REPUBLIC BANCORP INC quarterly report, Q2 FY2012

Republic Bancorp, Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: Three and six months ended June 30, 2012; balance sheet compared with December 31, 2011. Republic Bancorp is a Kentucky-based bank holding company with Traditional Banking, Mortgage Banking and Republic Processing Group (RPG) operations.

Key financial results

MetricQ2 2012Q2 2011Six months 2012Six months 2011
Net interest income$28.3 million$26.8 million$101.5 million$110.8 million
Provision for loan losses$0.5 million$(0.4) million credit$11.6 million$17.6 million
Noninterest income$14.1 million$15.4 million$120.9 million$102.7 million
Noninterest expense$27.5 million$28.5 million$68.6 million$71.3 million
Net income$9.6 million$8.7 million$92.1 million$80.1 million
Diluted Class A EPS$0.46$0.41$4.38$3.82
  • Q2 net income rose 11%; first-half net income rose 15%. First-half results included a $27.8 million pre-tax bargain purchase gain from the Tennessee Commerce Bank (TCB) acquisition, making the year-over-year increase less indicative of recurring earnings.
  • Q2 net interest margin was 3.53%, versus 3.50% a year earlier. The filing reports a first-half total-company margin of 5.73%, versus 6.48%; this measure is materially affected by seasonal tax-refund loan fees. Traditional Banking margin was 3.58% for the first half, up from 3.42%.
  • At June 30, assets were $3.28 billion, loans net of allowance were $2.42 billion, deposits were $1.91 billion, and stockholders’ equity was $539.7 million. Since year-end, net loans rose $157 million and deposits rose $171 million, while total assets declined $141 million, largely alongside a reduction in cash.
  • Cash and equivalents were $124.4 million, down from $363.0 million at year-end. First-half operating cash flow was $128.4 million; investing cash flow was $847.4 million, including $846.4 million of net proceeds from the FDIC-assisted transaction; financing cash flow was $(1.21) billion. Cash declined by $238.6 million over the period.
  • FHLB advances fell to $538.6 million from $934.6 million; the subordinated note remained $41.2 million. The bank reported $448 million of additional FHLB borrowing capacity and $216 million of unsecured lines in the financial-statement note; the MD&A separately describes $196 million of other-institution lines plus a $20 million holding-company line.
  • Regulatory capital ratios remained strong: Republic Bancorp total risk-based capital was 27.50% and Tier I leverage was 16.94%; Republic Bank & Trust Co. ratios were 26.24% and 15.01%, respectively. The bank was categorized as well-capitalized.

Material changes and operating trends

  • Q2 net interest income improved 6% year over year, helped by loan growth and lower funding costs. First-half net interest income fell 8%, primarily because of lower Refund Anticipation Loan (RAL) fees; RPG net interest income declined $13.7 million.
  • First-half noninterest income increased 18%, substantially reflecting the TCB bargain purchase gain. Electronic refund check fees fell to $77.9 million from $87.6 million; mortgage banking income rose to $3.3 million from $1.7 million.
  • TCB was acquired from the FDIC on January 27, 2012. The transaction included approximately $947 million of deposits and $56 million of acquired loans at fair value, and produced a $27.8 million pre-tax bargain purchase gain. Most acquired interest-bearing deposits left after repricing; $75 million of TCB deposits remained at June 30. Branch consolidation and core-system conversion were completed in July.
  • Total loans were $2.44 billion before allowance, up from $2.29 billion at year-end. Nonperforming loans improved to $22.6 million, or 0.93% of loans, from $23.3 million, or 1.02%; however, nonperforming assets rose to $40.9 million from $34.3 million, principally due to higher other real estate owned (OREO). Impaired loans rose to $92.2 million from $77.2 million, and TDRs increased to $78.7 million from $67.0 million.
  • The allowance for loan losses was $22.5 million, or 0.92% of loans, versus $24.1 million, or 1.05%, at year-end. First-half net charge-offs were $13.2 million, including $7.7 million net RAL charge-offs. Management cited improving delinquency and nonperforming-loan trends but remained cautious about economic and credit risks.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • RB&T discontinued RAL originations after the 2012 tax season under its FDIC settlement. Management expects this to materially reduce net income in 2013 and beyond; RALs represented about 34% of TRS net income in the first half of 2012. ERC/ERD revenue may also face lower volumes and pricing pressure, and future TRS contribution was not yet predictable because pricing and revenue-sharing discussions remained open.
  • Management expects continued downward repricing of loans and investments to pressure net interest income and margins. It may add longer-term FHLB funding to manage rising-rate exposure, which could weigh on near-term earnings. In the filing’s modeled rising-rate scenarios, projected Traditional Banking net interest income was modestly below the base case at +100 and +200 basis points.
  • TCB integration costs accrued through June 30 were approximately $1.4 million. The acquisition’s fair values remained subject to adjustment within the one-year measurement period.
  • The bank’s single illiquid private-label mortgage-backed security had a $4.6 million fair value and $1.2 million unrealized loss. Management said further deterioration could result in impairment charges of up to $5.8 million, its gross amortized cost.
  • Liquidity considerations include a 136% loan-to-deposit ratio excluding brokered deposits and $255 million in 39 large non-sweep deposit relationships, with $167 million in the ten largest. Management noted that replacing withdrawn deposits could cost more. It also anticipated possible pressure on noninterest-bearing deposits when unlimited FDIC coverage was scheduled to expire at year-end 2012.
  • A putative class action alleges improper overdraft-fee assessment. The case was stayed pending a Sixth Circuit decision on a related standing issue; management could not estimate any possible loss or range of loss.
  • The new RPS prepaid-card operation was being developed and was expected to be immaterial in the near term. The filing provides no formal company-wide earnings guidance.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • How much of first-half earnings growth is recurring after excluding the $27.8 million TCB bargain gain and seasonal tax-related earnings?
  • What are the expected 2013 earnings and ERC/ERD pricing effects after RAL discontinuation, and how are partner negotiations progressing?
  • Are acquired TCB assets, OREO valuations, impaired loans and the allowance adequately measured as fair values are finalized?
  • What is the sustainability of deposit funding and liquidity given the loan-to-deposit ratio, large depositor concentration, and differing disclosures of available unsecured lines?
  • What is the potential financial exposure from the overdraft litigation and the private-label mortgage security?
  • Confirm the filing’s differing TCB interest-bearing deposit runoff disclosures: approximately 93% in one note and 94% in MD&A.