NATURAL RESOURCE PARTNERS LP quarterly report, Q2 FY2018

Natural Resource Partners L.P. — Q2 2018 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and six months ended June 30, 2018. NRP owns and leases U.S. natural-resource properties and operates a construction aggregates business. Its three segments are Coal Royalty and Other, Soda Ash (49% equity interest in Ciner Wyoming) and Construction Aggregates. Unless stated otherwise, amounts below are in U.S. dollars.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricQ2 2018Q2 2017Six months 2018Six months 2017
Revenue and other income$111.0 million$94.9 million$200.1 million$183.6 million
Income from continuing operations$39.1 million$25.9 million$65.2 million$32.0 million
Net income attributable to NRP$38.2 million$26.0 million$64.3 million$31.9 million
Basic net income per common unit$2.46$1.47$3.95$1.75
Adjusted EBITDA$60.3 million$62.7 million$115.2 million$113.9 million

Q2 revenue rose 17%, while six-month revenue rose 9%. Six-month operating cash flow was $74.1 million, versus $55.1 million; continuing-operations operating cash flow was $74.6 million, versus $55.6 million. Six-month investing cash flow was a $1.8 million use, and financing cash flow was a $49.2 million use. Cash increased $23.1 million to $53.0 million. Management reported total liquidity of $108.0 million, including $55.0 million of available Opco credit capacity. Non-GAAP six-month distributable cash flow was $73.7 million and free cash flow was $71.3 million.

At June 30, total debt, net of discount and issuance costs, was $798.3 million, down from $809.3 million at year-end 2017; $75.2 million was classified as current. The Opco revolving facility had $95.0 million drawn and matures in April 2020. NRP reported compliance with debt covenants. The 10.5% senior notes mature in March 2022. Cash paid for interest in the first half was $33.2 million, down from $34.9 million.

Common-unit distributions were $0.45 per unit per quarter during the first half. After quarter-end, the board declared another $0.45-per-unit distribution, payable August 14, 2018. Preferred units carry a 12% annual distribution; $15.0 million accrued in the first half, and the second-quarter $7.5 million cash payment was scheduled for August 14.

Material changes and management commentary

  • Coal: Six-month coal royalty and other segment revenue increased 2% to $106.3 million. Coal production fell 11% to 13.315 million tons, but average royalty revenue per ton rose 16% to $4.94. Management cited stronger metallurgical coal prices and stable near-term metallurgical market expectations, while noting trade and tariff uncertainty and longer-term pressure on coal’s share of power generation.
  • ASC 606: NRP adopted the new revenue standard on January 1, 2018 using the modified retrospective method; prior-year figures were not restated. Adoption increased opening partners’ capital by $90.3 million. It reduced reported coal royalty and other revenue by $2.0 million in Q2 and $3.7 million for the first half; reported net income was lower by $2.2 million and $3.9 million, respectively, than under the former method. Certain coal and aggregates leases now recognize minimum-payment consideration straight-line over the lease term.
  • Soda ash: Segment revenue and other income increased 40% to $26.2 million for the first half, principally reflecting Ciner Wyoming’s $12.7 million royalty-dispute settlement. Unexpected repairs during a scheduled outage reduced production and sales; repairs were completed and operations resumed before quarter-end. Management described domestic demand as stable near term, but cautioned that new international supply, particularly from Turkey, could pressure pricing.
  • Aggregates: First-half segment revenue and other income increased 11% to $67.6 million, but higher operating costs largely offset the revenue growth. Adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 10% from 13% for the first half and to 15% from 17% in Q2, with higher diesel prices and repair-and-maintenance timing among the cited factors. First-quarter weather affected road construction and paving revenue.
  • Debt costs and earnings: First-half interest expense declined to $35.7 million from $43.4 million, reflecting lower debt balances. The prior-year comparison included $7.9 million of debt-modification expense and $4.1 million of debt-extinguishment loss, neither incurred in the first half of 2018. First-half Adjusted EBITDA increased 1% to $115.2 million.

Risks, contingencies and unusual items

  • Foresight / Deer Run: Hillsboro has withheld quarterly minimum lease payments since 2015 and seeks a declaration that its lease terminated. NRP disputes that claim and reported $91.0 million of unpaid minimums, plus approximately $15 million of accrued interest through July 31, 2018; the claim continues to increase by $7.5 million per missed quarter. A bench trial was scheduled for October 22, 2018. Foresight disclosed a $110.7 million impairment at the mine, but NRP reported no impairment indicator for its $235 million net book value in Deer Run reserves as of June 30, 2018.
  • Other Foresight dispute: NRP claims approximately $10.1 million of minimum royalties were improperly recouped through June 30, 2018 in connection with Macoupin leases.
  • Anadarko litigation: Anadarko seeks additional contingent consideration related to a 2013 transaction. NRP disputes liability; its estimated possible loss ranges from zero to approximately $40 million, plus interest, court costs and attorneys’ fees.
  • Market exposure: Coal royalty revenue is exposed to lessee production, contract renewals and spot prices; aggregates depend on regional demand and costs; soda ash faces global price and supply volatility. NRP had $95.0 million of variable-rate debt; management estimated a 1 percentage-point rate increase would add about $1.0 million of annual interest expense if borrowings remained unchanged.
  • The filing gave no quantified full-year earnings or cash-flow guidance. Forward-looking expectations are subject to commodity, operating, legal, economic and regulatory risks. Management stated that it remained focused on debt reduction and liquidity.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • How much of reported revenue and earnings reflects ASC 606’s minimum-lease accounting and the one-time $12.7 million Ciner Wyoming settlement.
  • Progress and outcomes in the Deer Run and Macoupin disputes, including potential recoveries, lease status and any effect on NRP’s reserve valuation and cash flows.
  • Debt maturities, covenant headroom, credit-facility availability and the ability to reduce debt while meeting preferred and common-unit distributions.
  • Whether coal production and prices, Ciner Wyoming’s output and soda ash pricing, and aggregates margins sustain the reported results.
  • The sustainability of non-GAAP DCF and FCF: these measures are not GAAP, and management’s definitions may differ from similarly named measures used elsewhere.