform for AI trading research and model development. The platform is built on Nvidia’s (NVDA) Vera Rubin platform and Spectrum-X networking, providing the infrastructure HRT needs as it expands its AI and machine learning work. 

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HRT’s head of research and development, Kevin Lee, said that the platform supporting the company’s AI and machine learning research is becoming just as important as the models themselves. He explained that HRT selected CoreWeave because the company understands the requirements of running AI in demanding production environments. CoreWeave Chief Revenue Officer Jon Jones similarly described HRT as a company helping set the standard for bringing AI into performance-critical production environments. 

For CoreWeave, the agreement carries weight because HRT has highly demanding infrastructure needs, where performance and speed are central to its business. Its decision to use CoreWeave adds further evidence that the company’s growing AI capacity is being matched by real customer demand. 

These developments have also prompted Michael Burry to trim his bearish bet on CoreWeave. While I wouldn’t call Burry a believer in CoreWeave’s story now, his less bearish stance will help sentiment around the stock, which turned negative in the last month. In mid-August, I had also called Nebius (NBIS) a better buy than CoreWeave, mainly because of its lower debt load. However, Burry is still short Nebius while trimming his CoreWeave short position. 

About CoreWeave Stock

CoreWeave is a specialized AI cloud infrastructure provider that offers GPU-accelerated computing power for AI workloads. The company has built its platform around Nvidia hardware, which is also the company’s largest shareholder after its founders. It is headquartered in Livingston, New Jersey. 

CoreWeave stock has been volatile this year, reaching a peak of $153.2 and a bottom of $60.55. The sentiment around the stock has shown similar volatility, ranging from ‘it is the best stock to play compute shortage’ to ‘it is nothing more than a GPU rental.'

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The company’s rapid expansion also comes with significant financial demands. CoreWeave carries a heavy debt load linked to its infrastructure spending, increasing the importance of executing on its plan and converting contracted backlog into revenue on schedule. For now, how quickly that backlog turns into revenue and profits remains an important part of the investment story. 

Earnings Show Strength In CoreWeave’s Business

The strongest part of CoreWeave’s growth story may be how much business it has already locked in. The company’s revenue backlog has reached $104.2 billion, while it added another $25 billion in net new commitments in early Q3. That level of contracted demand gives CoreWeave a large amount of revenue already secured on its books. Management has also updated its outlook for the year, raising full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $12.4 billion to $13.2 billion and increasing its year-end active power target to more than 1.85 gigawatts. 

More importantly, the company’s financial results are beginning to show the benefits of that growth. In the second quarter, CoreWeave generated $2.6 billion in revenue, up 112% from a year earlier. In addition, operating cash flow turned positive at $679 million compared with negative $251 million in the year-ago quarter. For the bull case, that move toward positive cash generation is a key sign that the company’s rapid expansion is beginning to translate into stronger financial performance.  

CoreWeave’s growth is not coming at the expense of pricing power. In July, the company repriced its SKUs, increasing average pricing by around 25% across the fleet. Management expects the change to contribute directly to a margin inflection in the fourth quarter. This could improve profitability as the impact of higher pricing starts to show up in CoreWeave’s financial results. The company also has the customer relationships and strategic backing needed to support that growth. It works with major AI companies including Meta Platforms (META), OpenAI, Anthropic, and Microsoft (MSFT), while Nvidia (NVDA) is now its largest shareholder after the founders. The relationship with Nvidia gives CoreWeave strategic support that could be difficult for small competitors to replicate. 

The company now has several positive trends working in its favor, including better pricing, rising backlog, and customer wins such as Hudson River Trading. Its next earnings report, along with any new customer announcements, will provide a clearer indication of whether the company can maintain that momentum. 

What Are Analysts Saying About CoreWeave Stock?

In the last month, analysts have revised their price targets for CRWV higher. Goldman Sachs boosted their price target on the stock from $121 to $139. Citi went from $142 to $159. Barclays — which isn’t as bullish on the stock as the others — still has a $105 price target, up from the previous $90. The mean target price of $140.3 is quite bullish, pointing to 47% upside from here.

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On the date of publication, Jabran Kundi did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

 

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