Shares of Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. BFH closed at $75.89 on Thursday, near its 52-week high of $82.03. This proximity underscores investor confidence. It has the ingredients for further price appreciation. The stock is trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) of $73.19 and $65.95, respectively, indicating solid upward momentum. SMA is a widely used technical analysis tool to predict future price trends by analyzing historical price data.
With a market capitalization of $3.46 billion, the average volume of shares traded in the last three months was 0.8 million.
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BFH is an Outperformer
Shares of Bread Financial have gained 51.8% in the past year against the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry’s decline of 17.6%. BFH shares outperformed the Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite’s growth of 8.6% and 21.4%, respectively, in the said time frame.
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BFH Shares Are Affordable
Bread Financial shares are trading at a discount compared with the industry. Its forward price-to-earnings multiple of 7.9X is lower than the industry average of 9.15X, the Finance sector’s 15.08X, and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite’s 20.35X. The insurer has a Value Score of A.
Shares of LendingClub Corporation LC are also trading at a discount to the industry average, while those of Virtu Financial, Inc. VIRT and American Express Company AXP are trading at a multiple higher than the industry average.
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BFH’s Encouraging Growth Projection
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Bread Financial’s 2026 revenues is pegged at $3.97 billion, implying a year-over-year improvement of 3.1%. The consensus estimate for 2027 earnings per share and revenues indicates an increase of 12.7% and 4.3%, respectively, from the corresponding 2026 estimates.
Optimist Analyst Sentiment on BFH
Six of the seven analysts covering the stock have raised estimates for 2026, and two of the six analysts have raised the same for 2027 over the past 60 days. Thus, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 and 2027 earnings has moved up 5.2% and 4.1%, respectively, in the past 60 days.
Factors Acting in Favor of BFH
The credit sales performance is expected to improve on the back of solid consumer spending. With the continued growth in credit sales, average loans are likely to increase. With new partner additions and holiday spending, BFH continues to expect strong credit sales.
Credit metrics should remain strong, with delinquency and net loss rates remaining below the historical averages. Given disciplined, proactive risk management and strong consumer payment behavior, net loss rates are expected to remain low.
BFH is prudently investing in strategic growth areas and ramping up marketing spending across growth verticals, digital innovation and technology enhancements. Bread Financial stated that ramping up its digital and technology capabilities remains a top priority this year. It has strategic relationships leveraging BFH’s versatile mono platform, including RBC, Fiserv and Sezzle.
The company has been strengthening its balance sheet and lowering debt. Its free cash flow conversion has been impressive over the last several quarters, reflecting its solid earnings. Bread Financial also intends to pay down $100 million in 2026 bonds by this year to further improve leverage.
BFH remains focused on returning value to its shareholders. It uses share repurchases as a tool to mitigate the adverse impact of foreign exchange and intends to focus more on share buybacks, mergers and acquisitions.
End Notes
Robust credit sales, higher retained earnings, active risk management, solid consumer spending and capital deployment should continue to favor Bread Financial over the long term.
BFH also has a VGM Score of A. Stocks with a favorable VGM Score are those with the most attractive value, best growth and most promising momentum compared with peers.
Optimistic analyst sentiment, favorable growth estimates and attractive valuations should continue to benefit Bread Financial over the long term. The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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American Express Company (AXP): Free Stock Analysis Report
LendingClub Corporation (LC): Free Stock Analysis Report
Virtu Financial, Inc. (VIRT): Free Stock Analysis Report
Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (BFH): Free Stock Analysis Report
This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).