UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC quarterly report, Q2 FY2016

UnitedHealth Group Inc. — Q2 2016 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2016; comparative periods ended June 30, 2015. Unaudited results. UnitedHealth Group operates UnitedHealthcare, providing health coverage and benefits, and Optum, providing pharmacy, health services and technology offerings.

Financial performance

MetricQ2 2016Q2 2015Six months 2016Six months 2015
Revenue$46.485bn$36.263bn$91.012bn$72.019bn
Operating earnings$3.203bn$2.895bn$6.163bn$5.535bn
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders$1.754bn$1.585bn$3.365bn$2.998bn
Diluted EPS$1.81$1.64$3.48$3.10
Medical care ratio82.0%81.7%81.9%81.6%
Operating margin6.9%8.0%6.8%7.7%
Net earnings margin3.8%4.4%3.7%4.2%
  • Revenue increased 28% in Q2 and 26% in the first half; common-shareholder earnings rose 11% and 12%, respectively. Diluted EPS rose 10% and 12%.
  • Revenue growth reflected the Catamaran acquisition, organic growth in people served, and growth across Optum. Optum revenue grew 52% in Q2, including 69% growth at OptumRx; UnitedHealthcare revenue grew 14%.
  • Optum operating earnings rose 46% in Q2, while UnitedHealthcare operating earnings declined 4%. UnitedHealthcare’s operating margin fell to 5.2% from 6.1%; consolidated margin also declined, despite higher operating earnings.
  • Management attributed pressure on medical costs to membership growth, medical cost trends and losses in ACA-compliant individual products. It cited changes in business mix, including Catamaran, as contributing to a lower operating cost ratio.

Cash flow, balance sheet and capital

  • First-half operating cash flow was $4.001bn, versus $3.432bn. Investing activities used $6.413bn, principally reflecting net investment purchases and acquisitions; financing activities used $359m. Cash and equivalents decreased $2.706bn to $8.217bn.
  • At June 30, cash and equivalents were $8.217bn, short-term investments $2.757bn and long-term investments $22.211bn. The company reported $32.7bn of cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale investments, but only $500m of cash was identified as available for general corporate use.
  • Total liabilities were $81.572bn. Commercial paper and current debt were $6.364bn and long-term debt was $26.834bn. The company issued $2.485bn of long-term debt and repaid $1.601bn during the first half.
  • Debt covenant leverage was approximately 46%, below the 55% maximum; no amounts were drawn on $6bn of revolving credit facilities. Commercial paper’s weighted-average annual interest rate was 0.7%. Credit rating outlooks from Moody’s, S&P and Fitch were negative.
  • First-half share repurchases were $980m; dividends paid were $1.071bn. The Board raised the annualized dividend rate to $2.50 per share in June. Authorization remained for repurchases of up to 53m additional shares.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • The filing provides no quantified full-year earnings or EPS guidance. Management expected continued competition in commercial products and pressure from government funding; Medicaid growth but potential downward pressure on net margins; and ongoing medical-cost pressure, including specialty pharmacy costs.
  • Final 2017 Medicare Advantage industry base rates increased approximately 0.85%, below the cited 3% forward medical cost trend. Management said this could pressure benefit design, pricing, growth and earnings. It expected at least 63% of Medicare Advantage members to be in plans rated four stars or higher for 2017 payment years, compared with approximately 57% for 2016.
  • UnitedHealth participated in individual public exchanges in 34 states in 2016, recorded a premium deficiency reserve for expected remaining 2016 losses, and expected to participate in only a few exchanges in 2017. The company expected to pay its estimated $1.8bn share of the 2016 health insurance industry tax in September; a one-year moratorium applies to the 2017 tax.
  • Material uncertainties include medical-cost estimates and reserve adequacy, regulatory and reimbursement changes, Medicare risk-adjustment audits, exchange performance, cybersecurity and privacy, acquisition integration, competition, foreign currency exposure, and access to capital.
  • Legal and regulatory matters include a disputed California claims-processing penalty of approximately $174m, a DOJ review of risk-adjustment processes and CMS audits, and potential state guaranty-fund assessments related to Penn Treaty. The company said it could not reasonably estimate potential losses for these matters.
  • Catamaran materially affected year-over-year comparisons, particularly OptumRx product revenue and cost of products sold. Management reported no material change to previously disclosed contractual obligations, no material change to 2015 Form 10-K risk factors, and effective disclosure controls as of June 30, 2016.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. How much of reported revenue and earnings growth reflects Catamaran versus organic growth, and how integration and pharmacy mix affect margins.
  2. Whether ACA individual-market losses, medical trends and Medicare Advantage funding pressure persist, and how they affect UnitedHealthcare’s margin.
  3. The adequacy and development of medical-cost reserves, including the filing’s reserve-development disclosures and management’s comments on favorable development.
  4. Cash available for general corporate use, debt maturities and refinancing needs, and the effect of negative credit-rating outlooks.
  5. Potential outcomes and financial exposure from the California proceeding, risk-adjustment reviews and audits, and Penn Treaty assessments.