Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. annual report, Q4 FY2018

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: TCG BDC, Inc. (formerly Carlyle GMS Finance, Inc.)
Filing Type: Form 10-K (Annual Report)
Period Ended: December 31, 2018
Business Overview: TCG BDC is an externally managed Business Development Company (BDC) and Regulated Investment Company (RIC) focused on lending to U.S. middle-market companies. The company targets companies with EBITDA between $10 million and $100 million, primarily through direct originations of senior secured loans (first and second lien). It is managed by Carlyle Global Credit Investment Management L.L.C., a subsidiary of The Carlyle Group.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric 2018 2017
Total Investment Income $207.5 million $165.0 million
Net Investment Income $108.4 million $92.2 million
Net Increase in Net Assets from Operations $39.1 million $84.2 million
Net Realized Gain (Loss) ($1.4 million) ($11.7 million)
Net Change in Unrealized Appreciation (Depreciation) ($68.0 million) $3.7 million
Total Assets $2,084.7 million $2,021.4 million
Total Investments (Fair Value) $1,972.2 million $1,967.5 million
Total Liabilities $1,021.5 million $894.1 million
Net Assets $1,063.2 million $1,127.3 million
Net Assets Per Share $17.09 $18.12
Outstanding Indebtedness $963.8 million $835.9 million
Asset Coverage Ratio 210.31% 234.86%
Weighted Average Yield (Debt) 9.54% 8.86%

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Operating Results: Net investment income increased 17.7% to $108.4 million, driven by capital deployment, a larger invested balance, and rising LIBOR rates. However, the net increase in net assets from operations decreased significantly to $39.1 million (from $84.2 million) due to a $68.0 million net unrealized depreciation, primarily attributed to the bankruptcy of Product Quest Manufacturing, LLC and changes in valuation inputs.
  • Portfolio Composition: The portfolio grew to 119 investments in 96 portfolio companies. First lien debt comprised 78.4% of the portfolio, while the investment in the Middle Market Credit Fund (Credit Fund) increased to 11.3% of fair value.
  • Debt and Liquidity: Total indebtedness increased to $963.8 million. The company refinanced its 2015-1 Debt Securitization in August 2018, issuing $449.2 million in new notes (2015-1R Notes) to replace the previous $273.0 million issuance. Cash and cash equivalents increased to $87.2 million from $32.0 million.
  • Stock Performance: Net assets per share declined to $17.09 from $18.12. The stock traded at a discount of approximately 11.94% to NAV as of February 25, 2019.

Guidance, Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

  • Management Commentary: Management highlighted a favorable middle-market lending environment with stable leverage levels and attractive yields. The company expects to continue generating current income and capital appreciation through direct originations.
  • Unusual Items: A significant unrealized loss was recorded related to Product Quest Manufacturing, LLC, which filed for bankruptcy protection in 2018. Additionally, a restructuring of Tweddle Group, Inc. resulted in a realized loss of $4.1 million and the reversal of $3.8 million in unrealized depreciation.
  • Risks:
    • Interest Rate Risk: Approximately 99.2% of the debt portfolio bears floating interest rates. While rising rates increase investment income, they also increase borrowing costs.
    • Leverage: The company operates with significant leverage. A reduction in asset values could impact the asset coverage ratio, potentially restricting dividends or requiring asset sales.
    • Valuation Uncertainty: A significant portion of the portfolio consists of illiquid private debt securities valued using unobservable inputs (Level 3), subject to management judgment and market volatility.
    • Conflicts of Interest: The Investment Adviser manages other funds with overlapping strategies, creating potential conflicts in the allocation of investment opportunities.
  • Dividend Policy: The company intends to distribute at least 90% of investment company taxable income to maintain RIC status. Dividends declared in 2018 totaled $1.68 per share.

Key Facts for Investor Verification

  • Asset Coverage Ratio: Verify the current asset coverage ratio (210.31% as of year-end) to ensure compliance with the 150% minimum requirement under the Investment Company Act, which allows for higher leverage than the previous 200% standard.
  • Non-Accrual Status: Review the specific details of the two first lien debt investments on non-accrual status ($14.3 million fair value, or 0.73% of total investments) and the impact of the Product Quest Manufacturing bankruptcy on future cash flows.
  • Valuation Methodology: Scrutinize the Level 3 fair value measurements, as the $68 million unrealized depreciation was driven by changes in valuation inputs (spreads, leverage multiples) rather than realized defaults.
  • Debt Maturities: Assess the maturity profile of the $963.8 million in outstanding indebtedness, particularly the 2015-1R Notes maturing in 2031 and the revolving credit facilities, to evaluate refinancing risks.
  • Stock Repurchase Program: Note the $100 million stock repurchase program authorized in November 2018, under which the company repurchased 368,408 shares in Q4 2018.