Netease, Inc. current report, Q1 FY2010

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: NetEase, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTES)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Press Release)
Reporting Period: Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year ended December 31, 2009
Date of Filing: February 25, 2010

NetEase is a leading China-based Internet technology company providing online game services, advertising, and wireless value-added services. The reporting period covers the full fiscal year 2009 and the fourth quarter, highlighting the re-launch of World of Warcraft in September 2009 and the commercial launch of the web-based game Storm of Empires.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q4 2009 (RMB) Q4 2009 (USD) FY 2009 (RMB) FY 2009 (USD)
Total Revenues 1,290.2 million 189.0 million 3,823.5 million 560.1 million
Gross Profit 844.1 million 123.7 million 2,804.7 million 410.9 million
Net Profit 571.8 million 83.8 million 1,850.4 million 271.1 million
Operating Cash Flow 712.4 million 104.4 million 2,094.5 million 306.8 million
Cash & Time Deposits 7.0 billion (RMB) / 1.0 billion (USD) as of Dec 31, 2009
Earnings per ADS (Diluted) $0.64 $2.09

Revenue Breakdown (Q4 2009)

  • Online Games: RMB 1.09 billion (US$159.4 million)
  • Advertising Services: RMB 183.7 million (US$26.9 million)
  • WVAS and Others: RMB 18.5 million (US$2.7 million)

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Q4 2009 total revenue increased 46.7% year-over-year (YoY) and 46.8% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). Online game revenue drove this growth, up 61.8% YoY, primarily due to the full quarter reporting of World of Warcraft operations following its September 2009 re-launch.
  • Advertising Surge: Advertising revenue rose 63.9% YoY and 113.6% QoQ, attributed to increased consumer spending and successful restructuring of portal business operations.
  • Margin Compression: Online game gross profit margin decreased to 70.8% in Q4 2009 from 88.0% in Q4 2008. This decline is due to royalties, license fee amortization, and technical consultancy fees associated with World of Warcraft.
  • Profitability: Net profit for Q4 2009 was RMB 571.8 million, slightly down 0.7% from Q4 2008 (RMB 575.9 million) but up 45.2% from Q3 2009. The YoY stability was impacted by a net foreign exchange loss of RMB 15.3 million in Q4 2009 compared to a gain in the prior quarter.
  • Operating Expenses: Increased 40.6% YoY to RMB 237.0 million, driven by higher staff-related costs (headcount increases and bonuses) and marketing expenses.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

Management Commentary and Outlook

  • Game Portfolio: Management expects continued growth in the MMORPG market. New expansion packs for Tianxia II and Fantasy Westward Journey are performing well.
  • Advertising: Outlook for 2010 is "cautiously optimistic," with opportunities tied to major events like Expo 2010, the Asian Games, and the FIFA World Cup.
  • Strategy: Focus remains on diversifying the game portfolio and cross-pollinating game, email, and blog services with the portal business.

Risks and Contingencies

  • Regulatory Risk: Potential penalties or operating restrictions from Chinese government authorities (GAPP) regarding online game operations.
  • Licensing Risk: Uncertainty regarding the ability to continue operating licensed games like World of Warcraft.
  • Market Competition: Risks related to product diversification success and maintaining market share in a competitive environment.
  • Currency Fluctuation: Exposure to Renminbi exchange rate fluctuations against other currencies.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Audit Status: Verify that the financial information is unaudited and preliminary; final audited figures in the Form 20-F may differ.
  • World of Warcraft Impact: Confirm the sustainability of revenue growth from World of Warcraft and the long-term impact of royalty fees on gross margins.
  • Advertising Sustainability: Assess whether the Q4 advertising revenue spike is a seasonal anomaly or a structural shift in the portal business.
  • Cash Position: Review the composition of the RMB 7.0 billion cash balance, noting the significant portion held in time deposits.
  • Tax Status: Verify the continued eligibility of subsidiaries for "High and New Technology Enterprise" (HNTE) tax preferences (15% rate).