Black Stone Minerals, L.P. annual report, FY2020

Black Stone Minerals, L.P. — FY2020 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2020. This is an annual report, not a standalone fourth-quarter filing; quarterly figures are noted where relevant. The partnership owns mineral and royalty interests across 41 U.S. states and also holds non-operated working interests. Its financial statements received an unqualified audit opinion, and the auditor also gave an unqualified opinion on internal controls over financial reporting.

Key financial and operating metrics

Metric20202019
Total revenue$342.8 million$487.8 million
Net income$121.8 million$214.4 million
Net income attributable to common and subordinated units$100.8 million$193.4 million
Basic earnings per common unit$0.49$1.01
Operating income / operating margin$132.1 million / 38.5%$235.2 million / 48.2%
Operating cash flow$281.8 million$412.7 million
Adjusted EBITDA / distributable cash flow$281.3 million / $255.4 million$399.5 million / $355.4 million
Production15.219 million Boe; 41.6 MBoe/d17.716 million Boe; 48.5 MBoe/d
Year-end credit facility borrowings$121.0 million$394.0 million
Cash and cash equivalents$1.8 million$8.1 million
Current assets / current liabilities$66.5 million / $39.9 million$102.3 million / $29.8 million
Cash distributions declared per common unit$0.68$1.48

Oil and condensate sales were $148.6 million and natural gas and NGL sales were $138.9 million. Realized prices, before derivatives, averaged $38.16 per barrel for oil and $2.04 per Mcf for natural gas. Production costs and ad valorem taxes were $2.86 per Boe. The filing does not provide a clear consolidated gross-margin measure.

Material changes versus 2019

  • Revenue fell 29.7%, reflecting lower realized commodity prices, reduced production, and lower lease bonus income. Production declined 14.1%; realized oil and gas prices fell 30.9% and 20.6%, respectively.
  • Net income declined 43.2%. Operating cash flow decreased $130.9 million, while distributable cash flow fell $100.0 million.
  • Commodity derivatives contributed a $46.1 million gain in 2020, versus a $5.0 million loss in 2019. The 2020 result included $81.3 million of realized gains and $35.2 million of unrealized losses.
  • The partnership recorded a $51.0 million impairment of oil and gas properties, compared with none in 2019, and $4.8 million of workforce restructuring charges. G&A expense nevertheless decreased 32.2%.
  • Proceeds of $150.6 million from Permian asset sales were used to reduce debt; the sales generated a $24.0 million accounting gain. No acquisitions were made in 2020.
  • Proved reserves decreased from 68.5 million Boe to 56.0 million Boe. Reserves were 97.1% proved developed, compared with 88.9% in 2019.

Liquidity, debt, distributions, and outlook

  • Operating cash flow was $281.8 million. Investing activities provided $151.2 million, primarily due to asset-sale proceeds; financing activities used $439.4 million, including net credit-facility repayments. Year-end cash was $1.8 million.
  • The revolving credit facility had a $400 million borrowing base at year-end, $121 million outstanding, and $279 million of unused borrowing availability. It matures November 1, 2022. The partnership was compliant with its financial covenants at year-end; the next borrowing-base redetermination was scheduled for April 2021.
  • Credit covenants require total debt to EBITDAX of no more than 3.5:1 and a current ratio of at least 1.0:1. Distributions are restricted in specified default or borrowing-base circumstances.
  • Common-unit distributions were reduced during 2020. The Board declared $0.15 per common unit for the fourth quarter, paid February 23, 2021; the annual total declared was $0.68 per unit. Series B preferred units receive priority distributions at a 7% annual rate; $21 million was distributed to preferred holders in 2020.
  • Management budgeted approximately $5 million of 2021 non-operated working-interest capital expenditures, net of farmout reimbursements. Most was expected to support Austin Chalk test wells; the remainder was for workovers. The filing provides no formal earnings or distribution guidance.
  • Management cited EIA forecasts of average WTI prices of about $49.70 per barrel in 2021 and $49.81 in 2022, and Henry Hub gas prices of $3.01 and $3.27 per MMBtu, respectively. These are external forecasts, not company guidance. At year-end, hedges covered 98% of available 2021 oil volumes and 80% of available gas volumes.

Management commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • COVID-19, lower commodity prices, and reduced operator drilling and completion activity pressured volumes and revenue; some production was temporarily shut in. Management said most shut-in production had returned, but activity remained below pre-pandemic levels.
  • The borrowing base fell from $650 million to $400 million during 2020, reflecting market conditions and asset sales. Management warned that further low prices could prompt additional impairments or borrowing-base reductions.
  • The Shelby Trough is a concentration risk: two operators generated 13% of royalty revenue and 54% of working-interest revenue in 2020. XTO completed all 13 DUCs covered by its incentive agreement by January 18, 2021. Aethon’s development agreement includes minimum well commitments in Angelina County.
  • Other material risks include commodity-price volatility, reliance on third-party operators, reserve-estimation uncertainty, environmental and climate regulation, hydraulic-fracturing and disposal-well restrictions, access to capital, and the possibility that cash generation will not support common-unit distributions.
  • The partnership’s reserves and impairment estimates depend on assumptions about prices, production, costs, and development. Applying a 10% discount to reserve-report commodity prices would reduce estimated proved reserve volumes by approximately 4%.
  • Legal claims arising in the ordinary course were not expected by management to have a material adverse effect. No material off-balance-sheet arrangements were reported.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether production, realized prices, and operator drilling activity recover, particularly in the Shelby Trough and Austin Chalk areas.
  • Results of the April 2021 borrowing-base redetermination and continued compliance with credit-facility covenants.
  • Hedge volumes, settlement outcomes, and the effect of derivative fair-value changes on reported revenue and cash flow.
  • Whether proved reserves, impairment assumptions, and development plans remain supportable under actual commodity prices and operator activity.
  • The sustainability of common-unit distributions after preferred-unit priority payments, debt service, and required investment.