OSHKOSH CORP annual report, FY2017

Oshkosh Corporation — FY2017 Form 10-K Summary

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended September 30, 2017. This is an annual filing, not a standalone fourth-quarter report. Dollar figures are in U.S. dollars.

Business context and reporting period

Oshkosh designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and vehicle bodies across access equipment, defense, fire and emergency, and commercial segments. These represented 44%, 27%, 15%, and 14% of FY2017 net sales, respectively. The U.S. government accounted for approximately 20% of consolidated sales.

Financial performance

MetricFY2017FY2016Change
Net sales$6.830 billion$6.279 billion+8.8%
Gross income / margin$1.174 billion / 17.2%$1.056 billion / 16.8%Margin +0.4 percentage point
Operating income / margin$463.0 million / 6.8%$364.0 million / 5.8%+27.2%
Net income$285.6 million$216.4 million+32.9%
Diluted EPS$3.77$2.91+29.6%
Cash from operations$246.5 million$583.9 millionDown $337.4 million
Capital expenditures*$85.8 million$92.5 millionDown $6.7 million

*Property, plant and equipment additions; the filing separately reports additions to rental equipment.

  • Sales gains were led by defense (+34.7%) as JLTV production ramped and M-ATV international deliveries increased, and by fire and emergency (+8.1%). Access equipment was nearly flat (+0.5%); commercial sales declined 0.9%.
  • Defense operating income rose to $207.9 million (11.4% margin) and fire and emergency to $104.2 million (10.1% margin). Commercial operating income fell 35.2% to $43.8 million (4.5% margin), amid volatile production and inefficiencies.
  • FY2017 operating income included $43.3 million of access-equipment restructuring-related charges; FY2016 included $27.8 million of asset impairment and workforce-reduction charges.
  • Quarter ended September 30, 2017: sales were $1.963 billion, operating income $134.5 million, net income $93.5 million, and diluted EPS $1.23. The quarter included $15.8 million of restructuring-related charges.

Liquidity, debt and capital

  • At September 30, 2017, cash was $447.0 million, total debt was $830.9 million, and shareholders’ equity was $2.307 billion. Net debt was approximately $383.9 million; debt to total capitalization was 26.5%, down from 30.0%.
  • Working capital was $1.357 billion. The revolving credit facility had $753.1 million of unused capacity, after outstanding letters of credit. The company reported compliance with its financial covenants and expected adequate liquidity for the next 12 months.
  • Operating cash flow dropped substantially, primarily because of higher defense receivables and access-equipment inventory. Defense receivables rose with fourth-quarter sales and longer collection cycles on international deliveries.
  • FY2017 dividends totaled $62.8 million ($0.84 per share). The board subsequently raised the quarterly dividend from $0.21 to $0.24 per share. No shares were repurchased under the authorization during FY2017.
  • Debt included a $335 million term loan maturing in March 2019 and $500 million of 5.375% senior notes due in 2022 and 2025.

Material changes and outlook

  • Backlog increased 7.2% to $3.79 billion, chiefly on stronger non-defense orders. Access backlog rose 152.2% to $452.2 million; defense backlog fell 10.6% to $2.09 billion, largely after M-ATV contract deliveries. Approximately 12% of total backlog was not expected to ship in FY2018.
  • Management forecast FY2018 sales of $6.9–$7.1 billion, operating income of $510–$560 million, and diluted EPS of $4.20–$4.60. Excluding anticipated restructuring charges, adjusted operating income was forecast at $515–$565 million and adjusted EPS at $4.25–$4.65.
  • Management expected growth in all non-defense segments and approximately flat defense sales. It projected approximately $450 million of FY2018 operating cash flow and about $100 million of capital spending.
  • Access-equipment restructuring was expected to cost approximately $50 million in total, with $43 million recognized in FY2017; management anticipated $20–$25 million in annual ongoing savings, including $15–$20 million of benefits in FY2018.

Management commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management cited stronger access-equipment rental indicators, improved fire-apparatus pricing and demand, and progress ramping JLTV production. It described commercial performance as pressured by unusual production-schedule volatility and expected simplification measures to improve results later in FY2018.
  • Key risks include cyclical construction and specialty-vehicle markets; dependence on government appropriations and contract awards; the FY2018 FMTV recompete, with an award expected in the second quarter; fixed-price contract cost escalation and JLTV cost-estimate uncertainty; and completion of international M-ATV deliveries.
  • Other notable exposures include commodity inflation (steel prices had risen sharply), supplier concentration and disruption, foreign-exchange movements, customer credit and financing guarantees, cybersecurity, and potential impairment risk concentrated in JLG goodwill and intangibles. The FY2017 goodwill test found no impairment.
  • Customer financing guarantees covered $568.2 million of customer indebtedness, with estimated maximum exposure of $101.9 million and a recorded liability of $9.1 million. Product and general liability reserves were $39.1 million. Management did not expect pending litigation or claims to have a material effect, while noting outcomes are uncertain.
  • The 10-K reports unqualified auditor opinions on the financial statements and internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether FY2018 guidance was achieved, particularly operating margin recovery in commercial and access equipment and the projected restructuring savings.
  • Cash conversion: whether defense receivables and access-equipment inventory normalized after the FY2017 working-capital outflow.
  • Results and economics of the FMTV recompete, JLTV production ramp, and final M-ATV deliveries, including contract cost estimates and mix.
  • Whether the $3.79 billion backlog converted to sales as expected; backlog is not a guarantee and excludes options and unsigned orders.
  • Exposure to rising material costs, customer credit losses, financing guarantees, and JLG valuation assumptions.