National Bank Holdings Corp quarterly report, Q1 FY2016

National Bank Holdings Corporation — Q1 2016 Form 10-Q

Business and period: Unaudited results for the three months ended March 31, 2016, with balance-sheet comparisons to December 31, 2015. The company operates NBH Bank through 90 banking centers in Colorado, the greater Kansas City area, and Texas, as well as online and mobile channels.

Financial performance and position

Amounts are rounded to millions except per-share data. Income and cash-flow comparisons are Q1 2016 versus Q1 2015; balance-sheet comparisons are March 31, 2016 versus December 31, 2015.

MetricQ1 2016 / March 31Comparable period / prior date
Net income; diluted EPS$0.25 million; $0.01$1.25 million; $0.03
Interest income; net interest income (GAAP)$41.6 million; $38.0 million$43.1 million; $39.5 million
Net interest income, fully taxable equivalent (FTE)$39.0 million$39.9 million
Net interest margin (FTE)3.68%3.59%
Provision for loan losses$10.6 million$1.5 million
Non-interest income$7.9 million$(0.5) million
Non-interest expense$34.9 million$36.7 million
Net cash from operating activities$7.1 million$(14.4) million
Total assets; loans$4,616 million; $2,592 million$4,684 million; $2,588 million
Deposits; shareholders’ equity$3,840 million; $604 million$3,841 million; $618 million
Cash and cash equivalents$193.6 million$166.1 million

Material changes and management commentary

  • Net income fell about 80% year over year. The main pressure was the $9.2 million increase in loan-loss provision, driven by $10.7 million of additional reserves against energy-sector loans. FTE net interest income declined 2.2%, despite a wider FTE margin, as average interest-earning assets fell 5.5%, including a $234.6 million decline in average low-yielding cash balances.
  • Non-interest income improved by $8.4 million, largely because Q1 2015 included $8.5 million of FDIC loss-sharing-related expense; the change is not a like-for-like operating improvement. Non-interest expense decreased 5.0%, helped by lower data-processing, marketing, professional-fee, and problem-asset workout costs.
  • Loans increased only $4.4 million from year-end, or 0.7% annualized, as paydowns offset originations. Loans were up 17.0% year over year. Management noted Q1 originations of $163.4 million and described continued competition, low rates, and higher-than-normal paydowns. Originated loans yielded 4.00% FTE, versus 5.71% FTE for the 2015 total loan portfolio; management cautioned that runoff of higher-yielding acquired loans may pressure future loan yields.
  • Credit quality weakened, concentrated in energy. Non-performing loans rose to $45.1 million from $25.6 million, primarily after two energy relationships totaling $20.2 million entered non-accrual. Non-performing assets rose to $67.0 million from $47.4 million. The allowance for loan losses increased to $37.2 million, or 1.43% of loans, from $27.1 million, or 1.05%.
  • Energy loans were $132.1 million, 5.1% of total loans; the company also disclosed $100.3 million of unfunded energy commitments. Management warned that prolonged or further oil and gas price pressure could increase credit stress. Outside energy, management characterized portfolio credit quality as strong.

Liquidity, capital, debt, and other notable items

  • On-balance-sheet liquidity was $1.24 billion, including cash and unencumbered investment securities. Deposits were nearly flat; transaction deposits were 69.2% of deposits. Repurchase agreements declined to $86.4 million from $136.5 million; FHLB advances remained $40.0 million. Time deposits of $797.9 million were scheduled to mature within 12 months.
  • The company reported consolidated regulatory capital ratios above well-capitalized thresholds: Tier 1 leverage 11.6%, common equity Tier 1 17.1%, and total risk-based capital 18.3%. In February, the bank received regulatory approval to distribute $140 million to the parent company. The bank remained above regulatory capital requirements after the distribution.
  • The company repurchased 1.12 million shares for $21.9 million during Q1 at a reported weighted average price of $19.62 in management’s discussion. A new $50 million repurchase authorization was approved in January; $34.2 million remained at quarter-end. The company paid a $0.05-per-share dividend during Q1 and declared another $0.05 dividend for June 2016.
  • Cash increased by $27.5 million during Q1. Net cash from investing activities was $95.1 million and financing activities used $74.6 million, including share repurchases. In April, the company sold a building carried at $2.1 million, recognizing a $1.8 million gain.
  • Interest-rate modeling indicated asset sensitivity: an immediate, sustained 100-basis-point increase was estimated to raise projected net interest income 4.04%; a 50-basis-point decrease was estimated to reduce it 2.60%. Management cautioned that actual outcomes may differ due to assumptions, market conditions, and management actions.

Outlook, risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • No specific earnings, revenue, or loan-growth guidance was provided. Management described guarded optimism about economic and real-estate conditions, while highlighting competitive lending markets, low interest rates, acquisition uncertainty, and regulatory and cybersecurity costs.
  • Other material risks cited include energy-sector deterioration, real-estate values, interest-rate and liquidity risks, loan and deposit growth, operational and technology disruptions, and regulatory changes. The filing states that the company expects its liquidity sources to provide adequate funding for at least 12 months.
  • Derivative liabilities were $20.5 million, compared with $8.3 million at year-end; derivative assets were $3.5 million. The reported termination value of derivatives in a net liability position was $22.5 million, with $21.8 million of collateral posted. The filing describes matched client swap positions and fair-value hedges, but reports hedge ineffectiveness and market-value effects in earnings.
  • The Q1 2016 effective tax rate was 43.0%, affected by the move to a full-year forecast method and a write-off of deferred tax assets associated with stock compensation. Management stated that $10.0 million of deferred tax assets related to stock-based compensation remained at quarter-end.
  • Management did not expect pending or threatened litigation to have a material adverse effect; it reported no material changes to previously disclosed risk factors. Disclosure controls were concluded to be effective, with no material change in internal control over financial reporting during the quarter.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether energy-sector credit deterioration, non-accrual loans, and the $37.2 million loan-loss allowance continue to worsen or stabilize.
  • Whether loan originations can offset acquired-loan runoff and higher paydowns without compromising underwriting or yields.
  • How the $140 million bank-to-parent distribution, ongoing share repurchases, and dividends affect capital and future flexibility.
  • Whether deposit mix, the $797.9 million of near-term time-deposit maturities, and pledged securities support liquidity under stress.
  • The assumptions behind interest-rate sensitivity estimates and the earnings impact of derivative valuations, collateral requirements, and tax-related deferred asset write-offs.
  • Reconcile management’s reported Q1 repurchase average price of $19.62 with the Part II table’s $19.65 average for total shares purchased, which includes plan-related shares outside the public repurchase program.