Primerica, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2014

Primerica, Inc. — Q3 2014 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2014. Unaudited consolidated results. Primerica distributes term life insurance and third-party investment and savings products to middle-income households in the U.S. and Canada.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2014Q3 2013Nine months 2014Nine months 2013
Total revenue$339.2m (+9%)$310.4m$994.6m (+9%)$912.3m
Income from continuing operations$41.6m (+2%)$40.7m$134.4m (+10%)$122.0m
Net income$41.6m (-4%)$43.2m$135.9m (+8%)$125.5m
Diluted EPS$0.75$0.78$2.44$2.16
Operating cash flowNot separately reported for the quarter$132.8m$90.6m

Q3 pretax income was $64.0m, up 2%; benefits and expenses rose 11% to $275.2m, faster than revenue. Nine-month pretax income increased 9% to $206.6m. The Q3 net-income decline reflects a $2.5m after-tax gain from discontinued operations in Q3 2013 versus a small loss in Q3 2014; continuing-operations income grew.

  • Term Life: Revenue increased 9% to $193.6m in Q3 and 9% to $560.9m for nine months. Pretax income fell 8% to $45.9m in Q3, but was up 1% to $148.2m year to date. Q3 claims were above historical trends, and acquisition-cost amortization and insurance expenses increased.
  • Investment and Savings Products: Revenue rose 13% to $129.3m in Q3 and 13% to $380.7m year to date; pretax income increased 17% to $36.9m and 25% to $107.0m, respectively. Higher mutual fund sales and client asset values supported revenue.
  • Corporate and Other: Q3 pretax loss was $18.8m, broadly unchanged; the nine-month loss widened to $48.6m from $43.6m, reflecting lower investment income and realized gains.

Financial position, debt and liquidity

At September 30, 2014, total assets were $10.74bn, liabilities $9.45bn and stockholders’ equity $1.29bn. Cash and cash equivalents were $165.0m. Investments totaled $2.06bn. Due from reinsurers was $4.13bn, while policy benefit liabilities were $5.21bn. Separate-account assets and liabilities were each $2.47bn.

Debt included $374.5m carrying value of senior unsecured notes ($375m principal), bearing 4.75% and due July 2022, plus a $189.8m surplus note issued by Vidalia Re. The surplus note is matched by an investment of equal principal, bears 4.50%, matures in 2029 and is non-recourse to Primerica, Inc. and Primerica Life; the Parent Company supports the credit-enhancement fee. The filing reports compliance with debt covenants and no short-term borrowings.

For the first nine months, operating cash flow was $132.8m, investing cash flow was a $27.0m use, and financing cash flow was an $88.1m use; cash increased $15.8m. Financing outflows included $71.9m of common-stock repurchases and $20.0m of dividends. Management said business cash flows were expected to meet operating liquidity needs over the next 12 months. Primerica Life paid a $68m ordinary dividend to the Parent Company in Q3; estimated ordinary dividend capacity afterward was approximately $165m.

The fixed-maturity portfolio’s average rating was A, average duration 4.2 years and average book yield 4.62%, versus 4.0 years and 4.93% at year-end 2013. About 48% of its amortized cost was rated BBB and 5% below investment grade.

Material changes and management commentary

  • Growth in premiums not subject to the Citigroup reinsurance transactions, higher investment-product sales and higher client asset values drove revenue growth. Net investment income declined 7% in Q3 and 4% year to date, primarily due to lower average yields. Nine-month realized investment gains fell to $0.8m from $5.3m.
  • Term policies issued were 55,146 in Q3 versus 53,997 a year earlier; the life-licensed sales force reached 97,966, up from 95,566 at year-end 2013. New recruits and new licensed representatives were slightly lower year over year, which management attributed principally to post-convention initiatives benefiting the prior-year comparison.
  • Investment-product sales were $1.38bn in Q3, up 10%. Client asset values ended the quarter at $47.4bn; Q3 values declined 1%, primarily due to Canadian currency effects, while nine-month values increased 5%.
  • NBLIC sold its short-term disability business in January 2014 for $3m cash and recorded a $2.4m pretax gain; its results are presented as discontinued operations. NBLIC also stopped marketing and underwriting new student life policies in Q2.
  • A Q3 change to management equity awards accelerated approximately $5.1m of compensation expense into the quarter; management said this shifts expense timing rather than materially changing total expected award expense.
  • No formal earnings guidance is provided. Management expects cash flows to support long-term liquidity and reports no material change in market-risk exposures since year-end 2013. The company did not expect the revenue-recognition standard effective in 2017 to have a material impact.

Risks, contingencies and unusual items

  • Primerica reinsures 89% of direct life insurance in force. The $4.13bn reinsurance receivable includes $2.63bn from Prime Re, an affiliate of Citigroup, which is listed as not rated; the filing notes reinsurance does not remove the company’s primary obligation to policyholders.
  • Multi-state unclaimed-property audits and claims-paying examinations are ongoing, and a West Virginia unclaimed-property suit was appealed after dismissal. The company could not reasonably estimate potential additional costs or liabilities.
  • FINRA arbitrations and Florida litigation concerning recommendations to transfer Florida Retirement System benefits were largely resolved through a settlement process. After a third party assumed the deferred-annuity settlement liability in June, approximately $0.6m of related contingent liability remained.
  • Primerica is challenging Canadian regulators’ planned life-insurance licensing examination program, scheduled for early 2016. Management warned it could reduce new licensed representatives and adversely affect Canadian term-life business; the impact was not quantifiable.
  • Other material risks include interest-rate and credit movements, investment valuation, mortality and persistency experience, reinsurer performance, regulation, sales-force recruitment and retention, and Canadian currency fluctuations. Management reported disclosure controls were effective and no material Q3 change in internal financial controls.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether claims experience, DAC amortization and insurance expenses normalize after the Q3 increases.
  • Reinsurer credit quality and collectability, particularly the large receivable from the unrated Citigroup affiliate, and the terms and capacity of reserve-financing arrangements.
  • Developments, potential liabilities and timing of the unclaimed-property audits, market-conduct examinations and related litigation.
  • Progress and potential effects of the Canadian licensing-program challenge on representative recruitment and future sales.
  • Drivers of investment income and portfolio yield, and the sustainability of client-asset growth amid market and currency changes.
  • Remaining share-repurchase authorization: approximately $84.4m at September 30, 2014; confirm subsequent purchases and capital deployment.