TXO Partners, L.P. annual report, Q4 FY2022

TXO Partners, L.P. 2022 Annual Report (10-K) Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: TXO Energy Partners, L.P. (formerly MorningStar Partners, L.P.)
Reporting Period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2022
Business Model: Independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, and exploitation of conventional reserves in the Permian Basin (West Texas/New Mexico) and San Juan Basin (New Mexico/Colorado). The company operates as a "production and distribution" enterprise, aiming to maintain flat-to-low growth production while distributing available cash to unitholders.
Recent Status: Completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) on January 31, 2023, listing on the NYSE under the symbol "TXO."

Key Financial Metrics (Year Ended Dec 31, 2022)

Metric 2022 Value 2021 Value
Total Revenues $246.4 million $228.3 million
Net (Loss) Income $(7.7) million $52.5 million
Operating Cash Flow $136.4 million $73.7 million
Capital Expenditures (Total) $86.7 million $227.8 million
Development Capital $29.8 million $8.1 million
Debt Outstanding (Long-term) $120.1 million $152.1 million
Available Liquidity (Credit Facility) $52.0 million $20.0 million
Proved Reserves (MBoe) 143.4 million 129.8 million
Standardized Measure of Reserves $1,969.8 million $986.6 million

Note: Net loss in 2022 was primarily driven by $212.2 million in losses on commodity derivative contracts (hedging), which offset significant increases in production and realized commodity prices.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Revenues increased 8% to $246.4 million, driven by a 17% increase in production volumes (8,466 MBoe vs. 7,220 MBoe) and higher realized commodity prices. This growth was largely due to the 2021 acquisitions of the Vacuum and Andrews Parker properties.
  • Profitability Impact: Despite higher revenues, the company reported a net loss of $7.7 million compared to a net income of $52.5 million in 2021. This reversal was caused by $212.2 million in hedging losses (both realized and unrealized) as market prices exceeded fixed hedge prices.
  • Cost Structure: Production expenses increased 84% to $127.7 million, primarily due to higher volumes from acquired assets and inflationary pressures on labor and materials. General and administrative expenses decreased 86% to $1.6 million, excluding one-time costs in 2021 related to the Southland bankruptcy.
  • Reserve Growth: Proved reserves increased by 13.6 million Boe (10.5%) to 143.4 million Boe, driven by acquisitions and upward revisions due to higher commodity prices.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Capital Budget: The company expects to incur approximately $30.0 - $35.0 million in development capital for 2023, funded primarily by cash flow from operations.
  • Debt Status: Following the IPO in early 2023, the company utilized proceeds to pay down its credit facility in full. As of March 31, 2023, the company had no debt outstanding and $165.0 million in availability under its credit facility.
  • Hedging Strategy: The company maintains a hedging program to stabilize cash flows. As of December 31, 2022, the fair value of derivative contracts was a net liability of $104.2 million. The company received waivers on certain hedging volume requirements under its credit facility through June 2023.
  • Key Risks:
    • Commodity Price Volatility: Revenue and cash flow are highly sensitive to oil and natural gas prices.
    • Derivative Exposure: Hedging activities can limit upside potential during price increases, as evidenced by the 2022 hedging losses.
    • Geographic Concentration: Operations are concentrated in the Permian and San Juan Basins, exposing the company to regional regulatory and infrastructure risks.
    • Regulatory/Environmental: Subject to stringent federal and state regulations regarding emissions (methane/VOCs), water disposal, and climate change initiatives (e.g., Inflation Reduction Act methane fees).

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Derivative Liability: Verify the current fair value of open derivative contracts and the potential cash outflow required for settlements if commodity prices remain elevated.
  • Debt Covenant Compliance: Confirm continued compliance with the Credit Facility covenants, specifically the net leverage ratio and minimum hedge volume requirements, now that the facility has been paid down.
  • Reserve Revisions: Monitor future reserve reports for downward revisions if commodity prices decline, which could impact the borrowing base and future production estimates.
  • Acquisition Integration: Assess the operational performance and cost structure of the 2021 and 2022 acquisitions (Vacuum, Andrews Parker) to ensure they meet projected cash flow targets.
  • Distribution Policy: Review the definition of "Available Cash" in the partnership agreement to understand the discretion the General Partner has in setting reserves before distributions are made.