HORACE MANN EDUCATORS CORP annual report, FY2013

Horace Mann Educators Corporation — FY 2013 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period. Horace Mann is an insurance holding company focused primarily on K-12 educators and their families, offering property and casualty insurance, retirement annuities, and life insurance. This annual report covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2013; it is not a standalone fourth-quarter filing. Amounts below are in millions of dollars unless stated otherwise.

Financial results and key metrics

Metric20132012Change
Total revenue$1,031.3$1,010.8+2.0%
Insurance premiums and contract charges earned$690.9$670.5+3.0%
Net investment income$313.6$306.0+2.5%
Net realized investment gains$22.2$27.3Down $5.1
Income before taxes$154.1$149.2+3.3%
Net income$110.9$103.9+6.8%
Diluted EPS$2.66$2.51+6.0%
Operating cash flow$205.9$202.8+1.5%
  • Business volumes: Premiums written and contract deposits were $1,094.2, up 2.5%. Property and casualty premiums written rose 3.6% to $570.4; annuity deposits rose 1.3% to $423.0; life premiums and deposits rose 1.5% to $100.8.
  • Property and casualty: Segment net income was $44.4, up $7.3. The combined ratio improved to 96.3% from 98.3% (below 100% indicates an underwriting profit). Catastrophe costs were $40.2 pretax versus $43.3. Favorable prior-year reserve development was $18.0.
  • Annuity: Segment net income increased to $44.7 from $40.5. Fixed annuity net interest spread narrowed to 199 basis points from 211, while growth in fixed annuity assets supported interest margin. Total accumulated annuity cash value was $5.4 billion, up 12.7%.
  • Life: Segment net income declined to $20.4 from $21.9; management cited higher mortality costs, although full-year mortality remained favorable versus its expectations.
  • Investments and balance sheet: Total investments were $6.54 billion and total assets $8.83 billion at year-end, up from $6.29 billion and $8.17 billion, respectively. The portfolio was primarily fixed income; 95.5% of fixed maturities were investment grade. Average portfolio yield declined to 5.37% from 5.63%.
  • Capital, debt, and liquidity: Shareholders’ equity fell to $1.10 billion from $1.25 billion, mainly reflecting lower unrealized investment gains. Book value per share declined 14% to $27.14. Debt totaled $237.9 ($38.0 short-term and $199.9 long-term); debt was 19.8% of capital excluding unrealized investment gains and losses, below the company’s 25% long-term target. Parent-company liquid assets were $24.4; approximately $82 of subsidiary dividends could be paid in 2014 without prior regulatory approval.
  • Shareholder returns: Cash dividends were $0.78 per share, up from $0.55. The company repurchased 173,629 shares for $3.9 during 2013; $28.4 remained authorized.

Material changes versus prior comparable period

  • Net income rose 6.8%, supported by stronger property and casualty underwriting and annuity earnings; after-tax realized investment gains were $14.4, down $3.2 from 2012.
  • Property and casualty results benefited from lower catastrophe losses, improved current accident-year non-catastrophe results, and favorable reserve development. Prior-year reserve development increased net income by approximately $11.7 after tax.
  • Investment portfolio fair-value movements materially reduced equity: net unrealized gains on fixed maturities and equity securities in accumulated other comprehensive income fell to $134.0 from $382.4. Total comprehensive income was a loss of $134.0, despite positive net income.
  • Operating expenses increased 2.6% to $160.1, reflecting customer-service, infrastructure, and technology investments. Total policy liabilities rose to $5.03 billion from $4.74 billion.
  • Cash from operations was broadly stable. Financing cash flow included $250.0 received by a subsidiary under FHLB funding agreements; this is not ordinary annuity deposit growth.

Outlook, risks, and unusual items

  • 2014 outlook: Management estimated net income before realized investment gains and losses of $2.05–$2.25 per diluted share. The outlook assumed continued improvement in current-year property and casualty results, but less favorable prior-year reserve development; life mortality returning to modeled levels; minimal annuity DAC unlocking; and ongoing investment in customer service and infrastructure.
  • Interest-rate exposure: Management anticipated continued fixed-annuity spread compression because about 87% of deferred fixed annuity account values were at minimum guaranteed rates. A 100-basis-point reduction in reinvestment rates was estimated to reduce pretax income by about $2.7 in 2014 and $9.5 in 2015, before any reduction in policyholder crediting rates.
  • Key risks: Catastrophe frequency and severity, especially in catastrophe-prone states; adequacy of property and casualty reserves; reinsurance availability and collectibility; low interest rates and investment-market volatility; annuity surrenders and variable-account performance; competition, educator-market access and school-district budgets; regulatory or tax changes affecting insurance and 403(b) products; and execution of technology modernization.
  • Reserve and valuation uncertainty: Management estimated reasonable potential variability in property and casualty reserves of approximately plus or minus 6%, equivalent to about plus or minus $10 of net income. Goodwill was $47.4; the 2013 annual impairment test found no impairment, though management noted assumptions could change.
  • Other items: The company began FHLB funding agreements totaling $250.0, with maturities in 2015 and 2023 and a weighted average interest rate of 0.24% at year-end. The 2013 net realized investment gains included $1.5 of impairment charges, including a Detroit general obligation bond. No pending litigation was identified with a reasonable possibility of material loss. KPMG issued an unqualified opinion on the financial statements and internal controls were reported effective.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the $2.05–$2.25 2014 EPS outlook is comparable with reported EPS, given that it excludes realized investment gains and losses.
  • Whether property and casualty underwriting improvement persists without unusually favorable catastrophe experience or reserve releases.
  • How minimum credited-rate guarantees affect annuity spreads and earnings as investments mature or are prepaid.
  • Whether the fall in unrealized investment gains, book value, and shareholders’ equity stabilizes or reverses as market yields change.
  • How the $250.0 FHLB funding agreement, debt maturities in 2015–2016, and limits on subsidiary dividends affect holding-company liquidity and capital flexibility.