PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC annual report, FY2012

Provident Financial Services, Inc. — 2012 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period. This annual report covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012; it is not a standalone fourth-quarter filing. Provident is a New Jersey-focused bank holding company operating through The Provident Bank, with 78 full-service branches across northern and central New Jersey. The bank emphasizes relationship deposits and is expanding commercial real estate, multifamily and commercial lending.

Financial performance and condition

  • Income and earnings: Net interest income was $217.3 million, up from $216.0 million in 2011. Non-interest income rose 34% to $43.6 million; total interest and non-interest income was $305.9 million. Net income increased to $67.3 million from $57.3 million, and diluted earnings per share rose to $1.18 from $1.01.
  • Margins and costs: Net interest margin declined to 3.38% from 3.49%, while the average interest-rate spread decreased to 3.25% from 3.33%. Non-interest expense increased 4.5% to $148.8 million. Return on average assets was 0.94%; return on average equity was 6.88%.
  • Credit costs and asset quality: The loan-loss provision fell to $16.0 million from $28.9 million; 2012 included $1.5 million for potential Superstorm Sandy-related losses. Net charge-offs were $20.0 million, or 0.43% of average loans. Non-performing loans declined to $99.0 million (2.02% of loans) from $122.5 million (2.63%); non-performing assets fell to $111.5 million (1.53% of assets) from $135.4 million (1.91%). The allowance was $70.3 million, or 1.43% of loans, versus $74.4 million, or 1.60%.
  • Balance sheet and funding: Assets grew 2.6% to $7.28 billion; net loans rose 5.6% to $4.83 billion. Deposits increased 5.3% to $5.43 billion, with core deposits at 82.4% of deposits versus 78.1% a year earlier. Borrowed funds declined 12.7% to $803.3 million. Stockholders’ equity was $981.2 million.
  • Cash flow and liquidity: Operating cash flow was $108.3 million; investing activities used $185.1 million and financing activities provided $111.0 million. Cash and cash equivalents increased $34.2 million to $103.8 million. Management said it expected liquidity to be sufficient for funding needs. The bank and holding company were classified as well capitalized; the bank’s Tier 1 leverage and total risk-based capital ratios were 7.80% and 12.33%, respectively.
  • Capital returns: The company paid $40.7 million in cash dividends and repurchased 678,750 shares for $9.4 million during 2012. It also paid a special dividend of $0.20 per share in December.

Material changes versus 2011

  • Earnings improved as lower funding costs, loan growth and a smaller loan-loss provision more than offset lower asset yields. Interest income fell 4.9%, but interest expense fell 24.8%.
  • Multifamily loans increased to $724.0 million from $564.1 million. Commercially oriented loans represented 62.4% of the loan portfolio, compared with 59.8%; residential mortgage balances declined.
  • Fee income rose, partly reflecting Beacon wealth-management operations and increased commercial-loan prepayment fees. Securities transaction gains increased to $4.5 million from $0.7 million. The company reported no securities other-than-temporary impairment charge in 2012, compared with $0.3 million in 2011.
  • Non-interest expense rose, principally from compensation and benefits, including Beacon-related staffing, and higher operating and data-processing costs. Lower FDIC insurance, occupancy and intangible-amortization expenses partly offset the increases.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Outlook: The filing provides no specific earnings, revenue or margin guidance. Management described continued commercial-lending and core-deposit growth as strategic priorities and said dividends would be reviewed quarterly, subject to financial, economic and regulatory factors.
  • Interest-rate exposure: The company’s model projected that a gradual 300-basis-point rate increase over 12 months would reduce net interest income by 5.6%, or about $12.0 million; a 100-basis-point decrease would reduce it by 1.2%, or about $2.6 million. An immediate, sustained 300-basis-point increase was projected to reduce economic value of equity by 17.6%. These are model estimates with stated assumptions, not forecasts.
  • Credit and geographic risk: Management highlighted elevated unemployment and weakness in New Jersey real estate, as well as the greater loss risk and borrower concentration associated with commercial, multifamily and construction loans. The portfolio is concentrated in the company’s regional market. Management cautioned that future provisions may be needed and that the allowance may not cover all realized losses.
  • Other exposures: The bank held $1.26 billion of available-for-sale securities, predominantly mortgage-backed securities, whose values are sensitive to rates and market liquidity. Goodwill was $352.6 million; management’s September 2012 annual assessment found no impairment. The company disclosed $869.0 million of off-balance-sheet commitments and letters of credit; actual funding may be lower because commitments can expire undrawn.
  • Unusual items and contingencies: The 2012 results included Sandy-related provision and expenses, a gain on sale of land, income from termination of a debit-card rewards program, and gains from securities sales. The company disclosed an unrecognized tax liability of $21.2 million relating to tax bad-debt reserves. Management said pending ordinary-course legal matters were not expected to materially affect financial condition or results.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether improvement in non-performing loans and assets continues, and whether charge-offs, troubled debt restructurings and commercial real estate concentrations require renewed provisioning.
  • Whether loan growth and lower-cost core deposits can offset continued pressure on asset yields and net interest margin.
  • The sensitivity of earnings and securities values to interest-rate changes, and the assumptions underlying the company’s simulation models.
  • The composition, valuation and liquidity of the mortgage-backed securities portfolio, including private-label holdings and securities pledged as collateral.
  • The maturity and renewal profile of certificates of deposit, the level of wholesale borrowings, and the potential funding needs from outstanding commitments.
  • Dividend and repurchase capacity in light of regulatory requirements and capital needs. The filing reports unqualified audit opinions on the financial statements and internal control over financial reporting.