Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2019

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: TCG BDC, Inc. (formerly Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.)
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Quarterly Report)
Period Ended: September 30, 2019
Business Overview: TCG BDC is an externally managed, non-diversified closed-end management investment company regulated as a Business Development Company (BDC). It primarily invests in U.S. middle-market companies through secured debt (first and second lien loans) and equity investments. The company is managed by Carlyle Global Credit Investment Management L.L.C.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q3 2019 (Three Months) YTD 2019 (Nine Months) YTD 2018 (Nine Months)
Total Investment Income $55.8 million $167.8 million $151.2 million
Net Investment Income $26.8 million $82.3 million $79.0 million
Net Realized Gain (Loss) ($10.9 million) ($17.7 million) ($3.0 million)
Net Change in Unrealized Appreciation (Depreciation) ($25.2 million) ($30.5 million) ($35.8 million)
Net Increase (Decrease) in Net Assets from Operations ($9.0 million) $34.5 million $40.3 million
Earnings Per Share (Basic & Diluted) ($0.15) $0.57 $0.64
Total Assets $2.23 billion $2.23 billion $2.08 billion (Dec 31, 2018)
Total Investments (Fair Value) $2.13 billion $2.13 billion $1.97 billion (Dec 31, 2018)
Total Liabilities $1.25 billion $1.25 billion $1.02 billion (Dec 31, 2018)
Net Assets $978.6 million $978.6 million $1.06 billion (Dec 31, 2018)
Net Asset Value (NAV) Per Share $16.58 $16.58 $17.09 (Dec 31, 2018)
Cash and Cash Equivalents $70.3 million $70.3 million $87.2 million (Dec 31, 2018)
Secured Borrowings $756.5 million $756.5 million $514.6 million (Dec 31, 2018)
Notes Payable (Net) $446.2 million $446.2 million $446.0 million (Dec 31, 2018)

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Investment Portfolio Growth: Total investments at fair value increased to $2.13 billion as of September 30, 2019, from $1.97 billion at December 31, 2018. This growth was driven by new originations and accretion, partially offset by repayments and sales.
  • Increased Leverage: Secured borrowings increased significantly to $756.5 million from $514.6 million at the end of 2018, reflecting increased deployment of capital. Total senior securities (borrowings + notes payable) reached $1.21 billion.
  • Net Asset Value Decline: NAV per share decreased to $16.58 from $17.09 at year-end 2018. This decline was primarily due to net unrealized depreciation on investments ($30.5 million YTD) and net realized losses ($17.7 million YTD), partially offset by net investment income.
  • Share Repurchases: The company repurchased 3.22 million shares for $47.5 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2019, reducing the share count from 62.2 million to 59.0 million.
  • Interest Expense: Interest expense increased to $38.6 million YTD 2019 from $26.9 million YTD 2018, consistent with higher outstanding debt balances.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Management Commentary: Management noted that the decrease in weighted average yields on debt investments (from 9.54% to 8.88% on an amortized cost basis) was primarily due to lower LIBOR rates and loans placed on non-accrual status. Investment income increased YTD 2019 compared to 2018 due to a larger invested balance and higher LIBOR rates in the first half of the year.
  • Portfolio Quality: As of September 30, 2019, 99.36% of the portfolio was performing. Non-accrual loans totaled $13.7 million (0.64% of total investments). The weighted average internal risk rating of the debt portfolio was 2.3.
  • Dividends: The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.37 per share on August 5, 2019. A subsequent dividend of $0.37 was declared on November 4, 2019, payable in January 2020.
  • Risks: Key risks include the speculative nature of below-investment-grade instruments, interest rate fluctuations (99.7% of debt is floating rate), and the potential for unrealized losses to become realized. The company is subject to asset coverage requirements under the Investment Company Act, which it met with a ratio of 181.16%.
  • Unfunded Commitments: The company had $173.9 million in unfunded commitments to fund delayed draw and revolving senior secured loans as of September 30, 2019.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Asset Coverage Ratio: Verify the company maintains the required 150% asset coverage ratio under the Investment Company Act (Current: 181.16%).
  • Non-Accrual Status: Monitor the $13.7 million in non-accrual loans and the specific portfolio companies involved (e.g., Dimensional Dental Management, Product Quest Manufacturing) for potential charge-offs.
  • Debt Maturity Profile: Review the maturity schedule of the $756.5 million in secured borrowings and $449.2 million in 2015-1R Notes to assess refinancing risks.
  • Unrealized Losses: Assess the sustainability of the $30.5 million in net unrealized depreciation YTD and its impact on future NAV.
  • Share Repurchase Program: Confirm the remaining capacity of the $100 million share repurchase program ($47.6 million remaining as of Sept 30, 2019).
  • Interest Rate Sensitivity: Evaluate the impact of potential LIBOR changes on net investment income, given the high percentage of floating-rate assets and liabilities.