Core & Main, Inc. current report, 06 November 2023

Core & Main, Inc. Form 8-K Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

Core & Main, Inc. filed the Form 8-K on November 6, 2023, under Items 2.02 and 7.01. The filing furnishes preliminary estimated results for the three months ended October 29, 2023, compared with the three months ended October 30, 2022, ahead of management’s presentation at the 2023 Baird Global Industrial Conference.

The estimates are unaudited, subject to completion of the quarter-end close and external review, and may be materially revised. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP provided no assurance on the preliminary information.

Key Financial Metrics

MetricQ3 2023 EstimateQ3 2022Change
Net sales$1.822 billion–$1.832 billion$1.818 billionApproximately 0.2%–0.8% increase
Net income$153 million–$163 million$178 millionApproximately 8.4%–14.0% decrease
Adjusted EBITDA$257 million–$263 million$275 millionApproximately 4.4%–6.5% decrease

Estimated net income margin was approximately 8.4%–8.9%, versus 9.8% in the prior-year quarter. Estimated Adjusted EBITDA margin was approximately 14.1%–14.4%, versus 15.1% in the prior-year quarter.

Estimated EBITDA was $252 million–$258 million, compared with $271 million in the prior-year quarter. The reconciliation included estimated depreciation and amortization of $38 million, income tax expense of $37 million–$41 million, and interest expense of $20 million for the current quarter. Adjusted EBITDA included $3 million of equity-based compensation, $1 million of acquisition expenses, and $1 million of offering expenses.

The filing does not provide current-quarter cash flow, cash balance, debt balance, liquidity, gross profit, or operating expense values.

Material Changes Versus the Prior Comparable Period

  • Sales were broadly stable to modestly higher year over year.
  • Net income and Adjusted EBITDA declined despite relatively flat sales, resulting in lower estimated profitability and margins.
  • Interest expense increased to $20 million from $16 million, while depreciation and amortization increased to $38 million from $37 million.
  • Estimated income tax expense ranged from $37 million to $41 million, compared with $40 million in the prior-year quarter.

Guidance, Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

The filing does not provide formal forward guidance or a revised full-year outlook. Management cautions that the preliminary estimates do not necessarily represent the final third-quarter results or indicate future performance.

Management identifies risks including cyclicality in residential and non-residential construction, municipal infrastructure spending and federal funding delays, product-cost and freight volatility, inventory and supply-chain execution, competition, acquisitions and integration, supplier relationships, customer credit, labor availability, cybersecurity and information-technology disruptions, litigation, regulatory compliance, and environmental, health and safety obligations.

Additional financial risks include indebtedness, restrictions under debt agreements, higher interest rates, benchmark-rate transition, credit-rating changes, the ability to generate sufficient cash to service debt, Tax Receivable Agreement obligations, and potential impairment of goodwill or other long-lived assets.

Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure. It excludes, among other items, interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, debt modification or extinguishment losses, equity compensation, offering expenses, and acquisition-related expenses. It should not be viewed as a substitute for GAAP net income or cash flow.

Investor Verification Priorities

  • Verify final reported results against the preliminary ranges, including any material quarter-end adjustments.
  • Reconcile final net income and Adjusted EBITDA to GAAP financial statements and assess the sustainability of excluded items.
  • Review final gross margin, operating expenses, cash flow, debt, interest costs, liquidity, and covenant compliance, none of which are fully provided in this filing.
  • Investigate the causes of lower profitability and margins despite broadly stable sales.
  • Review subsequent Form 10-Q disclosures for management’s outlook, construction and infrastructure demand trends, acquisition activity, and updated risk factors.