ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC annual report, FY2016

Illinois Tool Works Inc. — FY 2016 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2016. The filing is an annual report, not a standalone Q4 filing; selected Q4 results are included below. ITW is a diversified global industrial manufacturer operating through seven segments in 57 countries.

Financial performance

MetricFY 2016FY 2015Change
Operating revenue$13.599 billion$13.405 billion+1.4%
Operating income$3.064 billion$2.867 billion+6.9%
Operating margin22.5%21.4%+110 bps
Income from continuing operations$2.035 billion$1.899 billion+7.2%
Diluted EPS from continuing operations$5.70$5.13+11.1%
Net cash from operating activities$2.302 billion$2.299 billionNearly flat
Free cash flow$2.029 billion$2.015 billionNearly flat
Cash and equivalents at year-end$2.472 billion$3.090 billionDown $618 million
Total debt at year-end$7.829 billion$7.422 billionUp $407 million
Total debt / EBITDA2.2x2.2xUnchanged

FY 2016 capital returns included $821 million of dividends paid and $2.0 billion of share repurchases. Dividends declared were $2.40 per share, versus $2.07 in 2015. Adjusted after-tax return on average invested capital rose to 22.1% from 20.4%. The effective tax rate was 30.0%.

Q4 2016: Revenue was $3.399 billion, operating income $742 million and net income $507 million; diluted EPS was $1.45. Q4 2015 comparatives were $3.275 billion, $679 million, $450 million and $1.23, respectively. Quarterly cash-flow data is not provided in the filing text.

Business drivers and changes versus prior period

  • Organic revenue grew 1.2%; acquisitions contributed 1.7 percentage points and foreign currency translation reduced revenue growth by 1.5 points. Product line simplification reduced organic growth by approximately one percentage point.
  • Six of seven segments recorded worldwide organic revenue growth, and five expanded operating margin. Welding was the principal weak spot: organic revenue declined 9.1%, amid soft industrial and oil-and-gas demand and weak capital spending.
  • Automotive OEM revenue rose 13.3%, including the July 2016 acquisition of ZF TRW’s Engineered Fasteners and Components business (EF&C). EF&C contributed $245 million revenue in the second half and diluted the company’s FY margin by 30 bps overall; management expected it to be slightly earnings-accretive in its first 12 months.
  • Enterprise initiatives were the main margin driver: management attributed 130 bps of FY margin improvement to these initiatives, with positive operating leverage and price/cost also contributing. Foreign currency reduced operating income growth by 1.9 points.
  • Revenue outside the U.S. was approximately 55% of total revenue, compared with 54% in 2015. U.S. dollar strength reduced FY revenue by about $210 million and continuing-operations income by about $41 million versus 2015.

Liquidity, debt and unusual items

  • Year-end net working capital was $3.363 billion, down $989 million, primarily because cash declined. Cash was held primarily by international subsidiaries and repatriation to the U.S. could incur tax and withholding costs.
  • ITW had a $2.5 billion five-year revolving credit facility, with no borrowings outstanding at year-end; no commercial paper was outstanding at year-end. A $650 million note maturity falls due in 2017. Management stated that cash generation, credit facilities and debt-market access were sufficient for debt service and capital-allocation plans.
  • FY 2016 other income included a $54 million pre-tax gain following a $167 million Wilsonart cash distribution that exceeded ITW’s equity-investment carrying value. This was partly offset by $30 million of pre-tax disposal losses.
  • No discontinued operations were reported in 2016 or 2015. FY 2014 results included $1.056 billion of discontinued-operations income, largely from the Industrial Packaging sale, and are not directly comparable with 2016 net income.

Outlook, commentary and risks

ITW did not provide a specific consolidated revenue, earnings or EPS forecast in the supplied filing text. Management said approximately 85% of divisions were ready to grow at year-end and positioned the company for accelerated organic growth in 2017 and beyond. It targeted a 1% reduction in spend through strategic sourcing in both 2017 and 2018, and expected product-line simplification to return to more normalized levels in 2017. Management cautioned that preparing divisions for accelerated growth generally takes 18 to 24 months.

  • Key exposures include global economic slowdowns, foreign-exchange movements, Brexit-related uncertainty, raw-material cost increases or shortages, and weakness in industrial and oil-and-gas markets.
  • Other disclosed risks include execution of the enterprise strategy and EF&C integration, acquisition-related impairment, goodwill and intangible-asset impairment, pension-market sensitivity, tax uncertainty, litigation/product liability, cybersecurity, and retained liabilities from prior divestitures.
  • At year-end, unrecognized tax benefits were $210 million; the company noted a pending Tax Court matter involving a $70 million IRS deficiency assessment plus interest and penalties, with a decision expected in 2017. ITW recorded no reserve for that matter and believed its position was supportable.
  • Management expected 2017 pension and postretirement benefit costs to be consistent with 2016. Expected 2017 plan contributions were approximately $64 million for pensions and $5 million for other postretirement benefits.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether organic growth accelerates as planned, particularly given the 2016 impact of product-line simplification and continued softness in Welding end markets.
  • EF&C’s subsequent contribution to Automotive OEM earnings and margins versus the expected initial dilution and later improvement.
  • Cash deployment and funding: the balance of international cash, upcoming debt maturities, ongoing buybacks, and dividend commitments.
  • The outcome and financial consequences of the IRS/Tax Court matter, other tax audits, and possible taxes on repatriated overseas earnings.
  • Margin sustainability and the extent to which enterprise initiatives, sourcing savings and favorable operating leverage continue to offset currency and market pressures.