CHIMERA INVESTMENT CORP annual report, FY2019

Chimera Investment Corporation — 2019 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2019; the filing also reports fourth-quarter results. Chimera is a mortgage REIT investing mainly in residential mortgage loans and Agency and Non-Agency mortgage-backed securities. Its principal earnings source is net interest income, with leverage used to finance investments.

Financial performance and position

Metric20192018
Interest income$1.361 billion$1.273 billion
Interest expense$758.8 million$679.1 million
GAAP net interest income$602.3 million$594.2 million
Net income$413.6 million$411.6 million
Net income available to common shareholders$340.8 million$368.4 million
Basic earnings per common share$1.82$1.97
Common dividends declared per share$2.00$2.00
Total assets$27.12 billion$27.71 billion
Total stockholders’ equity$3.95 billion$3.70 billion
Book value per common share$16.15$15.90
Cash and cash equivalents at year-end$109.9 million$47.5 million

Annual economic net interest income, a non-GAAP measure that includes realized swap settlements, was $597.4 million versus $593.5 million. The economic net interest spread narrowed to 2.0% from 2.2%, and net interest margin declined to 2.4% from 2.7%.

The cash flow statement reports $65.0 million provided by operating activities, $1.24 billion provided by investing activities, and $1.24 billion used in financing activities. Cash increased $62.4 million during the year. The MD&A narrative, however, describes operating activities as using approximately $65 million; this conflicts with the cash flow statement and warrants verification.

Year-end interest-bearing debt was approximately $21.7 billion; total debt-to-equity leverage was 5.5:1, down from 6.1:1, and recourse leverage was 3.4:1, down from 3.8:1. Repurchase agreements totaled $13.43 billion. Most Agency repo financing was short-term and renewable, exposing the company to refinancing, collateral and margin-call risk.

In fourth-quarter 2019, net income available to common shareholders was $111.9 million, or $0.60 per basic share. Net interest income was $171.5 million, compared with $141.6 million in the third quarter.

Material changes versus 2018

  • Interest income rose 7%, but interest expense rose 12%; GAAP net interest income increased modestly.
  • Common earnings fell to $340.8 million from $368.4 million, and basic EPS declined to $1.82 from $1.97. The filing attributes the decline mainly to higher preferred dividends and other expenses.
  • Derivative losses increased to $500.4 million from $122.8 million, including $359.7 million of realized losses on terminated swaps. Chimera paid $360 million to terminate swaps with $6.4 billion notional value. These losses were partly offset by $409.6 million of unrealized gains on financial instruments at fair value.
  • Portfolio mix shifted toward residential mortgage loans: loans were 55% of interest-earning assets at amortized cost versus 47% in 2018; Agency RMBS declined to 26% from 35%. Agency RMBS fair value fell to $6.49 billion from $9.24 billion, while loans held for investment rose to $14.29 billion from $12.57 billion.
  • Year-end book value per common share increased to $16.15 from $15.90. Management linked the increase to lower interest rates, which raised asset values while reducing the value of hedges.
  • Chimera issued $193 million net proceeds of Series D preferred stock in January 2019. Preferred dividends rose to $72.7 million from $43.2 million.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

Management said it would continue seeking high-yielding investments while managing risk, and described the core portfolio as performing well. It noted three Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2019, repo-market volatility beginning in September, and lower short-term rates that reduced fourth-quarter financing costs. Lower mortgage rates also accelerated prepayments. The company reported no specific earnings or balance-sheet guidance.

The board announced its intention to continue common dividends at $0.50 per share quarterly during 2020; this is not a commitment, and the board may reduce or eliminate dividends. Chimera declared $2.00 per common share for 2019.

  • Leverage and short-term, largely uncommitted repo financing create exposure to rising funding costs, lender withdrawal, collateral haircuts and margin calls.
  • Credit exposure includes seasoned and subprime residential loans, subordinate securitization interests and Non-Agency RMBS. At year-end, 91.6% of Non-Agency RMBS was rated below B or unrated; geographic exposure included California, Florida and New York.
  • Valuation and earnings depend on management estimates of Level 3 assets. Level 3 represented about 64% of assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis, versus 55% in 2018. The auditor identified valuation of Level 3 instruments and interest-income estimates for Non-Agency RMBS and loans as critical audit matters.
  • Interest-rate, prepayment, extension and basis risks may affect net interest income, asset values and hedging effectiveness. The filing’s sensitivity analysis estimates a 41.5% decline in annual net interest income under an immediate 100-basis-point rate increase, under stated assumptions.
  • Other risks include securitization and servicing execution, LIBOR transition, regulatory and REIT qualification requirements, and potential limits on selling or hedging retained credit-risk interests.
  • The filing reports no legal proceedings and no subsequent events. Ernst & Young issued an unqualified opinion on the financial statements and internal controls.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Reconcile the MD&A’s statement that operating cash flow was negative with the audited cash flow statement’s reported positive $65.0 million.
  • Assess sustainability of common dividends against taxable income, cash generation, preferred dividend priority and financing needs; the stated 2020 dividend rate is only an intention.
  • Review repo maturities, lender concentration, collateral haircuts, liquidity buffers and potential margin calls under stressed market conditions.
  • Examine assumptions and sensitivity for Level 3 loan, Non-Agency RMBS and securitized-debt valuations, as well as expected credit losses and prepayments.
  • Evaluate the effect of the $360 million swap termination loss, remaining hedge coverage and rate sensitivity on future funding costs and book value.