Autodesk, Inc. quarterly report, Q2 FY2014

Autodesk, Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Business context and reporting period. This unaudited filing covers the second quarter and six months of fiscal 2014, ended July 31, 2013. Autodesk sells design and media software and related services across four reportable segments: Platform Solutions and Emerging Business (PSEB), Architecture, Engineering and Construction (AEC), Manufacturing, and Media and Entertainment (M&E). Comparisons below are with the corresponding fiscal 2013 periods. The company combined maintenance and cloud-services revenue under “Subscription”; comparative figures were reclassified to match.

Financial performance

MetricThree months ended July 31, 2013Six months ended July 31, 2013
Net revenue$561.7 million, down 1%$1,132.1 million, down 2%
License and other revenue$313.2 million, down 6%$636.7 million, down 8%
Subscription revenue$248.5 million, up 6%$495.4 million, up 6%
Gross profit / margin$493.9 million / 88% (prior year: 89%)$996.8 million / 88% (prior year: 90%)
Operating income / margin$83.6 million / 15% (prior year: 16%)$165.0 million / 15% (prior year: 16%)
Net income$61.7 million (prior year: $64.6 million)$117.3 million (prior year: $143.5 million)
Diluted EPS$0.27 (prior year: $0.28)$0.51 (prior year: $0.62)
Operating cash flowNot presented separately for the quarter$289.4 million (prior year: $246.4 million)

For the six months, reported gross margin fell two percentage points and operating margin fell one point year over year. Management attributed margin pressure primarily to foreign-exchange headwinds and higher costs of revenue, including cloud-service costs. Subscription revenue growth was principally driven by commercial maintenance revenue; net subscription billings decreased 20% for the quarter and 7% for the six months, with comparisons affected by elevated multi-year renewals in the prior-year periods.

Segments and mix. Quarterly revenue was PSEB $197.3 million (down 9%), AEC $177.1 million (up 9%), Manufacturing $144.0 million (up 2%), and M&E $43.3 million (down 11%). AEC and suites were areas of strength; flagship-product revenue declined. Suites revenue increased 18% for the quarter and 13% for the six months, while flagship-product revenue declined 11% and 10%, respectively. International sales represented 71% of revenue in both current-year periods.

Balance sheet, liquidity and capital allocation

  • Cash and cash equivalents were $1.401 billion at July 31, 2013; marketable securities totaled $1.007 billion. Together, cash and marketable securities were $2.408 billion, versus $2.365 billion at January 31, 2013.
  • Accounts receivable was $303.9 million, down from $495.1 million at fiscal year-end. Deferred revenue was $805.5 million in total ($636.9 million current and $168.6 million long-term); management reported $736.0 million of deferred customer maintenance contracts.
  • Long-term notes payable, net of discount, were $746.0 million; the notes had $750 million aggregate principal outstanding. The $400 million revolving credit facility, extended to May 2018, had no borrowings outstanding.
  • Six-month operating cash flow was $289.4 million. Investing activities used $345.5 million, including net marketable-security purchases, $42.6 million of capital expenditures and $47.2 million for acquisitions. Financing activities used $156.8 million, including $239.8 million of share repurchases.
  • Autodesk repurchased 6.3 million shares for $239.8 million during the six months; 26.0 million shares remained authorized for repurchase. The company stated that existing liquidity, expected operating cash flows and available credit were sufficient for at least the next 12 months.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • Third-quarter fiscal 2014 guidance: revenue of $540 million to $555 million; GAAP diluted EPS of $0.19 to $0.23; and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.36 to $0.40. The non-GAAP EPS outlook excludes $0.11 per share of stock-based compensation and $0.06 per share of acquisition-intangible amortization.
  • Management lowered near-term growth assumptions because of challenging conditions in some end markets and did not provide full-year fiscal 2014 guidance. It expects the shift toward rental, cloud and other flexible offerings to increase ratable revenue over time, but also to reduce upfront perpetual-license revenue and potentially pressure results during the transition.
  • Cloud-related subscription costs rose 45% year over year in the quarter and 36% for the six months. Management expected cost of revenue to increase slightly in absolute dollars and as a share of revenue in the third quarter, primarily due to cloud-service investment.
  • Key operating risks include weak or uneven global and industry conditions, currency movements, competition and execution of the cloud/mobile and licensing-model transition. Tech Data accounted for 24% of quarterly revenue and 25% of six-month revenue, and 26% of trade receivables at July 31.
  • Unrecognized tax benefits were $219.6 million, excluding interest; the company could not estimate the possible change over the next 12 months. Autodesk reported ordinary-course legal matters and said pending matters were not expected to have a material adverse effect, while noting that an unfavorable outcome could materially affect a particular period.
  • The fiscal 2013 restructuring plan had generated $46.0 million of charges to date, included approximately 500 position reductions and consolidation of eight leased facilities, and was substantially complete as of July 31. Current-period restructuring charges were $1.7 million for the quarter and $2.1 million for the six months.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the decline in license revenue and seat volume stabilizes, and whether suite growth and recurring subscription revenue can offset it.
  • Whether net subscription billings and maintenance enrollment/renewals recover, given their decline and the resulting lag before revenue recognition.
  • Progress against third-quarter guidance and the pace, costs and revenue-recognition effects of the business-model transition; no full-year guidance was provided.
  • Whether margins can withstand continued cloud investment, foreign-exchange pressure and end-market weakness.
  • Distributor concentration, particularly Tech Data’s share of revenue and receivables, and the company’s ability to manage international, currency, tax, legal and investment risks.
  • Cash deployment, including repurchases and acquisitions, alongside $750 million of senior-note principal and the company’s liquidity outlook.