Credo's Diversification Push: Can It Cut Customer Concentration Risk?

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Credo's Diversification Push: Can It Cut Customer Concentration Risk?

Credo Technology Group CRDO has been delivering explosive revenue growth, but customer concentration remains a key concern.

CRDO delivered 157% year-over-year revenue growth for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026. Four hyperscalers each contributed 10% or more of total revenues in the last reported quarter, with the top three customers representing 34%, 27%, and 16% of revenues. It also has a fifth hyperscaler customer, further strengthening its position within the global cloud ecosystem.

That said, heavy reliance on a few hyperscalers can introduce volatility, particularly given the cyclical nature of AI infrastructure spending.

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Credo is actively working to reduce this reliance through a diversification strategy across hyperscalers, neo clouds and other customers. Neo cloud providers are the emerging players in the AI infrastructure space. This particular set of cloud providers is heavily into AI infrastructure building to support a wide range of applications from model development to inference AI and even Agentic AI workloads. This is driving demand for high-speed connectivity solutions, which bodes well for CRDO.

Notably, management believes this segment could become a meaningful contributor over time, potentially reaching around 20% of revenue.

Nonetheless, Credo continues to expect that three to four customers will account for more than 10% of revenues in the upcoming quarters. This suggests that the diversification push will likely be gradual rather than immediate. Though the customer mix is expected to vary quarter to quarter, hyperscaler spending will remain central to revenue growth given their scale.

Overall, Credo’s concentration risk is unlikely to disappear overnight, but the company is clearly moving toward a more balanced customer base, which could meaningfully reduce this risk over time.

Taking a Look at Rivals’ Hyperscaler Ties

Broadcom AVGO sees massive opportunities in the AI space, as its hyperscaler customers have begun developing their own custom accelerators or XPUs. The company is building custom silicon platforms and enabling massive compute deployments for leading hyperscalers such as Meta, as well as AI companies like Anthropic and OpenAI.  

For OpenAI, AVGO has a contractual commitment to deploy 1.3 gigawatts in 2027 as part of the wider 10-gigawatt agreement by 2029. AVGO announced an agreement with Meta in April under which it would deliver multiple generations of MTIA XPUs and deploy 3 gigawatts by 2028. 
AI semiconductor revenues are expected to reach $16 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, up more than 200% year over year.

Marvell Technology’s MRVL hyperscaler exposure remains central to its growth strategy. On the last earnings call, management highlighted that it now ships DCI solutions to all five major U.S. hyperscalers. It expects to gain from rising demand, driven by large-scale AI clusters that increasingly span several data centers. This shift is accelerating bandwidth needs and driving adoption of higher-speed interconnect solutions like 800G and 1.6T.  

Marvell noted that it is engaged with multiple Tier 1 hyperscalers across emerging areas such as scale-up networks, AECs and XPUs. While hyperscaler traction underscores strong revenue visibility, it also highlights risks stemming from reliance on hyperscaler capex cycles.

CRDO’s Price Performance, Valuation and Estimates

Shares of CRDO have gained 19.7% in the past month, while the Electronics-Semiconductors industry is up 5.4%.

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In terms of the forward 12-month price/sales ratio, CRDO is trading at 17.71, higher than the Electronic-Semiconductors industry’s multiple of 9.14.

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CRDO’s earnings for fiscal 2027 has been revised upward over the past 60 days.

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CRDO currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (CRDO): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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