Navigator Holdings Ltd. current report, Q2 FY2017

Navigator Holdings Ltd. Q1 2017 Preliminary Results Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 6-K, filed on May 8, 2017, reports the preliminary financial results for Navigator Holdings Ltd. for the three months ended March 31, 2017. Navigator is the owner and operator of the world's largest fleet of handysize liquefied gas carriers, transporting liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), petrochemical gases, and ammonia. The company operates 38 semi- or fully-refrigerated vessels, with two newbuildings scheduled for delivery by July 2017.

Key Financial Metrics

MetricQ1 2017Q1 2016
Operating Revenue$77.3 million$76.4 million
Net Income$2.7 million$19.4 million
Earnings Per Share (Diluted)$0.05$0.35
Adjusted EBITDA$33.5 millionFiling text does not provide clear value
EBITDA$29.3 millionFiling text does not provide clear value
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities$15.9 million$17.1 million
Cash and Cash Equivalents (End of Period)$45.6 million$77.1 million
Total Debt (Current + Non-Current)$806.1 millionFiling text does not provide clear value
Utilization Rate92.4%87.6%

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Profitability Decline: Net income decreased significantly from $19.4 million in Q1 2016 to $2.7 million in Q1 2017. This decline is primarily attributed to one-off costs totaling $4.2 million ($0.07 per share) associated with the redemption of senior unsecured bonds.
  • Revenue Growth: Operating revenue increased slightly to $77.3 million from $76.4 million, driven by higher utilization and a shift in trade mix.
  • Expense Increases: Voyage expenses rose to $15.0 million from $7.1 million, and depreciation increased to $17.6 million from $14.6 million due to fleet expansion.
  • Debt Restructuring: The company issued $100.0 million in 7.75% senior unsecured bonds to redeem $125.0 million of outstanding 9.0% bonds, reducing interest costs but incurring immediate write-offs.
  • Trade Mix Shift: Revenue from long-haul petrochemical gas transportation increased from 20% of total revenue in Q1 2016 to approximately 52% in Q1 2017.

Outlook, Commentary, and Risks

Management Commentary: Management highlighted improved utilization (92.4%) resulting from diversification into petrochemical olefins (ethylene, butadiene, propylene). However, they noted that competition from larger fully-refrigerated gas carriers limits charter rate upside for fully refrigerated LPG. Management believes the market must absorb a significant orderbook of Very Large and Medium Size Gas Carriers before sustained rate increases occur.

Operational Updates: The company took delivery of three new vessels in Q1 2017: Navigator Nova (midsize semi-refrigerated), Navigator Luga, and Navigator Yauza (handysize semi-refrigerated). All commenced on time charters immediately.

Risks and Contingencies: Forward-looking statements highlight risks including future operating results, ability to refinance indebtedness maturing in 2018, fluctuations in currency and interest rates, and general shipping market trends. The company also faces potential liability from future litigation and regulatory changes.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the impact of the $4.2 million one-off bond redemption costs on the reported net income and EPS.
  • Confirm the sustainability of the 52% revenue contribution from long-haul petrochemical trades versus spot market volatility.
  • Review the terms of the new 7.75% bonds and the maturity profile of remaining debt, specifically obligations due in 2018.
  • Assess the cash burn rate related to vessel construction payments ($84.6 million in Q1 2017) against operating cash flow.
  • Monitor the utilization rates of the newly delivered vessels (Nova, Luga, Yauza) to ensure they remain on long-term charters as stated.