Dauch Corp quarterly report, Q2 FY2012

Business context and reporting period

The filing is American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.’s (AAM) unaudited Form 10-Q for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2012—not a filing identified as Dauch Corp. AAM supplies driveline, drivetrain and chassis products to automakers. General Motors represented approximately 74% of first-half 2012 sales; Chrysler represented 9%.

Financial performance

MetricQ2 2012Q2 2011Six months 2012Six months 2011
Net sales$739.8m$686.2m$1,491.3m$1,331.8m
Gross profit / margin$85.8m / 11.6%$130.5m / 19.0%$225.0m / 15.1%$245.9m / 18.5%
Operating income / margin$30.3m / 4.1%$71.7m / 10.4%$107.7m / 7.2%$130.4m / 9.8%
Net income attributable to AAM$4.7m$49.2m$55.9m$86.9m
Diluted EPS$0.06$0.65$0.74$1.15
Operating cash flowNot separately stated for the quarter$24.6m$116.5m

For the six months, capital expenditures were $92.9m, so operating cash flow less capital expenditures was negative $68.3m. Cash fell to $85.2m from $169.2m at year-end 2011. At June 30, total debt was $1,174.3m; stockholders’ deficit was $394.7m. The company reported $296.9m available under its revolving credit facility and $32.6m available under foreign credit facilities.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Sales rose about 8% in Q2 and 12% in the first half, reflecting stronger automotive production and approximately 7% higher production volumes on supported major North American truck and SUV programs. Non-GM sales grew 8.5% in the first half.
  • Profit and margins declined despite higher sales. AAM cited special charges and restructuring costs related to Detroit and Cheektowaga plant closures, a UAW benefits claim, higher freight and material costs, and higher warranty accruals. First-half R&D spending increased to $58.9m from $53.6m.
  • First-half operating cash flow declined substantially year over year. The filing attributes pressure in part to approximately $28m from changes in GM supplier payment-term administration, $33.2m of cash payments for special charges, and higher interest paid.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • No sales or earnings guidance is provided. Management expects 2012 capital spending of 6.0%–6.5% of sales, supporting significant program launches in 2012 and 2013, and believes cash, operating cash flow and committed credit capacity will meet liquidity needs.
  • AAM recorded a $28.1m Q2 expense for potential pension and postretirement benefits if the International UAW prevails in litigation concerning closed facilities. AAM disputes the claims; estimates could change with case developments and actuarial assumptions.
  • First-half gross profit included $24.2m of restructuring-related expense, a $21.8m OPEB curtailment gain, and a $5.2m settlement gain from terminating a UAW legal-services plan. The Q2 comparison also includes $36.3m of special charges and other restructuring costs; Q2 2011 gross profit included a $6.1m equipment-sale gain.
  • Management estimated approximately $35m of regulatory pension funding for 2012, excluding potential MAP-21 relief and possible additional funding related to the facility closures, and approximately $16m of 2012 OPEB cash outlay net of GM cost sharing. It expected about $3.5m of additional special-charge and restructuring payments during the rest of 2012.
  • Key risks include dependence on GM, cyclical auto demand, program launches and customer volumes, warranty and litigation exposure, labor relations, raw-material costs, currency movements, and access to financing. AAM reported no material change to previously disclosed risk factors.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Confirm the issuer identity: the supplied filing is for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc., despite the Dauch Corp metadata.
  • Track resolution and potential cost of the UAW lawsuit, and any resulting pension-funding changes.
  • Assess whether margins recover as restructuring costs abate and new programs launch, given lower content per vehicle and 4WD/AWD penetration.
  • Monitor cash conversion, working-capital movements, capital spending, pension/OPEB funding and remaining credit availability.
  • Review customer concentration and the sustainability of the company’s stated liquidity expectations.