Blue Bird Corp quarterly report, Q2 FY2021

Blue Bird Corporation — Q2 FY2021 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Fiscal quarter and six months ended April 3, 2021; comparative periods ended April 4, 2020. Blue Bird manufactures and sells school buses and replacement parts through dealer and other channels. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars.

Financial performance

MetricQ2 FY2021Q2 FY2020Six months FY2021Six months FY2020
Net sales$164.7 million$255.4 million$295.1 million$408.6 million
Gross profit$18.5 million$24.2 million$33.0 million$45.5 million
Gross margin11.2%9.5%11.2%11.1%
Operating profit$1.1 million$4.3 million$0.9 million$5.1 million
Net loss$0.6 million$0.6 million$2.2 million$1.0 million
Adjusted EBITDA and margin$7.5 million; 4.6%$12.3 million; 4.8%$13.3 million; 4.5%$20.3 million; 5.0%

Q2 diluted loss per share was $0.02, unchanged from the prior-year quarter; six-month diluted loss per share was $0.08 versus $0.04. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure.

Cash flow, debt and liquidity

  • For the six months, operating cash outflow was $11.2 million, capital expenditures were $7.0 million, and free cash flow was negative $18.2 million. Free cash flow improved from negative $62.5 million in the prior-year period.
  • Cash declined from $44.5 million at fiscal year-end to $18.7 million at April 3, 2021. Operating, investing and financing activities used $11.2 million, $7.0 million and $7.6 million, respectively.
  • Term debt principal outstanding was $171.4 million; the balance-sheet carrying amount, net of financing costs and current portion, was $156.4 million long-term and $12.4 million current. No revolving borrowings were outstanding; reported additional revolver availability was $97.3 million. Letters of credit totaled $6.9 million.
  • The amended credit agreement requires at least $15 million of liquidity during its Limited Availability Period, applies temporary financial covenants and an additional 0.50% interest margin. The company reported covenant compliance at quarter-end.
  • Current assets were $124.3 million and current liabilities were $135.8 million. Inventory rose to $92.0 million from $56.5 million at October 3, 2020.

Material changes versus comparable periods

  • Q2 sales fell 35.5% and six-month sales fell 27.8%, mainly because pandemic-related remote learning and uncertainty reduced bus orders. Bus bookings were 1,489 in Q2 versus 2,594; six-month bookings were 2,744 versus 4,054.
  • Parts revenue also declined, reflecting reduced repair and maintenance activity as fewer buses were in operation.
  • Q2 gross margin improved to 11.2% from 9.5%, while six-month gross margin was nearly flat. Management attributed pressure on per-unit costs to workforce absenteeism and supply disruptions; bus cost per unit increased 8.3% in Q2 and 6.4% for the six months.
  • SG&A declined by $2.5 million in Q2 and $8.3 million for the six months as the company controlled spending. Lower interest expense also partly offset weaker operating results.
  • Six-month operating cash use improved substantially year over year, mainly from a smaller working-capital cash outflow. Capital spending was lower, while financing included $2.5 million of credit-amendment costs and scheduled term-loan repayments.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management said COVID-19 was expected to continue adversely affecting the business for the remainder of FY2021 and possibly beyond; it gave no numerical revenue or earnings guidance. The duration and scale of impacts were described as uncertain.
  • Risks include lower school-bus demand, changing in-person school schedules, supplier disruptions and shortages, production inefficiencies, employee absenteeism, commodity costs, and possible further production interruptions. A one-week manufacturing pause occurred in March 2021 because of critical-component shortages; management said it did not materially affect Q2.
  • The company had incurred a two-week manufacturing closure in April 2020. It was considering further cost and spending controls, including limiting hiring, discretionary spending and capital investment.
  • The December 2020 credit amendment generated $2.5 million in lender and issuance costs, including $0.6 million recognized as a debt-modification loss over the six-month period. Covenant breaches could require relief or refinancing, which management said could carry higher rates and costs.
  • Variable-rate debt is partly mitigated by an interest-rate collar. The collar had a $2.9 million fair-value liability at quarter-end; cash payments under the collar totaled $1.0 million during the six months.
  • Product-liability and other legal matters were pending; management did not expect their resolution to materially adversely affect the financial statements. A $3.0 million dealer-debt guarantee was outstanding, with performance considered remote; $0.2 million was recorded as its estimated fair value.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether bus bookings and customer demand recover as schools resume in-person operations, and how seasonality affects upcoming quarters.
  • Whether critical-component supply constraints, workforce availability and higher per-unit manufacturing costs persist or worsen.
  • Whether cash generation and liquidity remain adequate under the amended credit agreement, including covenant compliance and refinancing needs for the 2023 term-loan maturity.
  • How inventory growth, working-capital movements and planned capital expenditures affect cash balances.
  • The composition and ongoing relevance of adjustments excluded from non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow.