Hub Group, Inc. annual report, FY2014

Business context and reporting period

Hub Group, Inc. filed this Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2014. The company is an asset-light freight transportation manager offering intermodal, truck brokerage and logistics services through its Hub and Mode segments. The filing also reports unaudited fourth-quarter results.

Financial performance and liquidity

Unless stated otherwise, figures are in U.S. dollars; annual comparisons are 2014 versus 2013.

  • Revenue: $3.571 billion, up 5.8%. Intermodal revenue was $2.203 billion, truck brokerage $673.2 million and logistics $694.6 million.
  • Gross margin: $370.4 million, down 0.2%; margin declined to 10.4% of revenue from 11.0%.
  • Operating income: $83.9 million, down 26.2%; operating margin was 2.4%, versus 3.4%.
  • Net income and EPS: Net income was $51.6 million, down 25.4%; diluted EPS was $1.40, versus $1.87.
  • Cash flow and capital spending: Operating cash flow was $98.5 million, compared with $117.4 million. Capital expenditures were $119.2 million, including $59 million for tractors and $39 million for containers.
  • Liquidity: Cash and cash equivalents were $109.8 million; current assets were $570.6 million and current liabilities $359.5 million. The company reported $43.9 million available on its revolving credit line and compliance with debt covenants.
  • Debt: Long-term debt, including its current portion, totaled $92.1 million, up from $8.2 million. Capital lease liabilities totaled $18.4 million. The credit facility provides up to $50 million of unsecured borrowing capacity.

Fourth quarter: Revenue was $915.4 million versus $885.3 million in Q4 2013; gross margin was $89.9 million versus $95.1 million; operating income was $24.8 million versus $27.3 million; and net income was $16.4 million versus $16.5 million.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue growth was led by logistics, up 22% overall, and Mode, whose revenue rose 13%. Hub intermodal revenue was essentially flat, with loads down 2%; Hub logistics revenue increased 27%.
  • Operating performance weakened despite revenue growth: transportation costs rose 6.6%, while gross margin was nearly unchanged. Hub segment gross margin fell 4.6%, principally from intermodal service and cost pressures; Mode gross margin increased 12.4%.
  • Net income included $10.3 million of driver settlements and related costs and an $11.9 million software impairment. The software charge followed termination of a long-term project that failed to integrate properly with existing systems.
  • Operating cash flow declined by $18.9 million. Debt issuance of $91.1 million largely funded equipment investment and other cash needs; the company also repurchased $18.0 million of treasury stock.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management expected rail service to improve gradually in 2015 and return to normalized levels in the second half of the year. It said service disruption and poor utilization had materially pressured intermodal margins and that the timing of recovery remained uncertain.
  • The California shift from independent-contractor drivers to employee drivers, begun in September 2014, caused driver shortages, volume declines and elevated costs. Management said the future impact was difficult to estimate. The company reported that 92% of California drivers had accepted individual settlement offers by February 11, 2015; the remaining litigation loss could not be reasonably estimated.
  • Management estimated 2015 capital expenditures of $60 million to $80 million, expected interest expense to increase, and projected an effective tax rate of 38.5%. No earnings or revenue guidance was provided.
  • Other significant risks include dependence on railroads and third-party trucking/drayage capacity, labor disruptions, driver availability and contractor classification, customer and agent retention, transportation-cost pass-through, cyber and technology risks, regulation, and a petition seeking antidumping duties on Chinese-made intermodal containers.
  • The company reported routine business litigation and an Illinois owner-operator classification class action; it could not estimate a possible loss range for the remaining claims. Management did not expect other disclosed litigation to materially affect results or financial position.
  • Ernst & Young issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal control over financial reporting. Management also concluded disclosure controls and internal controls were effective as of year-end.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether rail service and equipment utilization recover as anticipated, and whether that translates into improved Hub intermodal margins.
  • The continuing costs and operational effects of the California driver-model change, and the outcome and exposure from unresolved driver-classification litigation.
  • Whether revenue growth can be converted into stronger gross and operating margins amid higher transportation costs and capacity constraints.
  • Actual 2015 capital spending, equipment financing, debt repayment and available liquidity relative to management’s estimates.
  • Any outcome of the container-duty petition and any further costs or consequences from the terminated software project.