VOC Energy Trust annual report, Q4 FY2013

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: VOC Energy Trust (VOC)
Filing Type: Form 10-K (Annual Report)
Period Ended: December 31, 2013
Structure: A Delaware statutory trust formed in 2010, managed by The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A. The trust holds a term net profits interest entitling it to 80% of the net proceeds from oil and natural gas properties in Kansas and Texas owned by VOC Brazos Energy Partners, L.P.
Termination: The trust will terminate on the later of December 31, 2030, or when 10.6 MMBoe have been produced from the underlying properties.

Key Financial Metrics (Year Ended Dec 31, 2013)

Metric 2013 Value 2012 Value
Income from Net Profits Interest $29,274,516 $38,112,577
Distributable Income $28,560,000 $37,230,000
Distributions per Unit $1.68 $2.19
Total Assets (Year End) $111,439,640 $122,349,786
Net Profits Interest Investment (Net of Amortization) $110,988,370 $121,875,186
Proved Reserves (Trust Interest) 7,125 MBoe 7,410 MBoe
Standardized Measure of Discounted Future Net Cash Flows $231,220,050 $246,448,000

Note: The trust uses a modified cash basis of accounting. No debt or interest expense is reported as the trust has no borrowings.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Decline: Income from the net profits interest decreased by 23.2% ($8.8 million) compared to 2012. This was driven by a 19.6% decrease in the excess of revenues over direct operating expenses and development costs.
  • Production Volumes: Oil sales volumes decreased by 3.3% (769,584 Bbls in 2013 vs. 796,066 Bbls in 2012), while natural gas volumes increased by 4.0%.
  • Price Increases: Average sales prices increased slightly: Oil rose 0.8% to $92.36/Bbl, and Natural Gas rose 0.8% to $3.95/Mcf.
  • Cost Increases: Development expenses surged 52.2% to $18.0 million, primarily due to the timing of costs for drilling horizontal wells and increased completion costs. Lease operating expenses increased 1.6%.
  • Reserve Revisions: Total proved reserves decreased by 285 MBoe due to production, partially offset by positive revisions of 406 MBoe.

Outlook, Risks, and Management Commentary

  • Production Decline: The underlying properties are mature fields. Without additional development, production is expected to decline at an average annual rate of 6.3% over the next 20 years.
  • Development Program: VOC Brazos plans to spend approximately $23.3 million through 2016 on development (drilling and workovers) to offset natural decline. The trust indirectly bears 80% of these costs via reduced net proceeds.
  • Hedging: Hedge contracts are in place for the first six months of 2014 at a fixed price of $102.15 per barrel, covering approximately 21% of expected oil production. No hedges exist beyond June 30, 2014, exposing the trust to full price volatility thereafter.
  • Key Risks:
    • Commodity Prices: Distributions are highly sensitive to oil and gas prices.
    • Depleting Assets: The trust cannot acquire new properties; distributions will eventually cease as reserves are exhausted.
    • Operator Control: Unitholders have no control over VOC Brazos' operations, capital expenditure decisions, or well abandonment policies.
    • Counterparty Risk: Reliance on hedge counterparties and purchasers (e.g., MV Purchasing LLC, which bought 34% of 2013 production) for payments.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Reserve Accuracy: Verify the independent reserve report by Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc., as actual production may differ from estimates.
  • Development Spending: Monitor VOC Brazos' execution of the $23.3 million development plan through 2016 to ensure production decline rates do not exceed projections.
  • Hedge Exposure: Assess the impact of unhedged production after June 30, 2014, given the volatility of crude oil prices.
  • Operator Financial Health: Review the financial stability of VOC Brazos and the operator (Vess Oil Corporation), as their bankruptcy could jeopardize operations and distributions.
  • Capital Expenditure Limitations: Note that after 2027 (or upon reaching specific production thresholds), capital expenditures deductible from net proceeds will be capped at the average of the prior three years plus 2.5%.