BOSTON BEER CO INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2014

Business context and reporting period

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. brews and sells alcoholic beverages, including Samuel Adams, Twisted Tea and Angry Orchard. This unaudited Form 10-Q covers the 13 and 39 weeks ended September 27, 2014; comparisons are with the corresponding periods ended September 28, 2013. Dollar amounts below are in millions, except per-share data.

Financial performance and liquidity

Metric13 weeks 201413 weeks 201339 weeks 201439 weeks 2013
Net revenue$269.7$216.4$685.2$533.7
Gross profit$143.0$115.4$356.6$280.3
Operating income$60.6$42.2$114.5$84.0
Net income$37.9$25.7$71.7$52.3
Diluted EPS$2.79$1.89$5.29$3.85
  • Third-quarter net revenue rose 24.6%; year-to-date net revenue increased 28.4%. Total shipments grew 23.5% in the quarter and 26.2% year to date. Core-brand depletions, or distributor sales to retailers, increased approximately 21% and 25%, respectively.
  • Core-brand gross margin was 53.0% in the quarter versus 53.3% and 52.1% year to date versus 52.5%. Higher revenue per barrel was partly offset by higher product, packaging and ingredient costs. The filing reports core-brand margin; consolidated gross profit as a share of net revenue was approximately 53.0% in the quarter and 52.0% year to date.
  • Cash and equivalents were $57.2 at September 27, 2014, compared with $49.5 at December 28, 2013. Year-to-date operating cash flow was $102.6, compared with $66.9; investing cash outflow was $128.3, including $128.3 of property and equipment purchases. Financing provided $33.4, largely reflecting stock-option exercise proceeds.
  • Total debt was approximately $0.6; there were no borrowings on the $150.0 revolving facility, which runs to March 31, 2019, and the company reported covenant compliance. Current assets were $187.7 and current liabilities $122.4. Property, plant and equipment, net, increased to $371.8 from $266.6 at year-end.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Growth was principally shipment- and volume-driven, with gains in Angry Orchard, Samuel Adams and Twisted Tea. Core-brand net revenue per barrel increased 1.0% in the quarter and 1.7% year to date, due mainly to pricing and product/package mix.
  • Advertising, promotional and selling expense rose 15.9% in the quarter and 28.4% year to date, reflecting higher media, marketing, sales staffing and freight costs. General and administrative expense was essentially flat in the quarter and rose 6.6% year to date.
  • A $1.6 impairment charge was recorded in the third quarter for machinery intended to be replaced in early 2015; the comparable 2013 quarter included a $1.3 impairment of Freetown, Massachusetts land.
  • Year-to-date capital spending increased substantially from $73.1 to $128.3. The company made no share repurchases during the 39-week period; on October 9, the board raised the repurchase authorization limit to $350.0. As of October 24, cumulative repurchases were approximately 10.9 million shares for $299.5, leaving $50.5 under the limit.

Guidance, risks and other notable items

  • Management maintained 2014 diluted EPS guidance of $6.00–$6.40, while noting that lower operating costs per barrel in the third quarter were expected to be offset by slightly lower-than-planned fourth-quarter volume. It estimated full-year depletion and shipment growth of 20%–24%, gross margin of 51%–53%, national price increases of approximately 2%, and an effective tax rate of approximately 37.5%.
  • Preliminary 2015 assumptions were low-teens depletion and shipment growth, price increases of 1%–2%, gross margin of 51%–53%, and an effective tax rate of approximately 38%. Planned advertising, promotional and selling expense increases were $25–$35 million, excluding freight increases; Alchemy & Science brand investment was included in that range. Management cautioned that these brand investments may not generate volume growth and that related 2015 estimates could change significantly.
  • Estimated capital expenditures were revised to $150–$160 million for 2014, from $160–$185 million, and projected at $80–$100 million for 2015. Management said expected 2015 capacity could be met by company breweries and existing third-party capacity.
  • Non-cancelable purchase commitments totaled $135.6 million at September 27, including $58.6 million for hops, barley and wheat, $29.7 million for equipment and machinery, and $34.7 million for advertising. The filing reports no pending or threatened litigation expected to materially adversely affect financial condition or results. Environmental remediation estimates were accrued; management did not expect additional costs above estimates to have a material adverse effect.
  • The company said it expected cash, future operating cash flow and its unused credit line to meet future requirements. It reported no off-balance-sheet arrangements or material ordinary-course changes to contractual obligations. The company was evaluating the impact of the new revenue-recognition standard, scheduled for adoption in fiscal 2017.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether shipment and depletion growth, particularly in Angry Orchard and other core brands, continues and translates into sustainable revenue growth.
  2. Whether input, packaging and freight costs, product mix and increased marketing spending affect gross margins and operating profitability relative to guidance.
  3. Actual fourth-quarter 2014 results versus EPS, volume, margin and capital-spending guidance, and any updates to preliminary 2015 assumptions.
  4. Execution and returns on brewery capacity and Alchemy & Science investments, alongside the company’s substantial purchase commitments and capital expenditure program.
  5. Subsequent use of the expanded share-repurchase authorization and ongoing liquidity, including availability of the revolving credit facility.