Fossil Group, Inc. quarterly report, Q1 FY2024

Fossil Group, Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Period clarification: The filing covers the 13 weeks ended March 30, 2024, compared with the 13 weeks ended April 1, 2023. This differs from the request metadata identifying 2023 Q1.

Business context and financial results

Fossil designs, markets and distributes watches, jewelry, leather goods and other fashion accessories worldwide. It sells through wholesale and distributor channels, company-owned stores and e-commerce.

MetricQ1 2024Prior-year quarter
Net sales$254.9 million$325.0 million
Gross profit / margin$133.5 million / 52.4%$160.7 million / 49.4%
Operating loss$29.2 million$37.3 million
Net loss attributable to Fossil / diluted loss per share$24.3 million / $0.46$41.3 million / $0.80
Adjusted EBITDA, non-GAAPLoss of $10.7 millionLoss of $16.4 million
Net cash from (used in) operations$0.6 million$(85.9) million

Sales fell 21.6% reported and 21.5% in constant currency. The company recorded restructuring expenses of $10.1 million, versus $7.1 million in the prior-year quarter. Gross margin improved by 3.0 percentage points, while operating margin remained negative 11.5%.

Sales trends and changes versus prior year

  • Sales declined across all three regions: Americas 20.2%, Europe 25.5% and Asia 18.1% reported.
  • Traditional watch sales decreased 17.3%; smartwatch sales decreased 63.5% as the company exited the category. Leather sales fell 31.5%, and jewelry sales fell 9.3%.
  • Wholesale sales declined 21.3%; direct-to-consumer sales declined 22.0%. Global comparable retail sales decreased 14%.
  • Management attributed weaker sales to soft category demand, cautious wholesale inventory purchasing and lower consumer demand. Smartwatch exits and store closures reduced Q1 sales by $20.7 million year over year.
  • Gross margin benefited from the smartwatch exit, lower freight costs, improved margins in core products and favorable currency effects. Lower sales continued to weigh on operating results.

Cash, debt and liquidity

  • Cash and cash equivalents were $112.9 million at March 30, 2024, including $93.2 million held by foreign subsidiaries. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash totaled $116.9 million for cash-flow reporting purposes.
  • Debt outstanding included $150.0 million of 7.00% senior notes due November 2026 and $57.5 million drawn on the asset-based revolving facility. Balance-sheet debt, net of issuance costs, was $203.3 million in total, including $0.5 million short-term debt.
  • Revolver availability was only $9.9 million; reported total liquidity was $122.8 million. The company was in compliance with debt covenants at quarter-end.
  • Operating cash flow improved by $86.5 million year over year, primarily reflecting a smaller use of working capital. The quarter included $4.3 million of net debt repayments.
  • In April 2024, after quarter-end, the company received $57.3 million of U.S. tax refunds. This is a subsequent event, not quarter-end cash.
  • Fiscal 2024 capital expenditures are estimated at $10 million to $15 million. Management said existing cash, operating cash flows and credit-facility availability are expected to fund needs for at least 12 months, while also stating it is assessing supplemental liquidity options.

Outlook, strategy and risks

  • The expanded Transform and Grow (TAG) plan targets approximately $300 million of annualized operating benefits by the end of 2025. The company estimates total plan charges of $100 million to $120 million, with approximately $25 million of additional charges expected during fiscal 2024.
  • Management expects further year-over-year operating expense savings in the remaining 2024 quarters and expects sourcing initiatives to contribute gross-margin improvement in the second half of 2024. Long-term goals are adjusted gross margins above 50% and adjusted operating margins of approximately 10%.
  • The company closed 45 underperforming stores in 2023 and expects to close approximately 50 more in 2024. It had 277 company-owned stores at quarter-end, down from 327 a year earlier.
  • In March 2024, Fossil announced a strategic review of its business model and capital structure. Potential actions include further cost reductions, asset monetization, and additional debt or equity financing; the company cautioned that outcomes are uncertain.
  • Key risks cited include persistent inflation and weak discretionary demand, cautious wholesale ordering, sourcing concentration in China and potential supply disruptions, currency movements, cybersecurity and privacy incidents, execution of TAG, and the ability to meet debt service and covenant requirements. Sales to distributors in Russia and Israel were on hold; management said those sales were not material.
  • The Q1 tax benefit included $9.6 million of favorable discrete items. The company also reported $17.3 million of unrecognized tax benefits, excluding interest and penalties; certain remaining positions, if resolved favorably, could provide an estimated $14.5 million tax-rate benefit including interest.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether sales and comparable retail trends improve, particularly across wholesale, e-commerce and key regions.
  • Whether TAG delivers its targeted benefits on schedule, including the expected 2024 savings and second-half sourcing improvements, and how much of the targeted benefit is realized as cash savings.
  • How the strategic review addresses limited revolver availability, debt maturities and overall liquidity; assess financing or asset-sale terms if announced.
  • How the $57.3 million tax refund affects cash and liquidity after quarter-end, and whether remaining tax positions are resolved as expected.
  • Whether management updates its outlook, restructuring-charge estimates or capital needs in subsequent filings; this filing provides no full-year revenue or earnings guidance.