CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2003

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Quarterly Report)
Period Ended: July 1, 2003 (26 weeks)
Operations: As of July 22, 2003, the Company operated 63 upscale casual dining restaurants under The Cheesecake Factory mark, three Grand Lux Cafe locations, one Cheesecake Factory Express, and a bakery production facility. The Company utilizes a 52/53-week fiscal year.

Key Financial Metrics (26 Weeks Ended July 1, 2003)

Metric Value (in thousands) Prior Year (26 weeks)
Total Revenues $361,480 $315,594
Net Income $27,908 $23,814
Diluted EPS $0.54 $0.47
Operating Cash Flow $47,309 $49,572
Cash & Cash Equivalents $5,302 $11,033 (Dec 31, 2002)
Total Marketable Securities $121,653 $103,453 (Dec 31, 2002)
Long-Term Debt $0 $0
Current Ratio 1.1:1 1.2:1

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Total revenues increased 14.5% to $361.5 million. Restaurant sales grew 19.1% to $344.0 million, driven primarily by new openings ($57.3 million increase) despite a 0.8% decline in comparable restaurant sales due to severe winter weather.
  • Bakery Sales Decline: Bakery sales decreased 34.7% to $17.5 million. This follows a record-setting prior year period and the loss of a large foodservice customer following a product recall in late 2002.
  • Profitability: Net income increased 17.2% to $27.9 million. Operating margins improved slightly to 11.1% from 10.8% in the prior year.
  • Cost Pressures: Labor expenses rose to 31.6% of revenue (from 30.7%) due to fixed cost leverage and weather-related sales volatility. Other operating costs increased to 23.0% of revenue (from 22.4%) due to higher insurance and energy costs.
  • Liquidity: Cash and cash equivalents decreased by $5.7 million to $5.3 million, while total marketable securities increased by $12.5 million to $121.7 million. The Company holds no long-term debt.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Expansion Plans: The Company expects to open up to 14 new restaurants in fiscal 2003. Four have opened YTD; up to 10 are planned for the August-December timeframe.
  • Capital Expenditures: Estimated at $85-$90 million for fiscal 2003, net of landlord contributions. This includes funding for new restaurants, maintenance, and a 20% capacity increase at the current bakery facility.
  • Future Bakery Facility: Evaluation is underway for a second bakery production facility on the East Coast, with work expected to commence in fiscal 2004.
  • Cost Outlook: Management expects food costs to remain stable for contractible commodities but notes fresh produce and dairy remain subject to weather fluctuations. Insurance and energy costs are expected to remain elevated.
  • Legal Proceedings:
    • Proposition 65: California Attorney General filed a lawsuit regarding mercury in fish. The Company has implemented interim notices and does not believe the outcome will have a material adverse effect.
    • Labor Lawsuit: A class-action suit regarding meal and rest breaks is pending; the Company intends to defend vigorously.
  • Stockholder Proposals: At the May 2003 annual meeting, stockholders voted against proposals to expense stock options and separate the Chairman/CEO roles, but voted in favor of submitting equity compensation plans and the poison pill to stockholder approval.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Bakery Recovery: Verify if the large foodservice customer lost in late 2002 has resumed purchasing, as this significantly impacts bakery revenue stability.
  • Comparable Sales: Monitor the trend of comparable restaurant sales, which declined 0.8% YTD due to weather, to assess organic growth health.
  • Opening Timeline: Confirm the timing of the planned 10 restaurant openings in the second half of 2003, as delays could impact revenue and preopening cost recognition.
  • Commodity Costs: Track fresh produce and dairy prices, as the Company cannot contract these for periods longer than 30 days.
  • Legal Exposure: Monitor the status of the California Proposition 65 litigation regarding mercury warnings and potential penalties.