Nextdecade Corp current report, 12 July 2023

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: NextDecade Corp (NEXT)

Reporting Date: July 12, 2023

Event: Final Investment Decision (FID) and closing of financing for the Rio Grande LNG Project (P1 Train Facilities). The Company's indirect subsidiary, Rio Grande LNG, LLC (RGLNG), entered into definitive agreements to fund the development, construction, and operation of the first three liquefaction trains at the Port of Brownsville, Texas.

Key Financial Metrics and Capital Structure

Debt Financing (Senior Secured Debt):

  • CD Credit Agreement: Up to $10.3 billion in construction/term loans and up to $500 million in revolving loans/letters of credit.
  • TCF Credit Agreement: Up to $800 million in construction/term loans, supported by contingent credit from TotalEnergies Holdings SAS.
  • Senior Secured Notes: $700 million aggregate principal of 6.67% Senior Secured Notes due 2033, issued at par.

Equity Contributions:

  • NextDecade (ND Member): Committed aggregate cash contributions of approximately $283 million (including $125 million pre-FID).
  • Investors (TTE Member & Financial Investor Member): Committed aggregate cash contributions of up to approximately $5.9 billion. Approximately $0.3 billion funded as of the report date.

Project Costs:

  • EPC Contract Price: Approximately $11.96 billion (lump-sum) for the P1 Train Facilities.

Covenants:

  • Debt service coverage ratio requirement of at least 1.10:1.00 post-completion.
  • Requirement to hedge or fix interest rates for a minimum of 75% of projected Senior Secured Debt.

Material Changes and Transactions

Financing Closure: The Company secured a comprehensive capital structure combining debt and equity to fund the Rio Grande LNG project, marking a transition from development to construction phase.

Joint Venture Formation: An amended and restated limited liability company agreement was executed for Rio Grande LNG Intermediate Holdings, LLC (JVCo), involving NextDecade, TotalEnergies (TTE Member), and a consortium of financial investors (GIP, GIC, MIC).

Stock Conversion: The FID triggered the conversion of Series A, B, and C Convertible Preferred Stock into approximately 59.5 million shares of NextDecade common stock, scheduled for July 26, 2023.

Construction Notice: A final notice to proceed was issued to Bechtel Energy Inc. for the EPC contracts.

Outlook, Risks, and Management Commentary

Timeline: The commercial operation date for the first train is expected in 2027.

Future Expansion Options:

  • Financial Investor Rights: Option to invest up to 50% of cash equity required for Train 4, Train 5, and associated Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) projects.
  • TotalEnergies Rights: Option to purchase up to 1.5 million metric tonnes of LNG per year for 20 years from Train 4 and Train 5, with corresponding equity funding rights.

Risks and Contingencies:

  • Forward-Looking Statements: Actual results may differ materially due to risks regarding cost, timeline, and funding availability.
  • Covenant Compliance: Breaches of covenants (e.g., debt service coverage) may be cured with equity contributions but could trigger defaults if not addressed.
  • Regulatory/Market: The Notes were sold in a private placement and are not registered under the Securities Act of 1933.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the $11.96 billion EPC contract price and potential exposure to cost overruns, noting the indemnification structure for the Financial Investor Member.
  • Confirm the status of the $5.9 billion equity commitment from investors, specifically the unfunded portion.
  • Monitor the conversion of 59.5 million shares of preferred stock and the subsequent sale of Tranche 2 and Tranche 3 shares to TotalEnergies.
  • Review the specific terms of the 6.67% Senior Secured Notes due 2033, including redemption provisions and cross-default risks.
  • Assess the timeline for the 2027 commercial operation date against construction progress reports.