Alcoa Corp annual report, FY2020

Alcoa Corporation — 2020 Form 10-K Summary

Business context and reporting period

Alcoa is a vertically integrated producer of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum, with energy and rolling operations. It reports three segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. This 10-K covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020; fourth-quarter figures are separately disclosed below. Unless noted, dollar amounts are in millions.

Key financial metrics

Metric20202019
Sales$9,286$10,433
Net income (loss) attributable to Alcoa$(170)$(1,125)
Basic and diluted EPS$(0.91)$(6.07)
Segment Adjusted EBITDA$1,317$1,626
Cash provided by operations$394$686
Capital expenditures$353$379
Cash and cash equivalents at year-end$1,607$879
Total debt at year-end$2,542$1,800
Cost of goods sold as a percentage of sales86%82%

Consolidated net loss was $14 in 2020 versus $853 in 2019; the difference from Alcoa-attributable loss reflects noncontrolling interests. Year-end assets were $14,860 and total liabilities were $9,844. The company paid no common dividends and made no share repurchases in 2020. Cash from operations less capital expenditures was approximately $41.

Segment Adjusted EBITDA: Bauxite $495 (2019: $504); Alumina $497 (2019: $1,097); Aluminum $325 (2019: $25). Production records were reported in both Bauxite and Alumina. Aluminum results benefited from the Bécancour restart and lower input costs, while Alumina EBITDA fell substantially with prices.

Fourth-quarter 2020 sales were $2,392, consolidated net income was $17, and net loss attributable to Alcoa was $4, or $(0.02) per share. For comparison, fourth-quarter 2019 sales were $2,436 and net loss attributable to Alcoa was $303, or $(1.63) per share.

Material changes versus 2019

  • Sales declined 11%, mainly due to lower realized alumina and aluminum prices and portfolio changes. Alumina’s average realized price fell to $273 per metric ton from $343; primary aluminum’s fell to $1,915 from $2,141.
  • Attributable net loss improved by $955, primarily due to sharply lower restructuring charges, favorable currency movements, lower tax provision, and portfolio actions; weaker commodity margins partly offset these benefits.
  • Restructuring and other charges fell to $104 from $1,031. The 2019 total included major charges for the Ma’aden rolling mill divestiture, Point Comfort refinery closure, and Spanish facility actions.
  • Cash from operations decreased to $394 from $686. The filing cites pension contributions, working-capital movements, San Ciprián inventory that could not ship during the strike, and tax-related timing effects among the drivers.
  • Debt increased following issuance of $750 of 5.5% senior notes due 2027; net proceeds were approximately $736. The company remained in compliance with credit facility covenants at year-end.

Outlook, management commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • Management projected 2021 bauxite shipments of 49.0–50.0 million dry metric tons, alumina shipments of 13.9–14.0 million metric tons, and total aluminum shipments of 2.7–2.8 million metric tons. It expected 2021 capital expenditures of approximately $375 for sustaining projects and $50 for growth projects.
  • Management expected 2021 benefits from Bécancour operating at full capacity and the Intalco curtailment, partly offset by higher raw-material and energy costs and the Warrick rolling mill sale. The company anticipated lower sales and net income after the Warrick sale: annual sales reductions of approximately $800 and net income reductions of $45–$55, based on last-12-month pricing through December 2020.
  • The Warrick rolling mill sale to Kaiser was agreed at approximately $670 in total consideration, including $587 cash and assumption of $83 in other postretirement benefit liabilities. Closing was expected by the end of Q1 2021, subject to customary conditions; Alcoa expected about $100 of separation and transaction costs.
  • The San Ciprián strike reduced refinery production and blocked metal shipments in late 2020. A court ruling suspended the planned smelter curtailment; in January 2021, Alcoa agreed to suspend the strike and conduct a sale process involving Spanish state-owned SEPI. The outcome and related costs remained uncertain.
  • COVID-19 reduced demand and margins for value-added aluminum products, especially in Q2; sequential value-added sales volumes recovered 11% in Q3 and 13% in Q4. Operations remained active, and management reported no impairment charges or additional deferred-tax valuation allowances from its 2020 COVID-19 review.
  • Alcoa reported an Australian tax dispute concerning historic alumina sales: assessments sought about $165 in tax, $544 in compounded interest, and proposed penalties of about $99. Alcoa disputes the claims, paid approximately $74 (50% of assessed tax excluding interest and penalties), and recorded no tax expense for the matter. The potential loss could not be estimated clearly and resolution may take years.
  • Other material risks include volatile aluminum and alumina prices, energy availability and cost, global demand and Chinese supply, environmental and remediation obligations, labor disputes, pension funding, foreign exchange, and compliance with debt covenants. Environmental remediation reserves were $322 at year-end; the company reported participation in assessments and cleanups at numerous locations.
  • The company generated a $181 gain on the Gum Springs business sale, received $200 cash, and had another $50 held in escrow subject to conditions. The 2020 effective tax rate was 108.1%, affected by valuation allowances and jurisdictional mix; a favorable Spanish court ruling also led to reversal of a prior tax reserve.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether Alcoa can restore sustained profitability and cash generation as commodity prices and energy costs change.
  • Final closing terms, cash proceeds, separation costs, and post-sale earnings impact of the Warrick transaction.
  • Developments and potential financial consequences of the San Ciprián labor and sale process.
  • Progress and estimated exposure in the Australian tax dispute, including any penalty assessment and interest accruals.
  • Liquidity and covenant headroom: the $1.5 billion revolving facility had no borrowings at year-end, but covenant-based additional borrowing capacity was reported at $1.322 billion.
  • Whether pension obligations, environmental reserves, and other contractual commitments develop as estimated; total disclosed contractual obligations were $25.309 billion, including substantial long-term energy and raw-material purchase obligations.

The financial statements received an unqualified audit opinion, and management and the auditor concluded internal control over financial reporting was effective as of December 31, 2020. The auditor identified realization of Alcoa Canada Company’s net deferred tax assets as a critical audit matter.