WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTD annual report, FY2016

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. — 2016 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period. Fiscal year ended December 31, 2016. White Mountains is a Bermuda-based insurance holding company reporting three continuing segments: OneBeacon specialty property and casualty insurance, HG Global/BAM municipal bond insurance and reinsurance, and Other Operations, including investments and private-capital businesses. Sirius Group and Tranzact were sold during 2016 and reported as discontinued operations; Symetra was sold in February 2016.

Key financial results

Metric20162015Change / context
Total revenue$1.361 billion$1.622 billionDown 16%, principally because the $259 million Symetra unrealized gain recorded in 2015 did not recur; earned premiums also declined.
Pre-tax continuing income (loss)$(40.4) million$157.3 million2016 continuing results were near break-even after a $45.4 million income tax benefit.
Net income attributable to common shareholders$412.5 million$297.6 millionIncludes $363.2 million after-tax gain on Sirius and $51.9 million after-tax gain on Tranzact.
Continuing operating cash flow$(130.6) million$119.7 millionNegative in 2016; management cited lower premium and surety-collateral receipts, a large year-end claim payment, transaction costs, and higher incentive payments.
Common shareholders’ equity$3.603 billion$3.913 billionLower in total, while share repurchases reduced the share count.
Book value per share$789.53$695.84Adjusted book value per share was $793.58, up 13.7% including dividends.
Total debt$285.9 million$337.6 millionDebt to total capital declined to 7% from 16%; revolving facilities were undrawn at year-end and covenants were met.
Investments$5.335 billion$4.271 billionPortfolio composition shifted substantially; common equity securities fell to $474 million from $1.114 billion.

White Mountains repurchased 1.106 million common shares for $887 million at an average $802.08 per share. The annual common dividend remained $1 per share. The filing reports $1.655 billion of net unrestricted cash, short-term investments and fixed maturities at the Company and intermediate holding companies, outside OneBeacon.

Operating performance and material changes

  • OneBeacon: Net written premiums were $1.101 billion, down about 3%. Its GAAP combined ratio was 97% versus 96% in 2015, still indicating an underwriting profit. The expense ratio rose to 38% from 36%; the current-accident-year loss ratio improved to 58% from 60%. Net prior-year reserve development was unfavorable by $15.4 million, chiefly in Healthcare and Programs, partly offset by favorable development in other units.
  • HG Global/BAM: BAM insured $11.3 billion of municipal bonds, versus $10.6 billion in 2015. Claims-paying resources rose 7% to $643.7 million; insured par outstanding increased to $33.1 billion. BAM’s GAAP pre-tax loss was $48.9 million, attributed to non-controlling interests.
  • Investments: Total portfolio pre-tax return was 2.7%, down from 3.6%. The portfolio of common equities, other long-term investments and high-yield bonds returned 4.0%, compared with a 12.0% S&P 500 return. Net realized and unrealized investment gains were $10.3 million, versus $225.4 million in 2015.
  • Disposals and capital deployment: Sirius was sold for approximately $2.6 billion, generating a $363.2 million after-tax gain; Tranzact generated $221.3 million net proceeds and a $51.9 million after-tax gain. White Mountains also received $658 million from the Symetra sale. These transactions materially affect comparisons with 2015 and the reported earnings mix.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

The filing provides no specific consolidated earnings or revenue guidance. Management said cash balances, operating cash flows, investment maturities and revolving credit facilities should be adequate for foreseeable requirements. The company emphasizes underwriting discipline and total-return investing, but results remain exposed to market and credit movements, foreign exchange, catastrophe losses, reserve uncertainty, competition, regulation and reinsurer collectability.

  • Reserves: Loss and LAE reserves are estimates subject to significant judgment. OneBeacon reported $1.193 billion net reserves; its disclosed reasonable-estimate range was $1.012 billion to $1.363 billion. Healthcare reserve deterioration continued during 2016.
  • BAM surplus notes: White Mountains holds $503 million face value and had accrued $108 million interest, with no cash payments received. Interest and principal payments require regulatory approval and depend on BAM maintaining adequate capital. Management’s model projects payments could begin in 2019, but that forecast depends on assumptions about bond issuance, market penetration, premiums and competition.
  • Investment and liquidity risks: A 100-basis-point rate increase was estimated to reduce fixed-maturity carrying value by $111.5 million after tax. Some private investments are illiquid, and $138 million of investment commitments remained without fixed funding dates.
  • Other unusual items: The $21 million SSIE surplus-note write-off reduced income attributable to White Mountains common shareholders, with a corresponding increase in non-controlling interests. SSIE ceased writing new policies and is winding down. A $16 million OneBeacon tax benefit and other favorable tax settlements also supported 2016 results.

PricewaterhouseCoopers issued an unqualified opinion on the financial statements and internal controls. Management reported effective disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Separate recurring continuing-operations performance from sale gains and other transaction-related or tax benefits when assessing 2016 earnings.
  • Monitor OneBeacon’s Healthcare reserves, adverse development, expense ratio and premium trends in its specialty lines.
  • Assess the assumptions and regulatory conditions underlying BAM surplus-note recovery and the timing of any cash interest or principal payments.
  • Review cash-flow conversion, holding-company liquidity, dividend capacity at regulated insurers, and the scale and price of share repurchases.
  • Track investment portfolio valuation, interest-rate and credit-spread sensitivity, foreign-currency exposure, and the liquidity of private investments.