Progressive (PGR) closed the most recent trading day at $234.40, moving +1.18% from the previous trading session. The stock's performance was ahead of the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.45%. Elsewhere, the Dow lost 0.25%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 1.16%.
The insurer's stock has climbed by 15.69% in the past month, exceeding the Finance sector's gain of 5.72% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.14%.
Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of Progressive in its upcoming earnings disclosure. On that day, Progressive is projected to report earnings of $4.56 per share, which would represent a year-over-year decline of 6.56%. Meanwhile, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $23.12 billion, up 6.95% from the year-ago period.
For the entire fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates are projecting earnings of $17.26 per share and a revenue of $92.89 billion, representing changes of -5.42% and +6.84%, respectively, from the prior year.
Investors should also pay attention to any latest changes in analyst estimates for Progressive. These recent revisions tend to reflect the evolving nature of short-term business trends. As a result, upbeat changes in estimates indicate analysts' favorable outlook on the business health and profitability.
Our research demonstrates that these adjustments in estimates directly associate with imminent stock price performance. To exploit this, we've formed the Zacks Rank, a quantitative model that includes these estimate changes and presents a viable rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, running from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), holds an admirable track record of superior performance, independently audited, with #1 stocks contributing an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 4.55% higher. Progressive currently has a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).
Valuation is also important, so investors should note that Progressive has a Forward P/E ratio of 13.42 right now. For comparison, its industry has an average Forward P/E of 12.05, which means Progressive is trading at a premium to the group.
One should further note that PGR currently holds a PEG ratio of 4.39. The PEG ratio bears resemblance to the frequently used P/E ratio, but this parameter also includes the company's expected earnings growth trajectory. PGR's industry had an average PEG ratio of 2.52 as of yesterday's close.
The Insurance - Property and Casualty industry is part of the Finance sector. At present, this industry carries a Zacks Industry Rank of 108, placing it within the top 44% of over 250 industries.
The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Ensure to harness Zacks.com to stay updated with all these stock-shifting metrics, among others, in the next trading sessions.
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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).