Can APLD's $36B Contracted Revenue Base Drive Long-Term Growth?

Zacks
Zacks kaynağında aç
Can APLD's $36B Contracted Revenue Base Drive Long-Term Growth?

Applied Digital APLD has a substantial foundation for long-term growth from its $36 billion contracted revenue base, provided it can convert contracted capacity into operating assets and recurring revenues. As of Aug. 31, 2026, APLD had approximately 1.41 GW of contracted critical IT load across five campuses, representing about $36 billion of contracted revenues over initial base terms. The portfolio is backed by CoreWeave and investment-grade hyperscalers, with leases generally structured for 15 years and on a take-or-pay basis.

The company is beginning to demonstrate this conversion. Polaris Forge 1 reached 250 MW of operational capacity on Oct. 1, while APLD expects to place more than 600 MW into service over the next 12 months. First-quarter fiscal 2027 revenues surged 322% year over year to $341.9 million, while HPC Hosting generated $262.6 million, including $65.8 million of base rent.

However, investors should not equate the backlog with immediately realized revenues. Much of the contracted capacity remains under construction, while APLD had $6.4 billion of debt and $3.7 billion in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash at quarter-end. Customer concentration and construction and financing requirements remain important risks.

Overall, APLD's $36 billion contracted revenue base can support long-term growth, but sustained growth depends on successfully financing, completing and bringing contracted AI capacity online while increasing recurring base-rent revenues. The growth outlook is also reflected in the Zacks Consensus Estimate, which projects for fiscal 2027 and 2028 revenue growth of 49.67% and 107.93%, respectively, underscoring the potential for APLD's expanding AI infrastructure portfolio to translate its contracted revenue base into substantial top-line growth.

APLD Faces Stiff Competition in Contracted Revenue Base

Core Scientific CORZ is narrowing APLD’s contracted-revenue lead, with more than $24 billion in contracted revenues and about 1.1 GW of contracted capacity. Core Scientific also added an AMD agreement representing over $14 billion of base contracted revenues across 15 years. With expansion potential beyond current commitments, Core Scientific presents a growing contracted-revenue challenge to APLD.

TeraWulf WULF, meanwhile, is building substantial contracted visibility, reporting roughly $27 billion of contracted revenues and 839 MW of leased capacity. TeraWulf’s 401-MW Anthropic lease contributes approximately $19 billion over 20 years, and the company targets another 250-500 MW of annual contracted capacity growth. This combination gives TeraWulf a credible path to challenge APLD’s contracted-revenue growth narrative.

APLD’s Share Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates

Shares of APLD have lost 2.9% year to date, underperforming the broader Zacks Finance sector’s 4.2% rise.

APLD’s YTD Price Performance

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

From a valuation standpoint, APLD trades at a trailing twelve-month price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 4.02, higher than the Finance – Miscellaneous Services industry’s 2.96. The company carries a Value Score of F. A price-to-book ratio above 1.0 means the stock is trading at a premium to its accounting net worth.

APLD’s Valuation

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Applied Digital’s fiscal 2027 bottom line is currently pegged at a loss of $1.09 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days. The projected loss is wider than the 91-cent loss recorded a year ago.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

APLD stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Beyond Nvidia: AI's Second Wave Is Here

The AI revolution has already minted millionaires. But the stocks everyone knows about aren't likely to keep delivering the biggest profits. AI’s second wave is moving from infrastructure to implementation and these companies are at the forefront of this transition, positioned to become what Amazon and Google were to the internet era.

See Stocks Now >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report


 
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
TeraWulf Inc. (WULF): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

Zacks Investment Research