PATRICK INDUSTRIES INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2023

Patrick Industries, Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: Third quarter and nine months ended October 1, 2023; comparisons are with the periods ended September 25, 2022. Figures below are in millions of dollars except per-share data, percentages, and where noted.

Business context and financial performance

Patrick supplies products and components through its Manufacturing and Distribution segments, serving recreational vehicle (RV), marine, manufactured housing (MH), and industrial markets. Lower customer production and wholesale shipments across most end markets weighed on results.

MetricQ3 2023Q3 20229M 20239M 2022
Net sales$866.1$1,112.1$2,686.9$3,930.0
Gross profit$199.1$236.5$603.3$858.9
Gross margin23.0%21.3%22.5%21.9%
Operating income$71.1$92.8$202.9$428.5
Operating margin8.2%8.3%7.6%10.9%
Net income$39.6$58.8$112.1$288.0
Diluted EPS$1.81$2.43$5.09$11.78

Quarterly sales declined 22% and net income declined 33%; nine-month sales fell 32% and net income fell 61%. Gross margin improved in both comparisons, supported by cost-reduction and automation initiatives, labor efficiencies, and acquisition-related cost profiles. Lower volumes nevertheless pressured fixed-cost absorption and operating margins, particularly year to date.

Q3 sales decreased in each end market: RV 24%, marine 24%, MH 17%, and industrial 19%. Nine-month sales decreased 47% in RV, 4% in marine, 23% in MH, and 13% in industrial. Management attributed declines mainly to lower OEM production and wholesale shipments, dealer inventory reductions, pricing changes, and—in MH and housing-related markets—elevated interest rates and inflation. Market-share gains partly offset declines.

Cash flow, debt, and liquidity

  • Operating cash flow: $293.8 for the first nine months, up from $229.8 a year earlier. Working capital was a $56.1 source of cash, versus a $170.8 use in the prior-year period, partly offsetting lower net income.
  • Investing cash flow: $75.5 used, including $47.4 of capital expenditures and $26.0 for acquisitions. Investing outflow was lower than the prior-year $208.9, largely because acquisition spending decreased.
  • Financing cash flow: $224.8 used. The company repaid $172.5 of 1.00% convertible notes at maturity, funded through revolver borrowings, and paid $30.3 in dividends and $12.2 in stock repurchases.
  • Cash and liquidity: Cash was $16.5 at October 1, 2023, down from $22.8 at December 31, 2022. Management reported $683.1 of availability under its credit facility and expects cash, operating cash generation, and borrowing capacity to cover working capital and capital expenditure needs for at least 12 months, excluding acquisitions.
  • Debt: Gross debt was $1,125.0, versus $1,298.4 at year-end 2022; the 2023 convertible notes were repaid. Net debt, calculated as gross debt less cash, was approximately $1,108.6. Interest expense rose 10% in Q3 and 19% year to date, primarily due to higher variable rates and replacement of the matured notes with higher-rate revolver borrowings.
  • Covenants: The company reported compliance. Secured net leverage was 0.44 against a maximum of 2.75; fixed-charge coverage was 2.88 against a minimum of 1.50. Total net leverage was 2.50.

Material changes, outlook, and risks

Three acquisitions were completed in the first nine months of 2023 for approximately $26.4 in cash consideration, plus contingent consideration. They contributed $9.8 of sales and $0.1 of operating income in the period. Acquisition contributions were modest compared with the prior-year period, when 2022 acquisitions contributed $87.3 of nine-month sales.

The filing provides no specific earnings or revenue guidance. Management cited weaker industry production, consumer affordability pressures, inventory patterns, and housing trends as relevant factors; it also noted that seasonality and dealer ordering can affect results. Management stated that commodity volatility had not materially affected reported results, but cautioned that cost changes may not be passed through to customers on a timely or complete basis. A 100-basis-point increase in SOFR was estimated to add approximately $2.2 of annual interest expense at the stated variable-rate borrowings.

Management did not expect pending claims and litigation to materially affect the company, based on current information. However, the Lusher Street groundwater contamination matter remains subject to uncertainty: the EPA has not selected a final remedy, and an adverse judgment, injunctive relief, or settlement could have a material adverse effect. The company said it has an indemnity from the purchaser of the related properties.

Other notable items include a $5.5 pretax gain on property disposal recorded in the first nine months of 2022, which makes the comparison less favorable for 2023 SG&A. The filing reported effective tax rates of 27.0% for Q3 2023 and 24.9% for the first nine months. Disclosure controls were assessed as effective, and no material change in internal control over financial reporting was reported.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether RV, marine, MH, and industrial customer production and dealer inventory levels stabilize, and how those trends affect sales and fixed-cost absorption.
  • Whether improved gross margins can be sustained as volume, product mix, pricing, and acquisition costs change.
  • Debt, borrowing availability, covenant headroom, and sensitivity to variable interest rates.
  • Cash conversion and working-capital trends, including inventory levels and receivables.
  • Final purchase accounting and contingent consideration for recent acquisitions, and the resolution of the Lusher Site litigation and EPA matter.