Netease, Inc. current report, Q4 FY2007

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: NetEase, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTES)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Press Release)
Reporting Period: Third Quarter ended September 30, 2007
Business Overview: A leading China-based Internet technology company providing online game services, advertising, wireless value-added services, and free email services. Key products include Westward Journey Online series and Fantasy Westward Journey.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q3 2007 (RMB) Q3 2007 (USD) Q2 2007 (RMB) Q3 2006 (RMB)
Total Revenues 571.1 million $76.2 million 558.0 million 571.9 million
Gross Profit 441.9 million $59.0 million 437.8 million 448.1 million
Net Profit 260.2 million $34.7 million 312.6 million 314.8 million
EPS (ADS, Diluted) US$0.27
Operating Cash Flow 339.2 million $45.3 million 331.0 million 344.5 million
Cash & Time Deposits 3.1 billion $410.9 million 3.9 billion 3.8 billion

Revenue by Segment (Q3 2007)

  • Online Games: RMB468.7 million (US$62.5 million)
  • Advertising Services: RMB85.5 million (US$11.4 million)
  • Wireless Value-Added Services & Others: RMB16.9 million (US$2.3 million)

Margins (Q3 2007)

  • Online Games Gross Margin: 89.4% (vs. 90.2% Q2 2007)
  • Advertising Gross Margin: 54.0% (vs. 47.2% Q2 2007)
  • Wireless Services Gross Margin: -33.3% (Gross Loss)

Material Changes vs. Prior Periods

  • Revenue: Flat year-over-year (Q3 2007 vs. Q3 2006) and slightly up quarter-over-quarter. Growth in advertising revenue (RMB85.5M vs. RMB65.3M prior quarter) offset declines in online game revenue (RMB468.7M vs. RMB475.1M prior quarter) and wireless services.
  • Profitability: Net profit decreased 16.8% quarter-over-quarter and 17.3% year-over-year. The decline is partly attributed to the absence of a one-time RMB24.4 million tax refund received in Q2 2007.
  • Expenses: Total operating expenses increased to RMB179.0 million (up from RMB142.8 million in Q2 2007), driven by marketing for Westward Journey Online III and increased R&D headcount.
  • Liquidity: Total cash and time deposits decreased to RMB3.1 billion from RMB3.9 billion in Q2 2007. Restricted cash of RMB749.7 million was recorded for a revolving loan facility related to convertible notes.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

Management Commentary

  • Product Launches: Westward Journey Online III commercialized on September 12; new expansion pack for Fantasy Westward Journey released September 25.
  • Strategy: Focus on expanding ad inventory via free email services and enhancing search engine features ahead of the 2008 Beijing Olympics.
  • Share Repurchase: Board authorized a US$120 million share repurchase program (July 2007 – July 2008). As of September 30, 2007, approximately US$30.8 million had been spent.

Risks and Contingencies

  • Convertible Notes: Callable obligations of zero-coupon convertible subordinated notes were reclassified as short-term payables as of September 30, 2007.
  • Market Risks: Risks include intense competition in the online game market, potential regulatory changes in China, and the ability to maintain user engagement for new titles like Tianxia II.
  • Wireless Segment: Continued decline in wireless revenue has led to a deepening gross loss margin in this segment.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Revenue Mix Shift: Verify the sustainability of advertising revenue growth to offset the stagnation in core online game revenue.
  • Wireless Segment Losses: Assess the long-term viability of the wireless value-added services segment, which is operating at a gross loss.
  • Debt Classification: Confirm the impact of reclassifying convertible notes as short-term liabilities on liquidity ratios.
  • One-Time Items: Adjust for the Q2 2007 tax refund when comparing year-over-year profitability trends.
  • Share Buyback Progress: Monitor the execution of the US$120 million share repurchase program against market conditions.