Netease, Inc. current report, Q4 FY2006

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: NetEase, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTES)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Press Release)
Reporting Period: Third Quarter ended September 30, 2006
Business Overview: A leading China-based Internet technology company providing online game services, advertising, and wireless value-added services.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q3 2006 (RMB) Q3 2006 (USD) Q2 2006 (RMB) Q3 2005 (RMB)
Total Revenues 571.9 million $72.4 million 575.3 million 462.6 million
GAAP Net Profit 314.8 million $39.8 million 314.1 million 258.6 million
Non-GAAP Net Profit 340.8 million $43.1 million 340.4 million 258.6 million
Diluted EPS (GAAP) US$0.29 per ADS
Diluted EPS (Non-GAAP) US$0.31 per ADS
Operating Cash Flow 344.5 million $43.6 million 296.5 million 424.9 million
Cash & Time Deposits 3.8 billion $478.7 million 3.6 billion N/A
Share Repurchases ~1.0 million ADSs for $17.1 million (YTD)

Segment Performance (Q3 2006)

  • Online Game Services: RMB467.9 million (US$59.2 million); decreased 3.7% QoQ, increased 25.6% YoY.
  • Advertising Services: RMB83.4 million (US$10.5 million); increased 21.2% QoQ, increased 13.6% YoY.
  • Wireless & Others: RMB20.6 million (US$2.6 million); increased 0.6% QoQ, increased 24.9% YoY.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue: Total revenue decreased slightly (0.6%) quarter-over-quarter but grew 23.6% year-over-year. The decline was driven by a 3.7% drop in online game revenue, attributed to seasonality, increased competition from free-to-play games, and user protests regarding an image in "Fantasy Westward Journey."
  • Profitability: GAAP net profit increased 0.2% QoQ and 21.7% YoY. Non-GAAP net profit increased 0.1% QoQ and 31.8% YoY.
  • Margins: Total non-GAAP gross margin decreased to 82.5% from 83.5% in Q2 2006. Online game non-GAAP gross margin dropped to 89.7% from 91.0% due to costs associated with the launch of "Datang." Conversely, advertising non-GAAP gross margin improved to 58.9% from 53.3%.
  • Expenses: Non-GAAP operating expenses decreased to RMB109.7 million from RMB112.4 million in Q2, primarily due to a one-time software write-off of RMB11.6 million in the prior quarter.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

Management Commentary & Outlook

  • Game Pipeline: "Tianxia II" open beta testing is expected by the end of 2006. "Westward Journey III" internal closed beta is scheduled for Q2 2007. "Datang" is expected to grow in popularity with new content.
  • Product Launches: New blog services and a new home page were launched in October 2006 to drive traffic.
  • Capital Allocation: The company announced a US$100 million share repurchase program; approximately 17.1% has been utilized as of September 30, 2006.

Risks and Contingencies

  • Regulatory Compliance: The Chinese Ministry of Information Industry (MII) issued a notice requiring operators of value-added telecommunication services to own their domain names and trademarks. NetEase operates via Variable Interest Entities (VIEs) and is currently evaluating compliance, which may require modifying its ownership structure.
  • Real Estate: NetEase is negotiating the purchase of an office building in Guangzhou (approx. 20,000 sq meters) which it currently occupies rent-free.
  • Market Risks: Risks include competition in the online game market, potential changes in Chinese government regulation, and fluctuations in the Renminbi exchange rate.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the impact of the MII regulatory notice on NetEase's VIE structure and potential costs to rectify compliance.
  • Monitor the user reception and revenue contribution of the upcoming "Tianxia II" and "Westward Journey III" beta tests.
  • Assess the sustainability of advertising revenue growth given the 21.2% QoQ increase.
  • Review the progress of the US$100 million share repurchase program and its impact on diluted earnings per share.
  • Confirm the status of the Guangzhou office building purchase negotiations and associated capital expenditure.