UNION PACIFIC CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2017

Union Pacific Corporation — Q1 2017 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2017; unaudited consolidated results, compared with Q1 2016. Union Pacific’s railroad and affiliates constitute one reportable operating segment.

Financial performance

MetricQ1 2017Q1 2016Change
Operating revenue$5.132 billion$4.829 billion+6%
Freight revenue$4.794 billion$4.502 billion+6%
Operating income$1.793 billion$1.687 billion+6%
Net income$1.072 billion$979 million+10%
Diluted EPS$1.32$1.16+14%
Operating ratio65.1%65.1%Unchanged
Cash from operations$1.883 billion$2.173 billionLower
Free cash flow$548 million$1.036 billionLower

Freight revenue growth reflected 2% higher carloads and a 4% increase in average revenue per car, supported by pricing, fuel surcharges and traffic mix. Coal revenue rose 25%, agricultural products 7%, industrial products 9%, intermodal 3%, and chemicals 1%; automotive declined 1%. Fuel-surcharge revenue was $212 million, versus $113 million.

Operating expenses increased 6% to $3.339 billion. Fuel expense rose 44% to $460 million, principally reflecting higher fuel prices and increased gross ton-miles; fuel efficiency improved 4%. Compensation, depreciation and other expenses also increased, partly offset by productivity gains and lower purchased services and rents. The effective tax rate declined to 36.5% from 37.5%.

Cash, debt and capital

At March 31, cash and cash equivalents were $1.049 billion, short-term investments $90 million, and total debt $15.033 billion. Debt to capital was 43.3%; adjusted debt to capital, including operating leases and unfunded pension and OPEB obligations, was 47.4%. The company had $1.7 billion available under its revolving credit facility, no commercial paper outstanding, and $200 million drawn under its receivables securitization facility.

Cash used in investing was $843 million, including $811 million of capital investments. The company’s 2017 capital plan was approximately $3.1 billion, subject to revision based on business conditions and expected returns. Cash used in financing was $1.268 billion, including $759 million of share repurchases and $492 million of dividends. The board authorized repurchases of up to 120 million shares through December 31, 2020; 7.53 million were repurchased under the program in Q1 at an average $106.55 per share.

On April 5, 2017, the company issued $500 million of 3.000% notes due 2027 and $500 million of 4.000% notes due 2047. Proceeds were for general corporate purposes, including potential share repurchases.

Material changes, outlook and risks

  • Western snow, rain and flooding disrupted operations and reduced train speed 6% to 25.7 mph; terminal dwell time increased 7% to 30.6 hours. Management estimated an approximately $0.03-per-share adverse impact from deferred or lost revenue and added costs.
  • Despite 2% volume growth, average employee levels fell 4%; approximately 2,300 employees were furloughed or in alternate work status and approximately 1,400 locomotives were stored at quarter-end.
  • Management cited improving coal demand and shale-drilling-related frac sand shipments, alongside declines in crude oil, rock, finished vehicles and domestic intermodal. No specific earnings guidance was provided in the filing.
  • Cash from operations fell year over year primarily because of the timing of tax payments; the prior-year period benefited from tax-payment timing related to bonus depreciation. The company attributed lower free cash flow to lower operating cash generation and increased investment.
  • Personal-injury liability was $291 million, with a reasonably possible settlement-cost range of $291 million to $318 million. Environmental liability was $203 million. The filing describes asbestos, environmental, antitrust and other litigation; management did not expect known matters to materially adversely affect results, financial condition or liquidity.
  • The company identified 300 potentially liable environmental sites, including 20 on the Superfund National Priorities List. It was evaluating an Illinois demand for $125,000 in civil penalties related to a 2015 diesel-fuel release. A pipeline-easement rent case remained a gain contingency, with no recovery recognized.
  • Management expected adoption of the new lease accounting standard to significantly increase reported assets and liabilities. Revenue-recognition adoption was planned for 2018 and was not expected to have a material financial impact.

Investor verification points

  • Whether weather-related service disruption, train speed and terminal dwell improve, and whether the estimated earnings impact proves temporary.
  • Durability of coal, grain and frac sand demand, fuel-surcharge recovery timing, and continuing declines in crude oil and selected traffic categories.
  • Progress toward the $3.1 billion capital plan and the balance between investment, dividends, share repurchases and debt issuance.
  • Cash-flow comparability, including tax-payment timing, and the effect of higher fuel and labor costs on margins and the operating ratio.
  • Developments in personal-injury, asbestos, environmental and antitrust matters, and the unresolved pipeline-easement rent proceeding.