DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP. annual report, Q4 FY2021

Daqo New Energy Corp. — FY2021 Form 20-F

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2021. This is an annual report, not a quarterly filing; it does not provide a clear set of standalone fourth-quarter financial results. Financial statements are prepared under U.S. GAAP and reported in U.S. dollars.

Business context

Daqo is a China-based producer of high-purity polysilicon for photovoltaic manufacturers. Its continuing business is principally polysilicon production in Xinjiang; wafer operations were discontinued in 2018 and the discontinued operation had no impact on 2021 results. Xinjiang Daqo, the principal operating subsidiary, completed a Shanghai STAR Market IPO in July 2021. Daqo retained an 80.7% ownership interest at year-end.

Financial and operating highlights

MetricFY2021FY2020
Revenue$1,678.8 million$675.6 million
Gross profit / gross margin$1,097.2 million / 65.4%$234.0 million / 34.6%
Operating income$1,051.4 million$187.9 million
Net income$864.8 million$133.8 million
Net income attributable to Daqo shareholders$748.9 million$129.2 million
Basic / diluted EPS per ordinary share$2.03 / $1.95$0.36 / $0.34
Operating cash flow$639.0 million$209.8 million
Investing cash flow$(781.9) million$(118.3) million
Financing cash flow$736.2 million$(95.5) million
  • Revenue and margin: Revenue rose 148.5%. Average selling price increased 147.2%, from $8.98/kg to $22.19/kg, while external sales volume increased 0.7%, to 75,356 MT. Gross profit increased 368.9%; management attributed the margin expansion principally to higher selling prices.
  • Production and costs: Polysilicon production was 86,587 MT, versus 77,288 MT in 2020. Management said production cost increased year over year, mainly because of higher raw-material costs, but would have declined excluding that impact due to energy savings and manufacturing-efficiency gains. The filing does not provide a clear FY2021 average production-cost figure in the supplied text.
  • Cash, liquidity and debt: At year-end, cash and cash equivalents were $723.8 million and restricted cash was $0.2 million. Current assets exceeded current liabilities by $1,192.5 million. The company reported no bank borrowings at year-end, having repaid outstanding bank loans during 2021. Short-term investments were $280.3 million and notes receivable were $365.9 million.
  • Investment and funding: Investing outflow included $498.5 million of property, plant and equipment purchases and net investment in short-term investments. Financing inflow included approximately $935.0 million of net proceeds from Xinjiang Daqo’s IPO, partly offset by $244.8 million of bank-loan repayments. Year-end capital commitments for equipment and property purchases were $58.2 million, excluding the planned Baotou projects.
  • Other items: Net interest expense was $20.5 million, down from $25.7 million. Income-tax expense was $170.1 million, up from $28.2 million, primarily reflecting higher pretax income. The effective tax rate was 16%; Xinjiang Daqo’s preferential 15% tax rate is stated to apply through 2030, subject to eligibility.

Material changes versus the prior period

  • Sharp improvement in earnings and cash generation was driven mainly by the polysilicon price increase; sales volume grew only modestly.
  • Year-end cash and cash equivalents increased substantially, while total bank borrowings fell from $193.7 million at December 31, 2020 to zero at December 31, 2021.
  • Xinjiang Daqo’s IPO raised net proceeds of about $935 million and increased non-controlling ownership in the subsidiary to 19.3%. Its 2021 earnings attributable to non-controlling interests were $115.9 million.
  • Phase 4B construction was completed in December 2021. The company expected to ramp up the additional 35,000 MT of annual capacity by the end of the first quarter of 2022, taking total capacity from 70,000 MT to 105,000 MT.
  • Reported quarterly polysilicon sales volume declined to 11,642 MT in Q4 2021 from 21,183 MT in Q3; the filing does not provide a clear explanation for this quarter-to-quarter decrease.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Market outlook: Management cited estimated global solar installations of approximately 220–230 GW in 2022 and expected demand to absorb additional polysilicon supply. These are expectations, not guarantees; future prices and margins remain exposed to supply-demand changes.
  • Expansion plans: A December 2021 framework agreement with Baotou covers proposed solar-grade polysilicon capacity of 200,000 MT annually, semiconductor-grade polysilicon of 21,000 MT, silicon metal of 300,000 MT, and silicone of 200,000 MT. The first phase was planned to include 100,000 MT of solar-grade and 1,000 MT of semiconductor-grade polysilicon, with estimated investment of RMB8.55 billion. The filing gives differing schedule descriptions, citing completion in the third quarter of 2023 in one section and operation in the second quarter of 2023 in another. Most Baotou supplier contracts had not been signed by year-end.
  • Funding and dilution: Xinjiang Daqo planned a private offering of up to RMB11 billion to fund the Baotou expansion and working capital. If the maximum share issuance is completed, Daqo’s ownership in Xinjiang Daqo was expected to fall from 80.7% to 62.1%; completion and approvals were uncertain.
  • Dividends: Daqo has not paid dividends and said it had no near-term plan to do so. Xinjiang Daqo’s board proposed RMB1.155 billion in 2021 cash dividends, subject to shareholder approval; the company estimated that 20.18% of the subsidiary’s distributable 2021 profit would be distributed in 2022.
  • Key risks: Polysilicon price and supply volatility; dependence on a small number of customers; energy, raw-material and utility availability and costs; execution and financing risks from large expansion plans; and concentration of production in Xinjiang. U.S. restrictions under the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act could affect imports of products containing the company’s polysilicon. Xinjiang Daqo was placed on the U.S. Commerce Department Entity List in June 2021, potentially limiting access to specified U.S.-controlled items.
  • China and listing risks: The filing describes evolving PRC regulatory requirements and uncertainty around overseas listings and capital raising. It also warns that the PCAOB had identified the company’s China-based auditor as not then subject to complete PCAOB inspection, creating potential HFCA Act trading-prohibition risk. The filing’s auditor issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal controls; management and the auditor reported effective internal control over financial reporting as of year-end.
  • Audit focus: The auditor identified revenue cut-off for polysilicon sales as a critical audit matter because shipping, customer acceptance and receipt of signed delivery records may occur on different dates. No material legal proceedings were reported. The company disclosed that it has no product-liability or business-interruption insurance.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Reconcile the narrative reference to FY2021 shareholder-attributable net income of $756.2 million with the audited financial statements, which report $748.9 million.
  • Confirm the reason for Q4 polysilicon sales volume of 11,642 MT versus 21,183 MT in Q3, and assess whether the change was temporary.
  • Track the Phase 4B ramp-up and verify actual capacity, production, unit costs and product quality against management’s 2022 expectations.
  • Assess Baotou project approvals, final construction timetable, signed supplier contracts, funding, capital requirements and the proposed private offering’s effect on Daqo’s ownership.
  • Monitor polysilicon market prices, new industry capacity, customer concentration, raw-material costs and the company’s ability to convert reported earnings into operating cash flow.
  • Review the resolution of PCAOB inspection and HFCA Act risks, and the practical effects of U.S. import restrictions and the Entity List designation on customers and supply chains.