Palomar Holdings, Inc. annual report, FY2023

Palomar Holdings, Inc. — FY2023 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, compared primarily with FY2022. This annual filing does not provide a clear standalone fourth-quarter income statement; the figures below are full-year results unless otherwise stated.

Business context

Palomar is a specialty property and casualty insurer serving personal and commercial markets through admitted and excess-and-surplus insurers, program administrators, brokers, and carrier partnerships. Its principal products include earthquake, fronting, inland marine, and casualty insurance. The company emphasizes granular underwriting and uses substantial reinsurance to manage catastrophe exposure.

Financial and operating performance

MetricFY2023FY2022Change
Gross written premiums$1,141.6 million$881.9 million+29.4%
Net written premiums$410.0 million$357.3 million+14.8%
Net earned premiums$345.9 million$316.5 million+9.3%
Total revenue$375.9 million$327.1 million+14.9%
Net investment income$23.7 million$13.9 million+70.8%
Income before taxes$103.6 million$67.6 million+53.4%
Net income$79.2 million$52.2 million+51.8%
Diluted EPS$3.13$2.02—
Operating cash flow$116.1 million$169.6 millionLower
  • Underwriting: Loss ratio was 21.0% versus 24.9%; expense ratio was 55.7% versus 55.5%; combined ratio was 76.6% versus 80.4%. The adjusted combined ratio was 71.2% versus 75.6%. A combined ratio below 100% generally indicates an underwriting profit.
  • Returns: Annualized return on equity was 18.5% versus 13.4%; adjusted ROE was 21.9% versus 18.3%. Adjusted measures are non-GAAP.
  • Premium mix: Fronting premiums rose 63.2% to $364.3 million and represented 31.9% of GWP. Casualty premiums grew 114.8% to $76.9 million. Earthquake products together were 38% of GWP. California accounted for 52.6% of GWP, up from 47.5%.
  • Reinsurance and catastrophe losses: Ceded written premiums increased 39.5% to $731.5 million, or 64.1% of GWP. Catastrophe losses fell to $3.4 million from $15.4 million; non-catastrophe losses rose 9.3% to $69.2 million. Prior-year gross reserves developed favorably by $35.8 million, while net reserves developed unfavorably by $2.2 million.
  • Balance sheet and liquidity: Stockholders’ equity was $471.3 million, up from $384.8 million. Cash, restricted cash, and investments totaled approximately $741.4 million. Operating cash flow remained positive, but declined year over year; investing activities used $128.5 million.
  • Debt: The company had $52.6 million outstanding under its collateralized FHLB line, versus $36.4 million a year earlier. It had no borrowings under its $100 million revolving credit facility; $15 million of facility capacity was pledged and unavailable. The company reported compliance with credit-agreement covenants.
  • Investments: Fixed maturities were $643.8 million, with a 4.07% book yield and 3.48-year weighted-average effective duration at year-end. The filing estimates a 100-basis-point rate increase would reduce their fair value by 3.4%.

Material changes and management commentary

  • Growth reflected increased business with existing partners, retention, expanded distribution, and new partnerships. Fronting and casualty grew rapidly, while the business mix continued to diversify away from earthquake premiums.
  • Net earned premiums grew more slowly than GWP as fronting business increased: Palomar cedes most fronting premium and risk in exchange for fees. Ceded premiums also rose due to increased fronting and quota-share cessions and higher catastrophe reinsurance rates.
  • Investment income benefited from a larger average portfolio and higher yields. The company recorded $2.9 million of net realized and unrealized investment gains, versus $7.5 million of losses in FY2022.
  • Other underwriting expenses rose 27.4% to $88.2 million, mainly from payroll, technology, and stock-based compensation associated with growth.
  • Management describes its priorities as profitable growth, continued diversification, disciplined risk selection, and ongoing investment in technology and reinsurance. It provides no quantified forward earnings or premium guidance in the supplied filing text.

Risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • Catastrophes, climate-related weather changes, inflation in repair costs, and uncertainty in catastrophe models could produce losses beyond estimates. The stated catastrophe event retention is $17.5 million before tax; stated reinsurance limits extend to $2.71 billion for earthquakes, $900 million for Hawaii hurricanes, and $100 million for continental U.S. hurricanes. Reinsurance does not remove Palomar’s primary obligation to policyholders, and collectability is a risk.
  • California concentration increased to 52.6% of GWP; California and Texas together represented about 61%. Changes in those states’ catastrophe experience or regulation could materially affect results.
  • Loss reserves require significant judgment. Gross reserves were $342.3 million, including $218.1 million of IBNR; net reserves were $97.7 million. Ernst & Young identified reserve valuation as a critical audit matter, while issuing an unqualified opinion on the financial statements and internal controls.
  • Distribution and program-administrator concentration remain relevant: the largest administrator produced 34.5% of GWP and the second largest 13.3% in 2023. Fronting volumes may fluctuate with partnership starts and terminations.
  • Other stated risks include reinsurance availability and counterparty credit, competition, investment-market and interest-rate volatility, cyber incidents, regulatory change, claims inflation, and the possibility of reserve inadequacy.
  • The company repurchased 418,901 shares for $22.3 million in 2023; $43.5 million remained authorized. It does not intend to pay common-stock dividends in the foreseeable future. Routine legal proceedings were not expected to have a material effect.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether premium growth—especially fronting growth—translates into durable net earned premium, fee income, and underwriting returns after reinsurance costs.
  • Renewal and pricing trends, and whether California exposure and reliance on major program administrators remain within management’s risk appetite.
  • Reserve development, IBNR assumptions, and reinsurance recoverables; the filing reports $244.6 million of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses and $276.8 million of aggregate recoverables.
  • Reinsurance renewal pricing, limits, exclusions, and counterparty concentration, including the catastrophe-bond protection and its renewal dates.
  • Liquidity and capital allocation, including the FHLB borrowing balance, share repurchases, and regulatory limits on subsidiary dividends.
  • The contractual-obligations table in the supplied filing text appears internally inconsistent: its stated total does not reconcile to the displayed reserve and lease obligations. Verify the original filing’s table before relying on those totals.