SMITH A O CORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2011

A. O. Smith Corporation — Q3 2011 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2011. Amounts are in U.S. dollars; financial statement amounts are in millions except per-share data. EPC is presented as discontinued operations following its sale.

Business context and significant transactions

  • The continuing business is Water Products, manufacturing water heaters, boilers and related products, principally in North America and China.
  • On August 22, 2011, the company sold its Electrical Products segment (EPC) to Regal Beloit for $752.5 million in cash and 2.83 million Regal Beloit shares. EPC results are classified as discontinued operations.
  • On August 26, the company acquired Lochinvar, a boiler manufacturer, for approximately $418.1 million net of cash acquired. The agreement includes a contingent payment of up to $35 million; the estimated amount at September 30 was $16.7 million.

Key financial results

MetricQ3 2011Q3 2010Nine months 2011Nine months 2010
Continuing net sales$412.0$377.4$1,234.7$1,119.1
Gross profit$118.7$107.2$357.6$329.7
Gross margin28.8%28.4%29.0%29.5%
Earnings from continuing operations$26.9$16.2$79.7$36.6
Diluted continuing EPS$0.58$0.35$1.71$0.79
Net earnings attributable to A. O. Smith$182.3$32.0$273.6$79.5
Diluted total EPS$3.91$0.69$5.87$1.72
  • Q3 continuing sales increased 9.2%; nine-month sales rose 10.3%. Management attributed growth to Lochinvar, stronger China and India sales, North American gas instantaneous products and pricing actions, partly offset in Q3 by lower U.S. residential and commercial water-heater volumes.
  • Q3 Water Products operating earnings were $39.9 million versus $37.6 million. Nine-month operating earnings were $138.1 million versus $89.3 million; the prior period included $34.2 million of flood expense, while 2011 included an $11.2 million supplier-settlement gain and an $8.2 million Canadian warranty provision.
  • Q3 net earnings included $150.3 million after tax from the EPC sale. Nine-month discontinued operations contributed $193.9 million after tax, including $43.6 million of operating earnings and the $150.3 million sale gain. Total net earnings therefore substantially exceed continuing-operations earnings.

Cash flow, liquidity and debt

  • Cash and cash equivalents were $440.6 million at September 30, compared with $118.9 million at year-end 2010. Total assets were $2,358.7 million and stockholders’ equity was $1,123.5 million.
  • Total debt was $394.9 million, up from $261.0 million at year-end; debt to total capitalization was 26%, versus 23%. The company had $132 million of available capacity under its $425 million revolving credit facility and reported compliance with its leverage and interest-coverage covenants.
  • Working capital from continuing operations was $765.5 million. Management attributed its increase primarily to EPC sale proceeds, partly offset by the Lochinvar purchase, and to other balance-sheet changes.
  • Continuing operating activities used $67.9 million of cash in the first nine months, compared with providing $36.6 million in 2010. The company made $175 million of pension contributions during the period. Total operating cash flow, including discontinued operations, was negative $69.4 million.
  • Continuing investing activities used $454.8 million, including $418.1 million for Lochinvar and $36.7 million of capital expenditures. Financing activities provided $118.1 million, including $152.9 million of debt proceeds and $20.3 million of dividends paid.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management raised full-year 2011 EPS guidance to $2.00–$2.10, including an estimated net $0.04 per-share benefit from Lochinvar. Guidance excludes potential future acquisitions, the supplier settlement and related warranty-reserve addition, and the impact of the hedged Regal Beloit shares.
  • Management expected Lochinvar to contribute approximately $0.14 per share from operations, offset by about $0.10 per share in non-recurring purchase-accounting charges and acquisition fees. It cited a roughly 8% expected sales growth rate for Lochinvar over the next several years.
  • Management expected North American residential water-heater industry unit growth to be essentially flat for 2011 and commercial units to increase modestly. China water-heater sales grew approximately 17% in Q3; management expected continued growth at two to three times China GDP growth.
  • Management forecast full-year operating cash flow of approximately $10–$15 million, December 2011 tax payments of about $105 million, capital expenditures of approximately $60 million, and depreciation and amortization of approximately $45 million. It did not expect further pension contributions this year or in the next few years.
  • Notable accounting and market exposures include a $60 million tax accrual related to foreign earnings from the EPC sale; the Regal Beloit shares and an equity collar expiring in March 2012; and a preliminary Lochinvar purchase-price allocation subject to refinement. The filing reports a $26.1 million year-to-date gain on the collar and related valuation activity.
  • Risks identified include acquisition integration and expected returns, boiler-market demand and the shift to high-efficiency products, housing and commercial construction weakness, raw-material volatility, pricing and competition, China’s economic outlook, and investment-value fluctuations. The filing says disclosure controls were effective; Lochinvar was not yet included in the 2011 internal-control evaluation.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Separate recurring continuing-business performance from the EPC sale gain, Regal Beloit mark-to-market effects, supplier settlement, warranty charges and prior-year flood expense.
  2. Track Lochinvar integration, acquisition accounting, the estimated $16.7 million contingent payment and the expected EPS contribution.
  3. Monitor operating cash conversion, pension-related tax effects, the forecast tax payment, debt levels and remaining revolver capacity.
  4. Review the final tax, working-capital and purchase-price allocations, and the timing and marketability of the Regal Beloit shares.
  5. Assess whether North American demand, China growth, pricing and material costs develop in line with management’s outlook and EPS guidance.